660 Linley St · Longboat Key, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$799,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Owner Financing Available! Nestled in the heart of Longboat Key's coveted historic Longbeach Village, this exceptional island retreat offers 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms across two charming Key West-style cottages just moments from both the most pristine Gulf beaches and beautiful Sarasota Bay. This rare property blends timeless coastal elegance with modern updates in a private, landscaped setting. The main residence features a bright, open floor plan and an updated kitchen with quartz countertops, hardwood cabinetry, newer appliances, and abundant natural light. The detached guest cottage offers a private 1-bedroom, 1-bath layout complete with its own kitchen and entrance, providing the perf
Key facts
- Updated kitchen
- 5,506 sq ft lot
- Built 1952
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 38 x 120 (0.13 acres); Paved road access; Private boat ramp and beach/waterway access
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: No association; Golf carts allowed; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One level; Faces northwest; Completed condition
- Construction: Block, cement siding, stone, and frame construction; Membrane and shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as of public records
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Private mailbox; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Kitchen/family room combo; Open floorplan; Thermostat
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $799k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-263 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $753k (5.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $645k (19.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $645k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 0.5% in Longboat Key — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#693 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Anna Maria Elementary School (math 77% / reading 77%, grade A, #170 of 2,144 statewide, top 9%, 190 students, 36% FRL); Martha B. King Middle School (math 48% / reading 39%, grade D, #329 of 571 statewide, top 58%, 848 students, 63% FRL); Bayshore High School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 1,435 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 543 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$54k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 17 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $460k; list at $799k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.88%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-12,385
- Equity at exit
- $261,507
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $104,804
- Equity at exit
- $338,974
Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34228
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 543
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,448 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,190
- Tax from tax record
- −$407 /mo · $4,889/yr
- Insurance
- −$333
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,354
- Net cashflow
- $-263
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $189 | -5% $-37 | +0% $-263 | +5% $-489 | +10% $-715 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-772 | -5% $-518 | +0% $-263 | +5% $-8 | +10% $247 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $140 | -0.5pp $-60 | base $-263 | +0.5pp $-470 | +1.0pp $-681 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $199,750
- Closing costs
- $23,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6979 Longboat Dr S Longboat Key, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $10,000 | $6.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 730 Fox St Longboat Key, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1350 | $5,500 | $4.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 420 Firehouse Ct #10 Longboat Key, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $3,600 | $3.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 615 Dream Island Rd #107 Longboat Key, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1293 | $12,500 | $9.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $799,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $799,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$799,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,889 · $407/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,632 · $553/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,743/yr (+$145/mo · 35.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $77,378
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,756
- − Property taxes
- −$4,889
- − Insurance
- −$9,114
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,190
- − Management
- −$6,190
- − Depreciation
- −$23,244
- Taxable loss
- −$17,005
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,081
- After-tax cash flow
- $927/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Longboat Key
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #693
- US rank
- #14452
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Longboat Key, FL
- County
- Sarasota County · 448,376 people
- City population
- 7,539
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,539
- Household income
- $158,030
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 98.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 7% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.73%
- Current HPI
- 234.5017
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+1041.4% since first listed39 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $799,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $675,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $725,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-15 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-09 Listed $750,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-09 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-06 Price Changed $999,950 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-09 Price Changed $1,099,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-12 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-03 Price Changed $1,199,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-30 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-05 Listed $1,275,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-15 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-17 Price Changed $1,300,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-13 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-17 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-26 Listed $1,399,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-24 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-24 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-03 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-15 Price Changed $699,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-03 Listed $739,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $460,000 Public Records
- 2008-06-16 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-13 Sold (MLS) $460,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-03 Listed $475,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-01-28 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-01-12 Listed $470,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-01-09 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-15 Listed $499,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-05 Listed $550,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-04-05 Listed $499,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-07-13 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-08 Listed $775,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $425,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-28 Sold (MLS) $425,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-07-19 Listed $425,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $125,300 Public Records
- 1986-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,889 · -34.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…