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3967-69 8th Ave 5-Plex
B- Composite 68.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,550,000

3967-69 8th Ave · San Diego, CA 92103
20 bd · 25.0 ba · 3,600 sqft · MultiFamily · 244 Days on market
4,440 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 5 units. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Experience the convenience and charm of Hillcrest just a block from Whole Foods, Better Buzz, great shops and dining. Two buildings feature: 2 studios, 2 1 bedroom units and 1 two bed home. Opportunity to purchase adjoining parcels 444-690-03-00 and 444-690-04-00 for developers looking to expand and develop a larger complex (potentially up to 160 units). New construction and opportunity surround this fantastic 5 plex.

Key facts

  • 4,440 sq ft lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Listed 244 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No community features

Exterior

  • Parking: Four parking spaces
  • Home design: Quadruplex; Residential income property; Commercial-residential income subtype
  • Construction: Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Composition roof

Interior

  • Flooring: Wood
  • Bathrooms: Five full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Cooling present (other)
  • Interior features: Wood flooring; Has cooling (type: other)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5 × 4-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.55M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($91k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($23k rent vs $1.55M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.36M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.0% in San Diego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in CA, #4,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
  • San Diego Unified (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #393 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $23,183/mo this rent would consume 271% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 2543% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $46k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $434k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 244 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.36M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $115k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $1,364,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 244 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.18%
Cash-on-cash
21.02%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$193,066
Equity at exit
$231,110
10-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$633,253
Equity at exit
$134,016

Cash invested: $434,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92103

Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
27.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$23,183 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$8,128
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,938 /mo · $23,250/yr
Insurance
$646
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$4,868
Net cashflow
$7,603

Break-even live

Break-even rent $13,559
Max offer price $1,550,000
Occupancy floor 62%

5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (5 units) $23,183

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$387,500
Closing costs
$46,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,550,000 Active 244 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,550,000 Active 243 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,550,000 Active 242 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,550,000 Active 241 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,550,000 Active 239 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,550,000 Active 235 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,550,000 Active 234 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,550,000 Active 233 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,550,000 Active 230 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,550,000 Active 229 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,550,000 Active 227 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,550,000 Active 226 DOM
  13. 2026-05-21
    status Active
  14. 2026-05-21
    historical
  15. 2026-04-01
    price $1,550,000
  16. 2026-03-10
    price $1,595,000
  17. 2026-01-12
    status Active
  18. 2026-01-12
    price $1,695,000
  19. 2026-01-01
    historical
  20. 2025-12-02
    price $1,595,000
  21. 2025-11-06
    price $1,660,000
  22. 2025-10-07
    listed $1,665,000 Active
  23. 2025-05-05
    historical $2,300
  24. 2025-05-01
    listed $2,300
  25. 2024-12-02
    historical
  26. 2024-07-30
    listed $2,300,000
  27. 2023-12-03
    historical $2,600
  28. 2023-11-16
    price $2,600
  29. 2023-11-09
    listed $2,700
  30. 2023-11-04
    historical $2,895
  31. 2023-10-12
    price $2,895
  32. 2023-09-20
    price $2,995
  33. 2023-09-18
    listed $3,200
  34. 2007-01-12
    historical
  35. 2006-09-11
    listed $1,089,000
  36. 2006-08-21
    historical
  37. 2006-01-31
    listed $1,089,000
  38. 2005-12-02
    historical
  39. 2005-06-27
    listed $1,089,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$278,196
− Mortgage interest
−$86,824
− Property taxes
−$23,250
− Insurance
−$7,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$22,256
− Management
−$22,256
− Depreciation
−$45,091
Taxable income
$70,770
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$16,985
After-tax cash flow
$74,250/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Diego Unified
NCES district ID
0634320
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -28.00%
Median HH income
$61,673
Composite
22.31/100
National rank
#8135
State rank
#393 of 517 in CA

Livability — San Diego

Score
75/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#4206

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Diego, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
City population
1,397,612
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
34,836
Household income
$102,626
Rent vs Own
64.8% rent · 35.2% own
Severe rent burden
2543.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -723.82%
Current HPI
256.0844
Rent YoY
▲ 1.24%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.3% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Relisted SDMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $1,550,000 SDMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $1,595,000 SDMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Relisted SDMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $1,695,000 SDMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Price Changed $1,595,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Price Changed $1,660,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $1,665,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-05-05 Rental Removed $2,300 SHOWMOJO2
  • 2025-05-01 Listed for Rent $2,300 SHOWMOJO2
  • 2024-12-02 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2024-07-30 Listed $2,300,000 SDMLS
  • 2023-12-03 Rental Removed $2,600 RENT.
  • 2023-11-16 Price Changed $2,600 RENT.
  • 2023-11-09 Listed for Rent $2,700 RENT.
  • 2023-11-04 Rental Removed $2,895 RENT.
  • 2023-10-12 Price Changed $2,895 RENT.
  • 2023-09-20 Price Changed $2,995 RENT.
  • 2023-09-18 Listed for Rent $3,200 RENT.
  • 2007-01-12 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2006-09-11 Listed $1,089,000 CRMLS
  • 2006-08-21 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2006-01-31 Listed $1,089,000 CRMLS
  • 2005-12-02 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2005-06-27 Listed $1,089,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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