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3824 Folsom Ave Duplex
C- Composite 54.23
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$314,999

3824 Folsom Ave · St. Louis, MO 63110
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,250 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1897 3,201 sqft lot $140/sqft · 13% below area Est $361k · 13% under ↓ 54% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Attractive yellow brick duplex on a quiet cul-de-sac near SLU and Shaw is perfect for owner occupant buyer looking to house hack, or savvy investor seeking income. Both units are currently occupied. The first-floor unit is furnished and used as mid-term rental for travel nurses, currently rented at $1800/month thru 9/30/26, but is usually rented for $2000-2400/month. The upstairs unit has a wonderful long-term tenant (20+ years) who pays $1050. This unit would be easy to update and rent for much more if you are looking to maximize income. Both units are 2bed/1bath. Central air/heat, in unit laundry in both units, some newer appliances. There is parking in the rear as well as a 2-story deck for rear entry. Owner-agent prefers as-is sale. Please do not disturb tenants.

Key facts

  • Yellow brick duplex
  • Parking in the rear
  • Quiet cul-de-sac

Tags

YELLOW BRICK DUPLEXQUIET CUL-DE-SACIN UNIT LAUNDRY2-STORY DECKPARKING IN THE REAR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $195/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $293k (6.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $293k (6.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $293,400 (6.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.78%
Cash-on-cash
5.31%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$361,369
List price
$314,999
Delta
-12.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3667 Blaine Ave 0.09mi 4/4.0 2,156 (-4%) 6mo $195,000 $90 76
3946 Detonty St 0.32mi 4/2.0 2,256 (+0%) 18mo $250,000 $111 70
3961 Shaw Blvd 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,160 (-4%) 5mo $299,000 $138 67
3655 Russell Blvd 0.43mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,288 (+2%) 17mo $340,000 $149 58
4005-4007 Shenandoah Ave 0.74mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,206 (-2%) 4mo $299,900 $136 54
3652 Shenandoah Ave 0.72mi 4/2.0 2,200 (-2%) 23mo $300,000 $136 43
4131 Flad Ave 0.72mi 4/2.0 2,500 (+11%) 11mo $415,000 $166 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-16,432
Equity at exit
$46,967
10-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$60,555
Equity at exit
$27,235

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63110

Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
17.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,934 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,736/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$616
Net cashflow
$390

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,440
Max offer price $314,999
Occupancy floor 82%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,934

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,750
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3901 Folsom Ave Unit 3909 St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1635 $1,845 $1.13 17d 1 0.10mi
3663 McRee Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1714 $2,750 $1.60 17d 1 0.14mi
2053 Alfred Ave St. Louis, MO 4.0 3.0 1768 $1,975 $1.12 43d 1 1.11mi
4133 Laclede Ave Unit 1 St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 2775 $1,999 $0.72 43d 1 1.25mi
2347 Park Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 3.5 1608 $2,150 $1.34 43d 1 1.28mi
3701 Lindell Blvd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–3.0 1073 $2,500 $2.33 16d 81 1.31mi
3701 Lindell Blvd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–3.0 1073 $2,500 $2.33 1d 128 1.31mi
3681 Lindell Blvd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–2.5 1292 $3,579 $2.77 1d 62 1.33mi
2648 California Ave Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 2458 $2,000 $0.81 23d 1 1.34mi
4145-4147 Hartford St St. Louis, MO 4.0 3.5 2400 $3,800 $1.58 12d 1 1.37mi
3717-3721 Westminster Pl St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–3.0 1343 $2,735 $2.04 16d 4 1.37mi
2253 Indiana Ave Saint Louis, MO 4.0 3.5 1760 $2,600 $1.48 7d 1 1.43mi
3628 Wyoming St Unit 2F St. Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1700 $1,950 $1.15 43d 1 1.44mi
404 N Sarah St Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.5 1772 $2,600 $1.47 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $314,999 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $314,999 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $314,999 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $314,999 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $314,999 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $314,999 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $314,999 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $314,999 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $314,999 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $314,999 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $314,999 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $314,999 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $314,999 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-05-17
    price $314,999 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Attractive yellow brick duplex on a quiet cul-de-sac near SLU and Shaw is perfect for owner occupant buyer looking to house hack, or savvy investor seeking income. Both units are currently occupied. The first-floor unit is furnished and used as mid-term rental for travel nurses, currently rented at $1800/month thru 9/30/26, but is usually rented for $2000-2400/month. The upstairs unit has a wonderful long-term tenant (20+ years) who pays $1050. This unit would be easy to update and rent for much more if you are looking to maximize income. Both units are 2bed/1bath. Central air/heat, in unit laundry in both units, some newer appliances. There is parking in the rear as well as a 2-story deck for rear entry. Owner-agent prefers as-is sale. Please do not disturb tenants.

  15. 2026-05-03
    price $319,000 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Attractive yellow brick duplex on a quiet cul-de-sac near SLU and Shaw is perfect for owner occupant buyer looking to house hack, or savvy investor seeking income. Both units are currently occupied. The first-floor unit is furnished and used as mid-term rental for travel nurses, currently rented at $1800/month thru 9/30/26, but is usually rented for $2000-2400/month. The upstairs unit has a wonderful long-term tenant (20+ years) who pays $1050. This unit would be easy to update and rent for much more if you are looking to maximize income. Both units are 2bed/1bath. Central air/heat, in unit laundry in both units, some newer appliances. There is parking in the rear as well as a 2-story deck for rear entry. Owner-agent prefers as-is sale. Please do not disturb tenants.

  16. 2026-04-22
    listed $325,000 Active 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Attractive yellow brick duplex on a quiet cul-de-sac near SLU and Shaw is perfect for owner occupant buyer looking to house hack, or savvy investor seeking income. Both units are currently occupied. The first-floor unit is furnished and used as mid-term rental for travel nurses, currently rented at $1800/month thru 9/30/26, but is usually rented for $2000-2400/month. The upstairs unit has a wonderful long-term tenant (20+ years) who pays $1050. This unit would be easy to update and rent for much more if you are looking to maximize income. Both units are 2bed/1bath. Central air/heat, in unit laundry in both units, some newer appliances. There is parking in the rear as well as a 2-story deck for rear entry. Owner-agent prefers as-is sale. Please do not disturb tenants.

  17. 2013-10-01
    soldstatus $600,000
  18. 2010-11-16
    soldstatus $660,000
  19. 1998-05-15
    soldstatus $687,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,736 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,055 · $255/mo
Expected delta
+$1,320/yr (+$110/mo · 76.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,208
− Mortgage interest
−$17,645
− Property taxes
−$1,736
− Insurance
−$1,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,817
− Management
−$2,817
− Depreciation
−$9,164
Taxable loss
−$544
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$131
After-tax cash flow
$4,812/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
17,645
Household income
$81,655
Rent vs Own
56.4% rent · 43.6% own
Severe rent burden
921.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 19% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -206.93%
Current HPI
342.2466
Rent YoY
▲ 6.24%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-54.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $314,999 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $319,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $325,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $600,000 Public Records
  • 2010-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $660,000 Public Records
  • 1998-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $687,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,736 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…