306 Lazy Acres Ln · Belton, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This adorable single wide trailer is in a 55+ community only. It is a beautifully maintained and well kept community. The neighbors are friendly and take pride in their homes. This home has been well maintained and is very clean. It has two bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with an open kitchen that has lots of cabinet space! There is a space for laundry as you will see pictured with a working washer and dryer. The two bathrooms have been NEWLY remodeled with new tile floors, tiled shower walls, new sinks and vanities, new toilets and light fixtures. The whole space has been freshly painted and is ready for you to make it your own. The master bedroom is 12x12 not including the master bath. The addit
Key facts
- Built 1999
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $632 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 4.7% in Belton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#52 in MO, #3,782 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
- Belton 124 (suburban): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #216 of 324 in MO (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 588 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cass County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.88%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $29,971
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 37.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.90×
- Total profit
- $92,830
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64012
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,544 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $632
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 York Dr Belton, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1148 | $1,781 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 909 Ridge Dr Belton, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1539 | $1,756 | $1.14 | 20d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 514 Maier Dr Belton, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,250 | — | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 512 Maier Dr Belton, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,250 | — | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 501 S Scott Ave Unit C Belton, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $925 | $1.37 | 17d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 412 Colbern St Belton, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1516 | $1,395 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 307 Dauphine St Belton, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,495 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 210 Mill St Belton, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 214 Lacy Ln Belton, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2562 | $2,455 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 611 W Sunrise Dr Belton, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $1,990 | $1.33 | 8d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1513 Sycamore Dr Belton, MO | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1315 | $1,589 | $1.21 | 2d | 8 | 1.32mi |
| 111 N Chestnut St Unit 221C Belton, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $915 | — | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 108 E Hargis St Belton, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $895 | $1.47 | 2d | 3 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-10$85,000 Under Contract
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,529
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,482
- − Management
- −$1,482
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $6,630
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,591
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,997/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belton 124
- NCES district ID
- 2904620
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,946
- Composite
- 29.73/100
- National rank
- #6446
- State rank
- #216 of 324 in MO
Livability — Belton
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #3782
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belton, MO
- County
- Cass County · 65,358 people
- City population
- 29,304
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,304
- Household income
- $71,814
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1081.0
Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,292 people
- By 2030
- 106,109 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 105,786 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 102,062 · -3.1%
- By 2075
- 88,569 · -15.9%
- By 2100
- 68,293 · -35.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cass
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.1) · D 33.3% · R 65.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -32.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.1 2020: R+31.6 2016: R+35.9 2012: R+28.4 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -244.76%
- Current HPI
- 214.6157
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.17%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $85,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…