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145 Cornwall Rd
D- Composite 39.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0

$200,000

145 Cornwall Rd · Harmony, NC 28634
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,079 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market
Built 2001 1.67 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Priced to sell, lots of room for the price. Large open floor plan, den with fireplace and living room. Master bedroom has a sitting area.

Key facts

  • 1.67 acre lot
  • Built 2001
  • Listed 83 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Community well water; Septic system; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Manufactured doublewide single-family residence; One story; Slab foundation; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Manufactured construction
  • Exterior features: Level, private lot; Roads are dirt and paved; publicly maintained

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 9 total rooms; Ceiling fans throughout
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $183k (8.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (29.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (29.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.5% in Harmony — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#408 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Iredell-Statesville Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #51 of 178 in NC (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Union Grove Elementary (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #633 of 1,410 statewide, top 48%, 233 students, 55% FRL); North Iredell High (math 37% / reading 51%, grade F, #367 of 535 statewide, top 69%, 962 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 1,955 units permitted in Iredell County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Iredell County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $200k implies a 655% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,638 (29.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.73%
Cash-on-cash
-2.01%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.7%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-38,462
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-41,516
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28634

Home prices YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,416 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $966/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$-94

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,535
Max offer price $183,440
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $19 -5% $-37 +0% $-94 +5% $-150 +10% $-207
Rent -10% $-206 -5% $-150 +0% $-94 +5% $-38 +10% $18
Rate -1.0pp $7 -0.5pp $-43 base $-94 +0.5pp $-146 +1.0pp $-198

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $200,000 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 78 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 77 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 76 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-03-18
    listed $200,000 Active
  10. 2026-03-11
    historical $200,000
  11. 2020-07-14
    soldstatus $26,500
  12. 2014-02-27
    soldstatus $44,500 Closed 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Priced to sell, lots of room for the price. Large open floor plan, den with fireplace and living room. Master bedroom has a sitting area.

  13. 2014-01-02
    historical Under Contract - No Show 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Priced to sell, lots of room for the price. Large open floor plan, den with fireplace and living room. Master bedroom has a sitting area.

  14. 2013-12-28
    price $46,400 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Priced to sell, lots of room for the price. Large open floor plan, den with fireplace and living room. Master bedroom has a sitting area.

  15. 2013-11-29
    price $52,200 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Priced to sell, lots of room for the price. Large open floor plan, den with fireplace and living room. Master bedroom has a sitting area.

  16. 2013-10-15
    status Active 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Priced to sell, lots of room for the price. Large open floor plan, den with fireplace and living room. Master bedroom has a sitting area.

  17. 2013-10-15
    historical 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Priced to sell, lots of room for the price. Large open floor plan, den with fireplace and living room. Master bedroom has a sitting area.

  18. 2013-10-13
    listed $55,100 Active 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Priced to sell, lots of room for the price. Large open floor plan, den with fireplace and living room. Master bedroom has a sitting area.

  19. 2008-09-26
    soldstatus $102,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$966 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,640 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$674/yr (+$56/mo · 69.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,997
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$966
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,360
− Management
−$1,360
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$4,710
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,131
After-tax cash flow
$6/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Iredell-Statesville Schools
NCES district ID
3702310
Math proficiency
53% ▲ 8.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$51,201
Composite
44.98/100
National rank
#2703
State rank
#51 of 178 in NC

Livability — Harmony

Score
63/100
State rank
#408
US rank
#15477

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,056

Population outlook (Iredell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,510 people
By 2030
206,171 · +6.0%
By 2040
227,781 · +17.1%
By 2050
245,102 · +26.0%
By 2075
280,896 · +44.4%
By 2100
294,375 · +51.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Iredell

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.6) · D 33.2% · R 65.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -32.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.6 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+30.5 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.08%
Current HPI
245.3848
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+96.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $200,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Coming Soon $200,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records
  • 2014-02-27 Sold (MLS) $44,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-01-02 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-12-28 Price Changed $46,400 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-11-29 Price Changed $52,200 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-15 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-15 Delisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-13 Listed $55,100 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $966 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…