Duplex
3824 Folsom Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$314,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Attractive yellow brick duplex on a quiet cul-de-sac near SLU and Shaw is perfect for owner occupant buyer looking to house hack, or savvy investor seeking income. Both units are currently occupied. The first-floor unit is furnished and used as mid-term rental for travel nurses, currently rented at $1800/month thru 9/30/26, but is usually rented for $2000-2400/month. The upstairs unit has a wonderful long-term tenant (20+ years) who pays $1050. This unit would be easy to update and rent for much more if you are looking to maximize income. Both units are 2bed/1bath. Central air/heat, in unit laundry in both units, some newer appliances. There is parking in the rear as well as a 2-story deck for rear entry. Owner-agent prefers as-is sale. Please do not disturb tenants.
Key facts
- Yellow brick duplex
- Parking in the rear
- Quiet cul-de-sac
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $195/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $293k (6.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $293k (6.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.31%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $361,369
- List price
- $314,999
- Delta
- -12.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3667 Blaine Ave | 0.09mi | 4/4.0 | 2,156 (-4%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $90 | 76 |
| 3946 Detonty St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 2,256 (+0%) | 18mo | $250,000 | $111 | 70 |
| 3961 Shaw Blvd | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,160 (-4%) | 5mo | $299,000 | $138 | 67 |
| 3655 Russell Blvd | 0.43mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,288 (+2%) | 17mo | $340,000 | $149 | 58 |
| 4005-4007 Shenandoah Ave | 0.74mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,206 (-2%) | 4mo | $299,900 | $136 | 54 |
| 3652 Shenandoah Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 2,200 (-2%) | 23mo | $300,000 | $136 | 43 |
| 4131 Flad Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 2,500 (+11%) | 11mo | $415,000 | $166 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-16,432
- Equity at exit
- $46,967
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $60,555
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63110
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 17.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,934 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,736/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$616
- Net cashflow
- $390
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,934 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,467 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,467 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,934 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3901 Folsom Ave Unit 3909 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1635 | $1,845 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3663 McRee Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1714 | $2,750 | $1.60 | 17d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2053 Alfred Ave St. Louis, MO | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1768 | $1,975 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4133 Laclede Ave Unit 1 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2775 | $1,999 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2347 Park Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1608 | $2,150 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3701 Lindell Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1073 | $2,500 | $2.33 | 16d | 81 | 1.31mi |
| 3701 Lindell Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1073 | $2,500 | $2.33 | 1d | 128 | 1.31mi |
| 3681 Lindell Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1292 | $3,579 | $2.77 | 1d | 62 | 1.33mi |
| 2648 California Ave Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2458 | $2,000 | $0.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4145-4147 Hartford St St. Louis, MO | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $3,800 | $1.58 | 12d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3717-3721 Westminster Pl St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1343 | $2,735 | $2.04 | 16d | 4 | 1.37mi |
| 2253 Indiana Ave Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1760 | $2,600 | $1.48 | 7d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3628 Wyoming St Unit 2F St. Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,950 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 404 N Sarah St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1772 | $2,600 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $314,999 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $314,999 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $314,999 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $314,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $314,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $314,999 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $314,999 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $314,999 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $314,999 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $314,999 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $314,999 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $314,999 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $314,999 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $314,999 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Attractive yellow brick duplex on a quiet cul-de-sac near SLU and Shaw is perfect for owner occupant buyer looking to house hack, or savvy investor seeking income. Both units are currently occupied. The first-floor unit is furnished and used as mid-term rental for travel nurses, currently rented at $1800/month thru 9/30/26, but is usually rented for $2000-2400/month. The upstairs unit has a wonderful long-term tenant (20+ years) who pays $1050. This unit would be easy to update and rent for much more if you are looking to maximize income. Both units are 2bed/1bath. Central air/heat, in unit laundry in both units, some newer appliances. There is parking in the rear as well as a 2-story deck for rear entry. Owner-agent prefers as-is sale. Please do not disturb tenants.
-
2026-05-03price $319,000 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Attractive yellow brick duplex on a quiet cul-de-sac near SLU and Shaw is perfect for owner occupant buyer looking to house hack, or savvy investor seeking income. Both units are currently occupied. The first-floor unit is furnished and used as mid-term rental for travel nurses, currently rented at $1800/month thru 9/30/26, but is usually rented for $2000-2400/month. The upstairs unit has a wonderful long-term tenant (20+ years) who pays $1050. This unit would be easy to update and rent for much more if you are looking to maximize income. Both units are 2bed/1bath. Central air/heat, in unit laundry in both units, some newer appliances. There is parking in the rear as well as a 2-story deck for rear entry. Owner-agent prefers as-is sale. Please do not disturb tenants.
-
2026-04-22$325,000 Active 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Attractive yellow brick duplex on a quiet cul-de-sac near SLU and Shaw is perfect for owner occupant buyer looking to house hack, or savvy investor seeking income. Both units are currently occupied. The first-floor unit is furnished and used as mid-term rental for travel nurses, currently rented at $1800/month thru 9/30/26, but is usually rented for $2000-2400/month. The upstairs unit has a wonderful long-term tenant (20+ years) who pays $1050. This unit would be easy to update and rent for much more if you are looking to maximize income. Both units are 2bed/1bath. Central air/heat, in unit laundry in both units, some newer appliances. There is parking in the rear as well as a 2-story deck for rear entry. Owner-agent prefers as-is sale. Please do not disturb tenants.
-
2013-10-01soldstatus $600,000
-
2010-11-16soldstatus $660,000
-
1998-05-15soldstatus $687,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,736 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,055 · $255/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,320/yr (+$110/mo · 76.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,208
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$1,736
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,817
- − Management
- −$2,817
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$544
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$131
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,812/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,645
- Household income
- $81,655
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 921.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 19% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -206.93%
- Current HPI
- 342.2466
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.24%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-54.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $314,999 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $319,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $325,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $600,000 Public Records
- 2010-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $660,000 Public Records
- 1998-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $687,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,736 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…