591 Blue Ridge Rd · Black Mountain, NC
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 9 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.5/30.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to a charming opportunity in the heart of Black Mountain. Just 5 minutes from downtown, 20 minutes to Asheville, and a stone's throw from Veteran’s Park, this home puts you close to everything while still offering a peaceful retreat. Sitting on a .24-acre level lot, the property features a freshly painted interior and flexible spaces that make it ideal as a starter home or an income-producing rental. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a bonus room that can adapt to your lifestyle. Outside, the fenced rear/side yard is perfect for pets, play, or gardening. With restaurants, hiking trails, and all the charm of Black Mountain just minutes away, this home blends convenience with mountain living. Don’t miss your chance to make 591 Blue Ridge Road yours. Schedule a showing today and start building new memories in one of Western North Carolina’s most desirable communities.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 1974
- Listed 198 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-219 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (12.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (29.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (29.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.4% in Black Mountain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#2 in NC, #297 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+.
- Buncombe County Schools (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #72 of 178 in NC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Black Mountain Primary (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #249 of 1,410 statewide, top 20%, 323 students, 56% FRL); Owen Middle (math 37% / reading 45%, grade F, #209 of 475 statewide, top 45%, 418 students, 62% FRL); Owen High (math 67% / reading 57%, grade B-, #184 of 535 statewide, top 37%, 689 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: 301 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,305 units permitted in Buncombe County in 2024 (1,855 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Buncombe County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $106k; list at $300k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.18%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $384,316
- List price
- $300,000
- Delta
- -21.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 566 Blue Ridge Rd | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (+6%) | 7mo | $365,000 | $257 | 80 |
| 117 Owenby Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (-0%) | 8mo | $375,000 | $281 | 70 |
| 1126 Old US 70 Hwy W | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (-6%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $218 | 68 |
| 10 Wolf Creek Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,506 (+13%) | 8mo | $325,000 | $216 | 66 |
| 17 Avena St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (+1%) | 15mo | $385,000 | $284 | 56 |
| 21 Avena St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (+1%) | 17mo | $382,000 | $282 | 54 |
| 1140 Old US 70 Hwy | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-10%) | 20mo | $340,000 | $283 | 46 |
| 129 Owenby Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 | 1,456 (+9%) | 16mo | $397,000 | $273 | 45 |
| 97 Taylor St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,507 (+13%) | 11mo | $425,000 | $282 | 44 |
| 133 Owenby Ln | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 1,456 (+9%) | 17mo | $395,000 | $271 | 43 |
| 131 Owenby Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 | 1,456 (+9%) | 18mo | $390,000 | $268 | 43 |
| 115 Walker St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,485 (+11%) | 14mo | $455,000 | $306 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-62,651
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-72,854
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28711
- Active inventory
- 301
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,116 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,516/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $-219
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-49 | -5% $-134 | +0% $-219 | +5% $-304 | +10% $-389 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-386 | -5% $-303 | +0% $-219 | +5% $-136 | +10% $-52 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-68 | -0.5pp $-143 | base $-219 | +0.5pp $-297 | +1.0pp $-376 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Fortune St Black Mountain, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 104 Hiawassee Ave Black Mountain, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $1,995 | $1.74 | 15d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 15 Asa Ct Black Mountain, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,950 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $300,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $300,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $300,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $300,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $300,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $300,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $300,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $300,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $300,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $300,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $300,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $300,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $300,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $300,000 Active 178 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $300,000 Active 177 DOM
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2026-02-17price $300,000 926-char remark
Show marketing remark (926 chars)
Welcome to a charming opportunity in the heart of Black Mountain. Just 5 minutes from downtown, 20 minutes to Asheville, and a stone's throw from Veteran’s Park, this home puts you close to everything while still offering a peaceful retreat. Sitting on a .24-acre level lot, the property features a freshly painted interior and flexible spaces that make it ideal as a starter home or an income-producing rental. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a bonus room that can adapt to your lifestyle. Outside, the fenced rear/side yard is perfect for pets, play, or gardening. With restaurants, hiking trails, and all the charm of Black Mountain just minutes away, this home blends convenience with mountain living. Don’t miss your chance to make 591 Blue Ridge Road yours. Schedule a showing today and start building new memories in one of Western North Carolina’s most desirable communities.
