159-161 Grant St · Salem, NJ
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity with this duplex featuring 3 bedroom and 1 bath on each side. Property is being sold "as is".
Key facts
- Septic improvements
- Multi-family duplex
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; One total unit listed (market record indicates multi-unit configuration)
Exterior
- Parking: Parking lot
- Utilities: Well water (well permit applied for); Electric hot water; Sewer permit applied for
- Home design: Detached structure; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Stone foundation; Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 160; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heat
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 8.4% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: John Fenwick Academy (411 students, 77% FRL).
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $436 of equity ($968 loan paydown + $-532 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
- Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $140k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.25%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $154,780
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Johnson St | 0.16mi | 5/1.5 (-1) | 1,500 (+6%) | 20mo | $163,000 | $109 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $25,271
- Equity at exit
- $38,010
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $79,312
- Equity at exit
- $43,633
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08079
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,291 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,139/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$481
- Net cashflow
- $496
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $140,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-08$140,000 Active
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2026-04-25historical
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2026-04-24$140,000 Active
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2022-01-05soldstatus $65,000
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2021-06-03soldstatus $40,000
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2017-02-15soldstatus $5,000 Sold 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Investment opportunity with this duplex featuring 3 bedroom and 1 bath on each side. Property is being sold "as is".
-
2017-02-15soldstatus $5,000
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Investment opportunity with this duplex featuring 3 bedroom and 1 bath on each side. Property is being sold "as is".
-
2017-01-23status Under Contract 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Investment opportunity with this duplex featuring 3 bedroom and 1 bath on each side. Property is being sold "as is".
-
2017-01-20historical 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Investment opportunity with this duplex featuring 3 bedroom and 1 bath on each side. Property is being sold "as is".
-
2016-07-23$20,000 Active 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Investment opportunity with this duplex featuring 3 bedroom and 1 bath on each side. Property is being sold "as is".
-
2015-01-05historical
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2015-01-05historical
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2014-09-22$27,500
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2014-09-04$55,000
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2012-06-01soldstatus $35,000
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2010-12-08soldstatus $265,500
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2010-12-08soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,139 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,312 · $193/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,174/yr (+$98/mo · 103.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,496
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,139
- − Insurance
- −$5,818
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,200
- − Management
- −$2,200
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $4,224
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,014
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,940/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3414550
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,118
- Composite
- 11.51/100
- National rank
- #9702
- State rank
- #464 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Salem
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #462
- US rank
- #17533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salem, NJ
- County
- Salem County · 24,175 people
- City population
- 10,762
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,762
- Household income
- $54,641
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 663.0
Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,905 people
- By 2030
- 57,351 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 51,837 · -13.5%
- By 2050
- 46,356 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 36,452 · -39.2%
- By 2100
- 28,907 · -51.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Salem
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.38%
- Current HPI
- 258.0047
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
-47.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-25 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2017-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
- 2017-02-15 Sold (MLS) $5,000 TREND
- 2017-01-23 Pending — TREND
- 2017-01-20 Delisted — TREND
- 2016-07-23 Listed $20,000 TREND
- 2015-01-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-01-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-09-22 Listed $27,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-09-04 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2010-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2010-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $265,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,139 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…