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159-161 Grant St
B+ Composite 75.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$140,000

159-161 Grant St · Salem, NJ 08079
6 bd · 0.0 ba · 1,420 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1920 3,999 sqft lot Est $155k · 10% under ↓ 47% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment opportunity with this duplex featuring 3 bedroom and 1 bath on each side. Property is being sold "as is".

Key facts

  • Septic improvements
  • Multi-family duplex
  • Full basement

Tags

MULTI-FAMILY DUPLEX2 SEPARATE UNITSFULL BASEMENTSEPTIC IMPROVEMENTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership; One total unit listed (market record indicates multi-unit configuration)

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking lot
  • Utilities: Well water (well permit applied for); Electric hot water; Sewer permit applied for
  • Home design: Detached structure; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Stone foundation; Estimated year built
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 160; No tidal water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heat
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 8.4% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: John Fenwick Academy (411 students, 77% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $436 of equity ($968 loan paydown + $-532 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $140k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,800 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
14.20%
Cash-on-cash
28.25%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$154,780
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
35 Johnson St 0.16mi 5/1.5 (-1) 1,500 (+6%) 20mo $163,000 $109 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$25,271
Equity at exit
$38,010
10-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$79,312
Equity at exit
$43,633

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08079

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,291 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,139/yr
Insurance
$58
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$481
Net cashflow
$496

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,663
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $140,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    listed $140,000 Active
  16. 2026-04-25
    historical
  17. 2026-04-24
    listed $140,000 Active
  18. 2022-01-05
    soldstatus $65,000
  19. 2021-06-03
    soldstatus $40,000
  20. 2017-02-15
    soldstatus $5,000 Sold 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    Investment opportunity with this duplex featuring 3 bedroom and 1 bath on each side. Property is being sold "as is".

  21. 2017-02-15
    soldstatus $5,000
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    Investment opportunity with this duplex featuring 3 bedroom and 1 bath on each side. Property is being sold "as is".

  22. 2017-01-23
    status Under Contract 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    Investment opportunity with this duplex featuring 3 bedroom and 1 bath on each side. Property is being sold "as is".

  23. 2017-01-20
    historical 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    Investment opportunity with this duplex featuring 3 bedroom and 1 bath on each side. Property is being sold "as is".

  24. 2016-07-23
    listed $20,000 Active 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    Investment opportunity with this duplex featuring 3 bedroom and 1 bath on each side. Property is being sold "as is".

  25. 2015-01-05
    historical
  26. 2015-01-05
    historical
  27. 2014-09-22
    listed $27,500
  28. 2014-09-04
    listed $55,000
  29. 2012-06-01
    soldstatus $35,000
  30. 2010-12-08
    soldstatus $265,500
  31. 2010-12-08
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,139 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,312 · $193/mo
Expected delta
+$1,174/yr (+$98/mo · 103.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,496
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$1,139
− Insurance
−$5,818
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,200
− Management
−$2,200
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$4,224
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,014
After-tax cash flow
$4,940/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem City School District
NCES district ID
3414550
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$27,118
Composite
11.51/100
National rank
#9702
State rank
#464 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Salem

Score
61/100
State rank
#462
US rank
#17533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing F Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, NJ
County
Salem County · 24,175 people
City population
10,762
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
10,762
Household income
$54,641
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,905 people
By 2030
57,351 · -4.3%
By 2040
51,837 · -13.5%
By 2050
46,356 · -22.6%
By 2075
36,452 · -39.2%
By 2100
28,907 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Salem

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.38%
Current HPI
258.0047
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-47.3% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-25 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2021-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2017-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
  • 2017-02-15 Sold (MLS) $5,000 TREND
  • 2017-01-23 Pending TREND
  • 2017-01-20 Delisted TREND
  • 2016-07-23 Listed $20,000 TREND
  • 2015-01-05 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-01-05 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-09-22 Listed $27,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-09-04 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2010-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2010-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $265,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,139 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…