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6406 Wildwood Pines Ln 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 36.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0

$334,990

6406 Wildwood Pines Ln · Houston, TX 77449
5 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,305 sqft · SingleFamily · 13 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 5,041 sqft lot $142/mo HOA · 5% of rent ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

With a downstairs Primary bedroom, a study, and 3 additional bedrooms upstairs, the Bluebonnet is designed for easy Texas living. This two-story home with 3.5 baths offers an open-concept living and dining area with a central kitchen island. Don't miss the large walk-in pantry under the stairs. Homeowners will appreciate the pass-through mud/utility room from the garage to the kitchen, the perfect spot to drop bags and backpacks. The study is tucked in the rear of the home, offering a quiet work-from-home spot that overlooks the back covered patio. Upstairs, the open game room can be a second living area, playroom, or hangout spot for the 3 upstairs bedrooms.

Key facts

  • Open game room
  • 2 pools
  • Splash pad

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LIVINGLARGE WALK-IN PANTRYPASS-THROUGH MUD UTILITY ROOMOPEN GAME ROOM2 POOLSSPLASH PAD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Part of Cohere Life association; Association amenities include: clubhouse, fitness center, pool, playground, park, trails, basketball court, tennis courts, pickleball, sport court, meeting/party room, picnic area, dog park; Association fee paid annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Under construction (new construction); Faces west
  • Construction: Built in 2026; Brick and cement siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Brookfield Residential builder
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot with a pond on the lot; Association pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; Additional bedrooms on the second floor (three bedrooms listed); First-floor bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Quartz counters; 9 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $334,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $405,803.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $335k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-628 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $315k (6.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $294k (12.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $294k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #161 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Rowe Middle (math 26% / reading 44%, grade F, #842 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 1,310 students, 80% FRL); Cypress Park H S (math 41% / reading 49%, grade D-, #643 of 1,632 statewide, top 40%, 2,960 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 43% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 744 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $293,508 (12.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.44%
Cash-on-cash
-6.63%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$405,803
List price
$334,990
Delta
-2.42%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
22702 Norcrest Hills Dr 0.07mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,341 (+2%) 2mo $426,780 $182 85
22734 Norcrest Hills Dr 0.11mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,341 (+2%) 3mo $396,780 $169 83
22607 Potterstone Peak Dr 0.12mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,274 (-1%) 3mo $514,555 $226 83
22726 Norcrest Hills Dr 0.10mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,190 (-5%) 1mo $445,000 $203 79
6426 Wildwood Pines Ln 0.04mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,428 (+5%) 2mo $415,000 $171 79
22746 Norcrest Hills Dr 0.14mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,190 (-5%) 4mo $450,000 $205 75
6439 Prospect Oaks Pkwy 0.07mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,112 (-8%) 6mo $374,990 $178 69
6822 Barrington Creek Trce 0.58mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,307 (+0%) 2mo $357,500 $155 62
23010 Needlegrass Rd 0.53mi 4/3.5 (-1) 2,493 (+8%) 4mo $365,000 $146 53
6803 Hartford Cliff Ct 0.65mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,226 (-3%) 12mo $373,000 $168 47
23027 Needlegrass Rd 0.57mi 4/3.5 (-1) 2,493 (+8%) 10mo $385,000 $154 47
6107 Dovetail Cliff Ct 0.72mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,425 (+5%) 9mo $400,000 $165 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.27% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-83,938
Equity at exit
$92,707
10-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
-0.14×
Total profit
$-129,249
Equity at exit
$92,944

Cash invested: $113,625 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77449

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Rents YoY
-2.9%
Active inventory
744
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,935 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,128
Tax est. 1.5%
$507 /mo · $6,087/yr
Insurance
$169
HOA
$142
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$616
Net cashflow
$-628

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,730
Max offer price $314,974
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$101,451
Closing costs
$12,174
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
22700 Elyson Falls Dr Katy, TX 2.0–4.0 2.0–3.0 1658 $2,925 $1.76 3d 1 0.19mi
5710 Fresh View Ct Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2313 $2,495 $1.08 2d 1 1.16mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$142 · $1,704/yr

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $334,990 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $334,990 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $334,990 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $334,990 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $334,990 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $334,990 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $334,990 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $334,990 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $334,990 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $395,990 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $395,990 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $395,990 Active 60 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $395,990 Active 59 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $395,990 Active 58 DOM
  15. 2026-04-25
    price $395,990 804-char remark
  16. 2026-04-24
    status Active 667-char remark
    Show marketing remark (667 chars)

    With a downstairs Primary bedroom, a study, and 3 additional bedrooms upstairs, the Bluebonnet is designed for easy Texas living. This two-story home with 3.5 baths offers an open-concept living and dining area with a central kitchen island. Don't miss the large walk-in pantry under the stairs. Homeowners will appreciate the pass-through mud/utility room from the garage to the kitchen, the perfect spot to drop bags and backpacks. The study is tucked in the rear of the home, offering a quiet work-from-home spot that overlooks the back covered patio. Upstairs, the open game room can be a second living area, playroom, or hangout spot for the 3 upstairs bedrooms.

