3725 Ferndale Ave · Baltimore, MD 21207

$165,000

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,535 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1929 Fair condition 6,617 sqft lot $107/sqft · 46% below area Est $308k · 46% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +9.8/10.0
• 1% rule +9.1/10.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• Schools +1.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Estate sale sold as is. Home is livable but updates are needed. Waterproofed basement ready to finish. Potential for additional living space in attic. Corner lot with fenced yard and off street parking.

Key facts

• Off street parking
• Fenced yard
• Corner lot

Tags

• WATERPROOFED BASEMENT
• FENCED YARD
• OFF STREET PARKING
• CORNER LOT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
• Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Elmer A. Henderson: A Johns Hopkins Partnership (math 2% / reading 16%, grade F, #650 of 860 statewide, top 77%, 642 students, 80% FRL); Baltimore Polytechnic Institute (math 71% / reading 84%, grade A-, #22 of 222 statewide, top 10%, 1,555 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 79% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 12% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Baltimore City Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 278 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
• Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $57k; list at $165k implies a 189% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $165,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
2. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.41% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.07%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.08%
• DSCR: 1.76
• GRM: 5.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $308,028
• List price: $165,000
• Delta: -46.43%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4608 Belvieu Ave	0.16mi	4/2.5	1,456 (-5%)	1mo	$160,000	$110	77
5512 Cadillac Ave	0.24mi	4/2.0	1,668 (+9%)	7mo	$330,000	$198	64
4122 Belle Ave	0.54mi	4/2.5	1,596 (+4%)	1mo	$171,000	$107	61
4906 Haddon Ave	0.14mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,347 (-12%)	6mo	$132,000	$98	61
5519 Fernpark Ave	0.64mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,536 (+0%)	8mo	$198,000	$129	56
5304 Wabash Ave	0.63mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,540 (+0%)	8mo	$305,000	$198	55
4207 Belvieu Ave	0.51mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,400 (-9%)	1mo	$279,000	$199	54
3808 Granada Ave	0.67mi	5/2.5 (+1)	1,590 (+4%)	3mo	$135,000	$85	50
3116 Brightwood Ave	0.68mi	5/3.0 (+1)	1,638 (+7%)	3mo	$345,000	$211	42
5309 Fernpark Ave	0.54mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,328 (-14%)	2mo	$158,810	$120	41
5318 Norwood Ave	0.74mi	4/3.0	1,400 (-9%)	6mo	$325,000	$232	38
3102 Brightwood Ave	0.75mi	4/3.0	1,338 (-13%)	8mo	$365,000	$273	29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.5% appreciation · 5.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 37.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.85×
• Total profit: $131,487
• Equity at exit: $142,660

10-year hold

• IRR: 33.2%
• Equity multiple: 8.90×
• Total profit: $364,866
• Equity at exit: $301,499

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State Maryland: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City Baltimore: 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58

Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 13 active · 21 under contract
• Months of supply: 4.9 mo (21%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $315,000 ($211/sqft)
• Median days on market: 35 d
• This list price: lowest-priced of the active set
• ARV vs active asking: -5.0% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 21207

• Home prices YoY: 1.1%
• Rents YoY: 5.2%
• Active inventory: 278
• Price-to-rent: 5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,321 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$865
• Tax from tax record: −$242 /mo · $2,902/yr
• Insurance: −$69
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$487
• Net cashflow: $657

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,488

Max offer price $165,000

Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $751	-5% $704	+0% $657	+5% $611	+10% $564
Rent	-10% $474	-5% $566	+0% $657	+5% $749	+10% $841
Rate	-1.0pp $740	-0.5pp $699	base $657	+0.5pp $615	+1.0pp $571