-
2026-01-15price $330,000 926-char remark
Show marketing remark (926 chars)
Welcome to a charming opportunity in the heart of Black Mountain. Just 5 minutes from downtown, 20 minutes to Asheville, and a stone's throw from Veteran’s Park, this home puts you close to everything while still offering a peaceful retreat. Sitting on a .24-acre level lot, the property features a freshly painted interior and flexible spaces that make it ideal as a starter home or an income-producing rental. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a bonus room that can adapt to your lifestyle. Outside, the fenced rear/side yard is perfect for pets, play, or gardening. With restaurants, hiking trails, and all the charm of Black Mountain just minutes away, this home blends convenience with mountain living. Don’t miss your chance to make 591 Blue Ridge Road yours. Schedule a showing today and start building new memories in one of Western North Carolina’s most desirable communities.
-
2025-12-05$340,000 Active 926-char remark
Show marketing remark (926 chars)
Welcome to a charming opportunity in the heart of Black Mountain. Just 5 minutes from downtown, 20 minutes to Asheville, and a stone's throw from Veteran’s Park, this home puts you close to everything while still offering a peaceful retreat. Sitting on a .24-acre level lot, the property features a freshly painted interior and flexible spaces that make it ideal as a starter home or an income-producing rental. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a bonus room that can adapt to your lifestyle. Outside, the fenced rear/side yard is perfect for pets, play, or gardening. With restaurants, hiking trails, and all the charm of Black Mountain just minutes away, this home blends convenience with mountain living. Don’t miss your chance to make 591 Blue Ridge Road yours. Schedule a showing today and start building new memories in one of Western North Carolina’s most desirable communities.
-
2025-12-03historical $340,000 926-char remark
Show marketing remark (926 chars)
Welcome to a charming opportunity in the heart of Black Mountain. Just 5 minutes from downtown, 20 minutes to Asheville, and a stone's throw from Veteran’s Park, this home puts you close to everything while still offering a peaceful retreat. Sitting on a .24-acre level lot, the property features a freshly painted interior and flexible spaces that make it ideal as a starter home or an income-producing rental. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a bonus room that can adapt to your lifestyle. Outside, the fenced rear/side yard is perfect for pets, play, or gardening. With restaurants, hiking trails, and all the charm of Black Mountain just minutes away, this home blends convenience with mountain living. Don’t miss your chance to make 591 Blue Ridge Road yours. Schedule a showing today and start building new memories in one of Western North Carolina’s most desirable communities.
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2004-03-30soldstatus $106,000
-
1998-03-30soldstatus $72,500
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1998-03-30soldstatus $72,500
-
1992-12-21soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,516 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,460 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- +$944/yr (+$79/mo · 62.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 9 d/yr ≥91°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,395
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$1,516
- − Insurance
- −$2,298
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,032
- − Management
- −$2,032
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$8,013
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,923
- After-tax cash flow
- $-707/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buncombe County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700450
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,981
- Composite
- 40.32/100
- National rank
- #3749
- State rank
- #72 of 178 in NC
Livability — Black Mountain
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #297
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Black Mountain, NC
- County
- Buncombe County · 241,085 people
- City population
- 12,663
- Metro
- Asheville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,663
- Household income
- $74,761
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 556.0
Population outlook (Buncombe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,475 people
- By 2030
- 302,237 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 330,687 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 356,370 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 409,383 · +42.9%
- By 2100
- 437,270 · +52.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Serbian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Buncombe
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.8) · D 61.7% · R 36.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.9pp toward D · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 24.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.8 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+14.6 2012: D+12.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.20%
- Current HPI
- 314.8029
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Asheville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+500.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $300,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $330,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-05 Listed $340,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-03 Coming Soon $340,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
- 1998-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
- 1998-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
- 1992-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,516 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…