  17. 2026-04-23
    historical 667-char remark
    Show marketing remark (667 chars)

    With a downstairs Primary bedroom, a study, and 3 additional bedrooms upstairs, the Bluebonnet is designed for easy Texas living. This two-story home with 3.5 baths offers an open-concept living and dining area with a central kitchen island. Don't miss the large walk-in pantry under the stairs. Homeowners will appreciate the pass-through mud/utility room from the garage to the kitchen, the perfect spot to drop bags and backpacks. The study is tucked in the rear of the home, offering a quiet work-from-home spot that overlooks the back covered patio. Upstairs, the open game room can be a second living area, playroom, or hangout spot for the 3 upstairs bedrooms.

  18. 2026-04-10
    price $395,990 667-char remark
    Show marketing remark (667 chars)

    With a downstairs Primary bedroom, a study, and 3 additional bedrooms upstairs, the Bluebonnet is designed for easy Texas living. This two-story home with 3.5 baths offers an open-concept living and dining area with a central kitchen island. Don't miss the large walk-in pantry under the stairs. Homeowners will appreciate the pass-through mud/utility room from the garage to the kitchen, the perfect spot to drop bags and backpacks. The study is tucked in the rear of the home, offering a quiet work-from-home spot that overlooks the back covered patio. Upstairs, the open game room can be a second living area, playroom, or hangout spot for the 3 upstairs bedrooms.

  19. 2026-04-03
    price $396,831 667-char remark
    Show marketing remark (667 chars)

    With a downstairs Primary bedroom, a study, and 3 additional bedrooms upstairs, the Bluebonnet is designed for easy Texas living. This two-story home with 3.5 baths offers an open-concept living and dining area with a central kitchen island. Don't miss the large walk-in pantry under the stairs. Homeowners will appreciate the pass-through mud/utility room from the garage to the kitchen, the perfect spot to drop bags and backpacks. The study is tucked in the rear of the home, offering a quiet work-from-home spot that overlooks the back covered patio. Upstairs, the open game room can be a second living area, playroom, or hangout spot for the 3 upstairs bedrooms.

  20. 2026-04-03
    listed $396,251 Active 804-char remark
    Show marketing remark (667 chars)

    With a downstairs Primary bedroom, a study, and 3 additional bedrooms upstairs, the Bluebonnet is designed for easy Texas living. This two-story home with 3.5 baths offers an open-concept living and dining area with a central kitchen island. Don't miss the large walk-in pantry under the stairs. Homeowners will appreciate the pass-through mud/utility room from the garage to the kitchen, the perfect spot to drop bags and backpacks. The study is tucked in the rear of the home, offering a quiet work-from-home spot that overlooks the back covered patio. Upstairs, the open game room can be a second living area, playroom, or hangout spot for the 3 upstairs bedrooms.

  21. 2026-03-28
    listed $396,251 Active 667-char remark
    Show marketing remark (667 chars)

    With a downstairs Primary bedroom, a study, and 3 additional bedrooms upstairs, the Bluebonnet is designed for easy Texas living. This two-story home with 3.5 baths offers an open-concept living and dining area with a central kitchen island. Don't miss the large walk-in pantry under the stairs. Homeowners will appreciate the pass-through mud/utility room from the garage to the kitchen, the perfect spot to drop bags and backpacks. The study is tucked in the rear of the home, offering a quiet work-from-home spot that overlooks the back covered patio. Upstairs, the open game room can be a second living area, playroom, or hangout spot for the 3 upstairs bedrooms.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,221
− Mortgage interest
−$22,731
− Property taxes
−$6,087
− Insurance
−$2,029
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,818
− Management
−$2,818
− HOA
−$1,704
− Depreciation
−$11,805
Taxable loss
−$14,771
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,545
After-tax cash flow
$-3,987/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a prime location with community amenities, making it an attractive investment.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances both resale and rental value
  • Both Community amenities — Improves quality of life and attracts buyers/renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances both resale and rental value
  • Both Community amenities — Improves quality of life and attracts buyers/renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cypress-Fairbanks ISD
NCES district ID
4816110
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$72,025
Composite
43.63/100
National rank
#2968
State rank
#161 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
130,028
Household income
$87,808
Rent vs Own
31.7% rent · 68.3% own
Severe rent burden
3088.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 49% Two or more races 22% Black 20% White 19% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.27%
Current HPI
254.6622
Rent YoY
▼ -2.86%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $334,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $334,990 Zillow
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $334,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $395,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-23 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $395,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $396,831 Zillow
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $396,251 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $396,251 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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