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $41,250
• Closing costs: $4,950
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3807 Bowers Ave Gwynn Oak, MD	3.0	1.5	1152	$2,200	$1.91	184d	1	0.28mi
3715 Gwynn Oak Ave Baltimore, MD	4.0	2.5	1680	$3,000	$1.79	10d	1	0.30mi
3810 Bowers Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1900	$1,700	$0.89	3d	1	0.30mi
5206 Belleville Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1916	$2,300	$1.20	5d	1	0.32mi
5362 Liberty Heights Ave Baltimore, MD	5.0	3.5	2045	$3,600	$1.76	31d	1	0.32mi
5362 Liberty Heights Ave Baltimore, MD	5.0	3.5	2045	$3,600	$1.76	10d	1	0.32mi
4505 Maine Ave Baltimore, MD	5.0	4.0	1909	$3,200	$1.68	6d	1	0.53mi
4113 Boarman Ave Baltimore, MD	4.0	2.0	2104	$1,700	$0.81	41d	1	0.60mi
4217 Chatham Rd Unit B Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.5	1100	$1,624	$1.48	49d	1	0.63mi
4217 Chatham Rd Unit B Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.5	1100	$1,624	$1.48	74d	1	0.63mi
4217 Chatham Rd Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1100	$1,624	$1.48	55d	1	0.63mi
3023 Fendall Rd Baltimore, MD	4.0	2.5	1344	$3,250	$2.42	29d	1	0.69mi
3535 Flannery Ln Gwynn Oak, MD	3.0	1.5	1536	$2,000	$1.30	184d	1	0.70mi
4003 Oakford Ave Baltimore, MD	4.0	3.0	1504	$2,595	$1.73	29d	1	0.73mi
5466 Lynview Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1178	$1,749	$1.48	55d	1	0.77mi
5521 Gwynn Oak Ave Baltimore, MD	5.0	2.0	1560	$2,224	$1.43	69d	1	0.79mi
4303 Miami Pl Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1726	$2,526	$1.46	18d	1	0.90mi
4303 Miami Pl Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1726	$2,526	$1.46	1d	1	0.90mi
6226 Robin Hill Rd Gwynn Oak, MD	3.0	1.5	1140	$2,550	$2.24	107d	1	1.02mi
6 Royal Oak Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1288	$1,824	$1.42	74d	1	1.03mi
4013 W Forest Park Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1524	$1,800	$1.18	3d	1	1.04mi
4235 Norfolk Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.5	1580	$2,300	$1.46	10d	1	1.06mi
4129 Norfolk Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1224	$1,800	$1.47	74d	1	1.08mi
5428 Gist Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.5	1160	$1,545	$1.33	1d	1	1.08mi
4998 W Forest Park Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0–2.0	790	$1,890	$2.39	2d	18	1.10mi
3524 Meadowside Rd Baltimore, MD	4.0	3.0	1854	$3,000	$1.62	72d	1	1.12mi
3912 Mortimer Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1204	$2,723	$2.26	10d	1	1.13mi
5322 Cordelia Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1288	$1,430	$1.11	10d	1	1.14mi
3784 Columbus Dr Baltimore, MD	4.0	2.0	1250	$2,200	$1.76	164d	1	1.15mi
4008 Bonner Rd Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1564	$2,500	$1.60	41d	1	1.20mi
4008 Bonner Rd Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1564	$2,500	$1.60	10d	1	1.20mi
4806 Reisterstown Rd Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1424	$1,600	$1.12	43d	1	1.28mi
3001 Wolcott Ave Baltimore, MD	4.0	3.0	1600	$2,500	$1.56	130d	1	1.31mi
3516 Spaulding Ave Baltimore, MD	5.0	2.0	1500	$2,000	$1.33	121d	1	1.31mi
3726 Beehler Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.5	1500	$1,850	$1.23	112d	1	1.32mi
3722 Beehler Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.5	1500	$1,850	$1.23	132d	1	1.33mi
4015 Duvall Ave Baltimore, MD	4.0	2.5	1376	$2,300	$1.67	10d	1	1.39mi
4015 Duvall Ave Baltimore, MD	4.0	2.5	1376	$2,500	$1.82	74d	1	1.39mi
3503 Oakmont Ave Apt 2 Baltimore, MD	5.0	1.0	1270	$1,200	$0.94	55d	1	1.39mi
3504 Manchester Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	3.5	1443	$1,999	$1.39	29d	1	1.40mi

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Finished above-grade living area recorded by assessorUnfinished below-grade area recorded by assessorOwnership assessed values recorded by assessor
• Financial info: Ground rent paid annuallyLease not considered

Exterior

• Parking: Off-street parking
• Utilities: Public waterPublic sewerElectric cooling fuelNatural gas heating and hot water
• Home design: Detached structureFee simple ownershipYear built recorded by assessor
• Construction: Concrete constructionBlock foundationAsphalt roof
• Exterior features: Off-street parkingAbove-grade and below-grade other structures

Interior

• Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the first upper level
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heatingCeiling fans for coolingHot water heated by natural gas
• Interior features: Unfinished basement

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-26
   listed $165,000 Active
2. 1994-03-21
   soldstatus $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,902 · $242/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,902 · $242/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,846
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,243
• − Property taxes: −$2,902
• − Insurance: −$825
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,228
• − Management: −$2,228
• − Depreciation: −$4,800
• Taxable income: $5,622
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,349
• After-tax cash flow: $6,540/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $38,375–$69,075 screening

This home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, with potential for significant value increase through exterior painting and carpet replacement.

Repairs flagged

• Moderate Exterior siding — Lightly weathered and discolored
• Minor Interior paint — Worn in some areas

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and appearance ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 10/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary New Song Academy F MD #699/860 Nat'l #40,092/41,679 High Coppin Academy F MD #193/222 Nat'l #15,755/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Baltimore City Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2400090
• Math proficiency: 7% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 16% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $42,108
• Composite: 10.08/100
• National rank: #9805
• State rank: #24 of 24 in MD

B Composite livability gradescore 76/100

Livability — Baltimore

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #90
• US rank: #3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Baltimore, MD
• County: Baltimore County · 624,249 people
• City population: 588,727
• Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
• Population (ZIP): 47,099
• Household income: $67,060
• Rent vs Own: 39.3% rent · 60.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 13% of renters

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Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 624,249 people
• By 2030: 621,541 · -0.4%
• By 2040: 609,756 · -2.3%
• By 2050: 597,249 · -4.3%
• By 2075: 552,236 · -11.5%
• By 2100: 513,934 · -17.7%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (78%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 78% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 1%
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 9.50%
• Current HPI: 843.63
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.23%
• Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.97%
• F500 in state: 12

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	1	$71B
▸Utilities	1	$25B
▸Hotels	1	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$7B
▸Real Estate	1	$6B
▸Chemicals	1	$2B

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Finished above-grade living area recorded by assessorUnfinished below-grade area recorded by assessorOwnership assessed values recorded by assessor
• Financial info: Ground rent paid annuallyLease not considered

Exterior

• Parking: Off-street parking
• Utilities: Public waterPublic sewerElectric cooling fuelNatural gas heating and hot water
• Home design: Detached structureFee simple ownershipYear built recorded by assessor
• Construction: Concrete constructionBlock foundationAsphalt roof
• Exterior features: Off-street parkingAbove-grade and below-grade other structures

Interior

• Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the first upper level
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heatingCeiling fans for coolingHot water heated by natural gas
• Interior features: Unfinished basement

Price history

+189.5% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-05-26 Listed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 1994-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,902 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.