433 S 7th St #1704 · Minneapolis, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.4/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy elevated city living in this stylish, loft-inspired studio with sweeping Downtown East views from the 17th floor and direct access to the Minneapolis skyway system. Unlike a typical studio, the home offers a smart, open layout with a true sense of separation between living, dining, sleeping, and work areas, enhanced by oversized windows, a walk-in closet, and creative architectural elements throughout. Warm wood tones, black industrial accents, and layered lighting create an urban-modern aesthetic that feels both sophisticated and inviting while remaining highly functional. Residents enjoy a full suite of amenities on the 15th floor, including a pool, fitness center, sauna, hot tub, l
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Open layout
- Downtown east views
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Centre Village Condominiums above the Hyatt Hotel in downtown Minneapolis
- HOA & community: HOA: Cities Management; Monthly HOA fee of $621; HOA amenities include elevator(s), lobby entrance, patio, sauna, laundry, and shared recreation facilities; HOA fee covers cable TV, hazard insurance, heating, internet, lawn care, grounds maintenance, professional management, sewer, snow removal, and water
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Contract parking required
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas; Electric service by Xcel Energy
- Home design: Attached residential property; One story
- Construction: Foundation: Other
- Exterior features: Stone exterior; Below-ground pool; Lot about 1.169 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (8x9) with dishwasher, range, refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom (8x10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main floor, 5x8)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall-mounted cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Dishwasher, Range, Refrigerator; Main floor full bathroom
- Laundry & utility: Building amenities include laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
- Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 81 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($125k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $65k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.45%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $91,955
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -29.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $7,098
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $28,358
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 34 Tenant-Leaning
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Minneapolis
- 34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
ZIP-level market 55415
- Home prices YoY
- -2.4%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,744 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,309/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$621
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$366
- Net cashflow
- $280
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 431 S 7th St #2610 Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 430 | $1,250 | $2.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 431 S 7th St Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 430 | $1,250 | $2.91 | 43d | 2 | 0.03mi |
| 431 S 7th St Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 430 | $1,250 | $2.91 | 10d | 2 | 0.03mi |
| 650 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1104 | $2,825 | $2.56 | 3d | 18 | 0.07mi |
| 600 5th Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,440 | $1.57 | 1d | 9 | 0.08mi |
| 615 S 8th St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1248 | $3,672 | $2.94 | 1d | 52 | 0.13mi |
| 609 S 9th St #2 Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 511 S 4th St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 882 | $2,215 | $2.51 | 2d | 11 | 0.22mi |
| 910 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 392 | $1,056 | $2.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 608 2nd Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 999 | $1,823 | $1.82 | 2d | 34 | 0.23mi |
| 929 Portland Ave #1408 Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,485 | $2.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 900 Centennial Pl Minneapolis, MN | — | 1.0 | 390 | $825 | $2.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 101 S 5th St Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1249 | $2,289 | $1.83 | 2d | 35 | 0.31mi |
| 515 E Grant St Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,220 | $1.49 | 1d | 10 | 0.31mi |
| 90 S 9th St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $1,650 | $1.97 | 4d | 2 | 0.33mi |
| 1400 Park Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $2,040 | $2.33 | 3d | 21 | 0.34mi |
| 1111 3rd Ave S Unit 1511914P Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1081 | $5,100 | $4.72 | 2d | 2 | 0.36mi |
| 700 S 4th St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 897 | $2,688 | $2.99 | 1d | 26 | 0.36mi |
| 465 Nicollet Mall Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1153 | $3,030 | $2.63 | 2d | 14 | 0.37mi |
| 250 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,950 | $2.16 | 2d | 11 | 0.38mi |
| 400 Marquette Ave Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1103 | $2,905 | $2.63 | 2d | 14 | 0.38mi |
| 95 S 10th St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 688 | $1,744 | $2.53 | 2d | 31 | 0.38mi |
| 501 E 14th St Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 510 | $1,055 | $2.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 313 Washington Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $2,288 | $2.73 | 2d | 9 | 0.39mi |
| 365 Nicollet Mall Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1656 | $4,363 | $2.63 | 3d | 33 | 0.40mi |
| 240 Park Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1047 | $2,075 | $1.98 | 3d | 2 | 0.41mi |
| 1117 Marquette Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 953 | $1,373 | $1.44 | 2d | 15 | 0.44mi |
| 240 Chicago Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $2,164 | $2.62 | 2d | 11 | 0.45mi |
| 225 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 837 | $2,410 | $2.88 | 3d | 70 | 0.45mi |
| 1010 S 7th St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 834 | $1,928 | $2.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 728 E 16th St #34 Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 593 | $950 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 736 E 16th St Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $917 | $1.41 | 23d | 2 | 0.48mi |
| 811 Washington Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $1,660 | $1.93 | 19d | 9 | 0.48mi |
| 205 Park Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 859 | $1,809 | $2.11 | 7d | 5 | 0.49mi |
| 729 E 16th St Unit 4 Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $1,155 | $2.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 270 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1505 | $4,088 | $2.72 | 2d | 54 | 0.56mi |
| 1423 11th Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $1,300 | $1.59 | 2d | 29 | 0.56mi |
| 115 2nd Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 508 | $1,371 | $2.70 | 2d | 15 | 0.57mi |
| 111 S Marquette Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $1,516 | $1.56 | 2d | 12 | 0.60mi |
| 212 10th Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1490 | $4,242 | $2.85 | 1d | 10 | 0.61mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $621 · $7,452/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-15status $65,000 Pending 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission 27 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$65,000 Active 1054-char remark
-
1993-10-04historical
-
1993-09-20$39,900
-
1992-08-04soldstatus $37,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,309 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,309 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,928
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,309
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,674
- − Management
- −$1,674
- − HOA
- −$7,452
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $2,962
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$711
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,646/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minneapolis Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2721240
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,521
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5067
- State rank
- #217 of 301 in MN
Livability — Minneapolis
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #2525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minneapolis, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
- City population
- 417,555
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,900
- Household income
- $124,921
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 344.0
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 18% Asian 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.23%
- Current HPI
- 289.6606
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.65%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+74.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-28 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Listed $65,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-10-04 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-09-20 Listed $39,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $37,300 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,309 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…