Duplex
1843 Muliner Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$760,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Featuring this fully detached two family house with parking. Great location and a short distance to public transportation, supermarket, stores, and restaurants. With some TLC, this house has endless opportunities for a Primary residence or Investment property. Appointments Only!
Key facts
- 2,500 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1905
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financing available: bank mortgage or cash
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with space for 1 vehicle
- Utilities: 200 Amp electric service; Gas hot water; Oil for heating; Steam/radiator heat delivery
- Home design: Detached residential building; Flat roof; Wood frame construction; Vinyl siding; Other type foundation
- Construction: Built as a detached building; Building footprint approximately 1,060; Building dimensions about 53.00 x 20.00
- Exterior features: Front yard; Back yard
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit on the 2nd floor (month-to-month tenancy)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total; Unit 1 has 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Steam/radiator heat; Window A/C units (4); Hot water supplied by gas
- Interior features: Window air conditioning units (4 total); Hardwood floors; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $760k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-50/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $742k (2.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $597k (21.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $597k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.4%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,967/mo this rent would consume 117% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 7650% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($749k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.56%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $889,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1725 Paulding Ave | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 | 2,000 (+2%) | 8mo | $1,050,000 | $525 | 70 |
| 1039 Van Nest Ave | 0.39mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,974 (+1%) | 9mo | $920,000 | $466 | 68 |
| 1813 Tomlinson Ave | 0.49mi | 4/3.0 | 1,944 (-1%) | 9mo | $760,000 | $391 | 64 |
| 1650 Paulding Ave | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 | 2,042 (+4%) | 14mo | $830,000 | $406 | 58 |
| 1960 Paulding Ave | 0.36mi | 4/3.0 | 1,840 (-6%) | 14mo | $930,000 | $505 | 58 |
| 1007 Sackett Ave | 0.51mi | 4/3.0 | 1,782 (-9%) | 2mo | $890,000 | $499 | 55 |
| 1940 Hone Ave | 0.39mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,147 (+10%) | 12mo | $915,000 | $426 | 51 |
| 1725 Hering Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 2,063 (+5%) | 12mo | $902,000 | $437 | 50 |
| 1569 Bogart Ave | 0.43mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,214 (+13%) | 5mo | $695,000 | $314 | 49 |
| 1861 Hering Ave | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 2,167 (+11%) | 5mo | $980,000 | $452 | 48 |
| 1649 Lurting Ave | 0.47mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,200 (+12%) | 1mo | $999,888 | $454 | 48 |
| 1163 Rhinelander Ave | 0.62mi | 4/3.0 | 2,200 (+12%) | 1mo | $1,080,000 | $491 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-98,140
- Equity at exit
- $113,318
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $49,172
- Equity at exit
- $65,711
Cash invested: $212,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10462
- Home prices YoY
- -10.4%
- Rents YoY
- 9.4%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 21.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,967 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,986
- Tax from tax record
- −$511 /mo · $6,136/yr
- Insurance
- −$317
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,253
- Net cashflow
- $-100
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $331 | -5% $116 | +0% $-100 | +5% $-315 | +10% $-530 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-571 | -5% $-335 | +0% $-100 | +5% $136 | +10% $372 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $283 | -0.5pp $94 | base $-100 | +0.5pp $-297 | +1.0pp $-497 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $5,968 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,984 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,984 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,967 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $190,000
- Closing costs
- $22,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $760,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $760,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $760,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $760,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $760,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $760,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $760,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $760,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $760,000
-
2026-05-12$580,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,136 · $511/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,490 · $791/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,354/yr (+$280/mo · 54.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $71,604
- − Mortgage interest
- −$42,572
- − Property taxes
- −$6,136
- − Insurance
- −$3,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,728
- − Management
- −$5,728
- − Depreciation
- −$22,109
- Taxable loss
- −$14,469
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,473
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,278/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 76,320
- Household income
- $60,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7650.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% Black 22% Asian 18% White 10% Two or more races 9% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 17% Dominican 15%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Indo-European 16% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.59%
- Current HPI
- 356.326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.43%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+31.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $760,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $580,000 BNYMLS
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $6,136 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…