9401 Bluejacket Dr · Overland Park, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Sold before processed.
Key facts
- $75 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1963
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a flood plain
- HOA & community: HOA with quarterly fee of $225; No maintenance provided by association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached half-duplex; Single-story (ranch)
- Construction: Board & batten siding; Composition roof; Built 51–75 years ago
- Exterior features: City lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ranch floor plan; Basement with garage entrance
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $215k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.9% in Overland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#16 in KS, #1,851 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: health & safety C-, commute D+.
- Shawnee Mission Pub Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #22 of 169 in KS (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 31 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,969 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (1,066 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.08%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $317,544
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9803 Nieman Pl | 0.52mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,396 (-1%) | 1mo | $430,000 | $179 | 62 |
| 9886 Nieman Pl | 0.60mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,314 (-4%) | 4mo | $439,000 | $190 | 52 |
| 9601 Nieman Pl | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,100 (-13%) | 13mo | $335,000 | $160 | 50 |
| 9698 Oakshire St | 0.40mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,746 (+13%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $127 | 50 |
| 11009 W 96th Ter | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,743 (+13%) | 8mo | $340,000 | $124 | 48 |
| 10185 W 96th Ter | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,199 (-9%) | 4mo | $279,500 | $127 | 46 |
| 10009 W 95th St | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,178 (-10%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $122 | 46 |
| 9834 Nieman Pl | 0.54mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,507 (+3%) | 14mo | $385,000 | $154 | 46 |
| 10175 W 96th Ter | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,178 (-10%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $126 | 45 |
| 10231 W 96th Pl | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,141 (-12%) | 7mo | $270,000 | $126 | 42 |
| 9559 Perry Ln | 0.53mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,178 (-10%) | 10mo | $285,000 | $131 | 41 |
| 10203 W 96th Ter | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,178 (-10%) | 15mo | $287,000 | $132 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-7,029
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $10,175
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66214
- Rents YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,602 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$208 /mo · $2,492/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$75
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$546
- Net cashflow
- $556
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9109 Goddard St Overland Park, KS | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2710 | $3,195 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 9236 Switzer St Overland Park, KS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1968 | $2,613 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 9955 Melrose St Overland Park, KS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2296 | $2,701 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 10634 W 102nd Ter Overland Park, KS | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2373 | $3,255 | $1.37 | 19d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9108 W 95th St Overland Park, KS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1632 | $2,200 | $1.35 | 10d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 8403 Carter St Overland Park, KS | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1732 | $4,750 | $2.74 | 10d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $75 · $900/yr
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending
-
2026-05-16$215,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,492 · $208/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,032 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- +$539/yr (+$45/mo · 21.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,221
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$2,492
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,498
- − Management
- −$2,498
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $3,460
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$830
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,837/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shawnee Mission Pub Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2011640
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,923
- Composite
- 37.55/100
- National rank
- #4391
- State rank
- #22 of 169 in KS
Livability — Overland Park
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #1851
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Overland Park, KS
- County
- Johnson County · 574,662 people
- City population
- 180,138
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,351
- Household income
- $83,435
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 388.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 663,396 people
- By 2030
- 702,585 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 775,386 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 841,772 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 994,137 · +49.9%
- By 2100
- 1,073,036 · +61.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.5) · D 53.4% · R 44.9% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +17.5pp toward D · 2008: -9.0pp · 2024: 8.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.5 2020: D+8.2 2016: R+2.7 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+9.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -239.56%
- Current HPI
- 257.7275
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.89%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-16 Listed $215,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,492 · -6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…