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11377 Township Road 266 #47
C+ Composite 62.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

11377 Township Road 266 #47 · Chippewa Park, OH 43331
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · Manufactured · 29 Days on market
Built 2017 Good condition Est $62k · 44% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Your Lake Life awaits at Indian Lake Estates! Whether your looking for a weekend retreat, summer escape, or a year round sanctuary, look no further! This furnished 2017 Kropf Island Park Model is ready for new owners. Outside features of this home include: a large covered composite deck-perfect for sitting outside yet shaded from the sun, a shed with electric, an outside rear fenced patio area with privacy fencing on one side, and a large back yard that backs up to the tree line offering both shade & privacy. Some inside features include: vaulted ceilings in the main living area, a lofted second bedroom, a sofa sleeper, and an electric fireplace, Lot 48 directly next door is also

Key facts

  • Shed with electric
  • Large back yard
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

LARGE COVERED COMPOSITE DECKSHED WITH ELECTRICOUTSIDE REAR FENCED PATIOLARGE BACK YARDVAULTED CEILINGSLOFTED SECOND BEDROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in a community with guest parking
  • HOA & community: Association maintains grounds and pool; Association covers snow removal, sewer, water, and trash

Exterior

  • Utilities: Supplied water; Public sewer; Propane; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Built in 2017; Leased lot
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Patio; Deck; Shed(s); Fenced yard; Association in-ground pool; Lake access (waterfront, lake related)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Wall unit(s); Forced air heating; Propane heating
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Electric fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 5.5% in Chippewa Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,173 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Indian Lake Local (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #261 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Logan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $88,551 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.03%
Cash-on-cash
16.92%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$62,400
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11377 Township Road 266 #77 0.06mi 1/1.0 (-1) 432 (-10%) 8mo $57,000 $132 69
11377 Township Road 266 #61 0.06mi 1/1.0 (-1) 432 (-10%) 9mo $56,000 $130 68
11377 Township Road 266 #15 0.06mi 1/1.0 (-1) 432 (-10%) 9mo $45,000 $104 68
11377 Township Road 266 #22 0.06mi 1/1.0 (-1) 538 (+12%) 8mo $19,000 $35 66
11065 County Road 293 #13 0.35mi 1/1.0 (-1) 540 (+12%) 3mo $85,000 $157 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$8,052
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$36,190
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43331

Home prices YoY
-30.0%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,236 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$355

Break-even live

Break-even rent $786
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $417 -5% $386 +0% $355 +5% $324 +10% $293
Rent -10% $257 -5% $306 +0% $355 +5% $404 +10% $452
Rate -1.0pp $400 -0.5pp $378 base $355 +0.5pp $332 +1.0pp $308

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    listed $89,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,827
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,348
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,186
− Management
−$1,186
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$3,006
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$721
After-tax cash flow
$3,537/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2017 Kropf Island Park Model is move-in ready with good condition and a good location. It offers a large covered deck, a fenced patio area, and a large back yard with privacy. The interior is modern and well-maintained.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian Lake Local
NCES district ID
3904808
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,496
Composite
52.6/100
National rank
#1559
State rank
#261 of 656 in OH

Livability — Chippewa Park

Score
49/100
State rank
#1173
US rank
#25758

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Logan · 47,256 people
Population (ZIP)
4,012
Household income
$60,159
Rent vs Own
11.5% rent · 88.5% own
Severe rent burden
16.1

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,240 people
By 2030
43,166 · -2.4%
By 2040
40,495 · -8.5%
By 2050
37,511 · -15.2%
By 2075
30,453 · -31.2%
By 2100
23,081 · -47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.5% · R 77.7%
2008→2024 swing
-29.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -56.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.2 2020: R+55.2 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.75%
Current HPI
256.2406
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $89,900 WRIST

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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