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4418 3rd Ave
C- Composite 54.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

4418 3rd Ave · Columbus, GA 31904
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 922 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1965 0.40 ac lot Est $64k · 34% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Rare opportunity to acquire an amazing home and land!. This offering includes a residential home at 4418 3rd Avenue and the adjacent lot at 4414 3rd Avenue, providing expanded frontage, additional outdoor space, and future development potential. Charming and newly updated, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers an excellent opportunity for first-time homebuyers, investors, or anyone seeking affordable living close to downtown. Previously a successful short term rental, this move-in-ready property features beautiful hardwood floors, abundant natural light, and a functional floor plan designed for comfortable everyday living. Recent updates enhance the home's appeal while maintaining its classic

Key facts

  • Short term rental
  • Recent updates
  • Natural light

Tags

SHORT TERM RENTALHARDWOOD FLOORSNATURAL LIGHTFUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANRECENT UPDATESCLASSIC CHARACTER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Hardwood floors; Electric range

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $85k implies a 764% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.73%
Cash-on-cash
12.27%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$63,618
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
511 46th St 0.19mi 2/1.0 912 (-1%) 17mo $110,000 $121 75
212 47th St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-6%) 3mo $60,000 $69 75
402 Wilton St 0.32mi 2/1.0 917 (-0%) 16mo $52,089 $57 71
3825 Oates Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 864 (-6%) 0mo $33,500 $39 65
322 48th St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 999 (+8%) 7mo $115,000 $115 65
3978 Young Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 864 (-6%) 3mo $33,500 $39 53
1021 Neill Dr 0.63mi 2/1.0 840 (-9%) 4mo $58,618 $70 52
708 43rd St 0.36mi 2/1.5 1,036 (+12%) 16mo $48,000 $46 47
1009 Neil Dr 0.60mi 2/1.5 1,052 (+14%) 1mo $95,000 $90 46
507 38th St 0.53mi 2/1.0 844 (-8%) 20mo $58,000 $69 45
713 Turner Rd 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (+14%) 1mo $158,000 $150 40
727 Apex Rd 0.62mi 2/1.0 791 (-14%) 9mo $42,800 $54 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$1,774
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$21,707
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31904

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
327
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,037 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,141/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$243

Break-even live

Break-even rent $729
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
521 46th St Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 954 $975 $1.02 43d 1 0.21mi
4226 Oates Ave Columbus, GA 3.0 1.5 960 $1,100 $1.15 21d 1 0.29mi
4001 3rd Ave Unit A or B Columbus, GA 1.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 13d 1 0.34mi
635 42nd St Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 1008 $750 $0.74 21d 1 0.35mi
1051 43rd St Apt D Columbus, GA 1.0 1.0 600 $750 $1.25 43d 1 0.61mi
3414 3rd Ave Columbus, GA 1.0 1.0 810 $850 $1.05 21d 1 0.69mi
1121 47th St Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 43d 1 0.80mi
617 32nd St Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 600 $650 $1.08 13d 1 0.83mi
615 32nd St Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 984 $900 $0.91 13d 1 0.84mi
608 32nd St Columbus, GA 1.0 1.0 644 $650 $1.01 13d 1 0.86mi
4402 Riverchase Dr Phenix City, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1078 $1,538 $1.43 13d 21 1.08mi
2807 Beacon Ave Unit B Columbus, GA 2.0 2.5 1015 $1,350 $1.33 43d 1 1.22mi
2807 Beacon Ave Unit A Columbus, GA 2.0 2.0 1014 $1,250 $1.23 43d 1 1.22mi
3519 Woodlawn Ave Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1028 $1,350 $1.31 13d 1 1.23mi
4207 17th Ave Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1006 $1,350 $1.34 43d 1 1.25mi
1061 54th St Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1005 $1,100 $1.09 21d 1 1.41mi
2922 Howard Ave Unit 3 Columbus, GA 2.0 2.0 1100 $795 $0.72 43d 1 1.45mi
3909 Crestview Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1110 $1,250 $1.13 13d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-05
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,141 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,141 · $95/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,449
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,141
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$996
− Management
−$996
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$1,657
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$398
After-tax cash flow
$2,522/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Muscogee County
NCES district ID
1303870
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,176
Composite
21.6/100
National rank
#8297
State rank
#120 of 174 in GA

Livability — Columbus

Score
64/100
State rank
#254
US rank
#14102

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbus, GA
County
Muscogee County · 180,764 people
City population
180,764
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
Population (ZIP)
35,405
Household income
$66,291
Rent vs Own
48.2% rent · 51.8% own
Severe rent burden
2030.0

Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
216,729 people
By 2030
224,504 · +3.6%
By 2040
238,318 · +10.0%
By 2050
249,027 · +14.9%
By 2075
264,862 · +22.2%
By 2100
254,786 · +17.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 28% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Korean 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
2008→2024 swing
+3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.06%
Current HPI
155.1405
Rent YoY
▲ 3.04%
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+763.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $85,000 CBOR
  • 2025-07-04 Rental Removed $1,000 Avail
  • 2025-05-01 Listed for Rent $1,000 Avail
  • 2020-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $9,841 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,141 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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