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1843 Muliner Ave Duplex
D+ Composite 49.36
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$760,000

1843 Muliner Ave · New York, NY 10462
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,960 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1905 2,500 sqft lot Est $890k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Featuring this fully detached two family house with parking. Great location and a short distance to public transportation, supermarket, stores, and restaurants. With some TLC, this house has endless opportunities for a Primary residence or Investment property. Appointments Only!

Key facts

  • 2,500 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1905

Tags

SHORT DISTANCE TO SUPERMARKETSHORT DISTANCE TO STORESSHORT DISTANCE TO RESTAURANTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Financing available: bank mortgage or cash

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with space for 1 vehicle
  • Utilities: 200 Amp electric service; Gas hot water; Oil for heating; Steam/radiator heat delivery
  • Home design: Detached residential building; Flat roof; Wood frame construction; Vinyl siding; Other type foundation
  • Construction: Built as a detached building; Building footprint approximately 1,060; Building dimensions about 53.00 x 20.00
  • Exterior features: Front yard; Back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit on the 2nd floor (month-to-month tenancy)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total; Unit 1 has 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Steam/radiator heat; Window A/C units (4); Hot water supplied by gas
  • Interior features: Window air conditioning units (4 total); Hardwood floors; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $760k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-50/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $742k (2.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $597k (21.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $597k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.4%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,967/mo this rent would consume 117% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 7650% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($749k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $596,700 (21.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.56%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$889,840
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1725 Paulding Ave 0.33mi 4/3.0 2,000 (+2%) 8mo $1,050,000 $525 70
1039 Van Nest Ave 0.39mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,974 (+1%) 9mo $920,000 $466 68
1813 Tomlinson Ave 0.49mi 4/3.0 1,944 (-1%) 9mo $760,000 $391 64
1650 Paulding Ave 0.41mi 4/3.0 2,042 (+4%) 14mo $830,000 $406 58
1960 Paulding Ave 0.36mi 4/3.0 1,840 (-6%) 14mo $930,000 $505 58
1007 Sackett Ave 0.51mi 4/3.0 1,782 (-9%) 2mo $890,000 $499 55
1940 Hone Ave 0.39mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,147 (+10%) 12mo $915,000 $426 51
1725 Hering Ave 0.66mi 4/2.0 2,063 (+5%) 12mo $902,000 $437 50
1569 Bogart Ave 0.43mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,214 (+13%) 5mo $695,000 $314 49
1861 Hering Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 2,167 (+11%) 5mo $980,000 $452 48
1649 Lurting Ave 0.47mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,200 (+12%) 1mo $999,888 $454 48
1163 Rhinelander Ave 0.62mi 4/3.0 2,200 (+12%) 1mo $1,080,000 $491 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-98,140
Equity at exit
$113,318
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$49,172
Equity at exit
$65,711

Cash invested: $212,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10462

Home prices YoY
-10.4%
Rents YoY
9.4%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
21.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,967 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,986
Tax from tax record
$511 /mo · $6,136/yr
Insurance
$317
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,253
Net cashflow
$-100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,093
Max offer price $742,411
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $331 -5% $116 +0% $-100 +5% $-315 +10% $-530
Rent -10% $-571 -5% $-335 +0% $-100 +5% $136 +10% $372
Rate -1.0pp $283 -0.5pp $94 base $-100 +0.5pp $-297 +1.0pp $-497

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $5,967

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$190,000
Closing costs
$22,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $760,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $760,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $760,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $760,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $760,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $760,000 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $760,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $760,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-05-21
    price $760,000
  10. 2026-05-12
    listed $580,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,136 · $511/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,490 · $791/mo
Expected delta
+$3,354/yr (+$280/mo · 54.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$71,604
− Mortgage interest
−$42,572
− Property taxes
−$6,136
− Insurance
−$3,800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,728
− Management
−$5,728
− Depreciation
−$22,109
Taxable loss
−$14,469
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,473
After-tax cash flow
$2,278/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
76,320
Household income
$60,966
Rent vs Own
76.5% rent · 23.5% own
Severe rent burden
7650.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% Black 22% Asian 18% White 10% Two or more races 9% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 17% Dominican 15%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
39% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Indo-European 16% Arabic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.59%
Current HPI
356.326
Rent YoY
▲ 9.43%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $760,000 BNYMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $580,000 BNYMLS

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,136 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…