4200 19th St · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property! Potentially 3 bedrooms. Close to everything in Little Rock including UAMS and the VA hospital. Nice corner lot. Currently rented at $700/month.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Built 1976
- Listed 280 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 280 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $64k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 280 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.42%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,217
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -0.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2401 S Pine St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (-4%) | 4mo | $15,000 | $17 | 74 |
| 2013 S Maple St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+0%) | 12mo | $8,000 | $9 | 73 |
| 3407 W 12 St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 922 (-1%) | 5mo | $30,000 | $33 | 64 |
| 2119 S Harrison St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 930 (-0%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $134 | 63 |
| 4624 W 29th St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 971 (+4%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $103 | 61 |
| 4523 W 23rd St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,026 (+10%) | 2mo | $22,000 | $21 | 61 |
| 1720 Green Meadow Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (+10%) | 4mo | $103,500 | $101 | 56 |
| 1019 Adams St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-10%) | 1mo | $86,000 | $102 | 55 |
| 4712 W 24th St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 810 (-13%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $80 | 51 |
| 4307 W 10th St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 828 (-11%) | 13mo | $82,000 | $99 | 44 |
| 1710 S Harrison St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,014 (+9%) | 11mo | $80,000 | $79 | 43 |
| 4805 W 29th St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 1,040 (+12%) | 7mo | $100,000 | $96 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $8,526
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.83×
- Total profit
- $40,962
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72204
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,018 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $546/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $306
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4319 W 17th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $950 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4304 W 22nd St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $895 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4613 W 23rd St Unit B Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,200 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1320 Adams St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,025 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2421 S Oak St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $950 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2701 Abigail St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3705 W 12th St Unit B Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 598 | $650 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2300 S Martin St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $795 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1205 Valmar St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,199 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1918 Allis St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $895 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1822 Booker St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3109 W 11th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1055 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 610 S Maple St Unit A Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $825 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3204 Maryland Ave Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $1,095 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 901 S Harrison St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $980 | $0.98 | 19d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 901 Johnson St Unit B Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $695 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1100 Fair Park Blvd Apt 7 Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 636 | $550 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1100 Fair Park Blvd Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 636 | $550 | $0.86 | 23d | 2 | 0.97mi |
| 1809 S Buchanan St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $850 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 422 S Brown St Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $725 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 306 S Valentine St Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $825 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 300 S Valentine St Ste 3 Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 605 | $1,095 | $1.81 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3825 W Markham St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,095 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2324 W Daisy L Gatson Bates Dr Unit 1 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $1,095 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2324 W Daisy L Gatson Bates Dr Unit 2 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $1,050 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 408 Booker St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,350 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 408 S Booker St Unit B Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $850 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2200 Dennison St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3409 W Markham St Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 121 N Jackson St Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 128 S Woodrow St Unit N Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $895 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1008 Kavanaugh Blvd Unit 3 Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $795 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1008 Kavanaugh Blvd Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $795 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 907 S Park St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,100 | $2.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1318 S Summit St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1320 S Summit St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 502 Rice St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $925 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 9 Barbara Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $1,295 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 261 DOM
-
2025-09-11$79,900 New Listing 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Great investment property! Potentially 3 bedrooms. Close to everything in Little Rock including UAMS and the VA hospital. Nice corner lot. Currently rented at $700/month.
-
2024-08-20historical
-
2024-03-28price $89,000
-
2024-01-06price $95,000
-
2023-11-09status Back on Market
-
2023-11-03historical Take Backups
-
2023-10-12price $99,000
-
2023-10-12$99,000 New Listing
-
2023-06-14historical
-
2023-01-05status Back on Market
-
2022-12-01historical
-
2022-07-28$110,000 New Listing
-
2021-07-16soldstatus $64,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $546 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $546 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,211
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$546
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$977
- − Management
- −$977
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $2,512
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$603
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,071/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,525
- Household income
- $40,882
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1553.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.17%
- Current HPI
- 172.3977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+24.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-11 Listed $79,900 CARMLS
- 2024-08-20 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2024-03-28 Price Changed $89,000 CARMLS
- 2024-01-06 Price Changed $95,000 CARMLS
- 2023-11-09 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2023-11-03 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2023-10-12 Price Changed $99,000 CARMLS
- 2023-10-12 Listed $99,000 CARMLS
- 2023-06-14 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2023-01-05 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2022-12-01 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2022-07-28 Listed $110,000 CARMLS
- 2021-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $546 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…