Duplex
769 Forest Ave · Mamaroneck, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$899,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Set on approximately 0.20 acres in a desirable Larchmont location adjacent to Badger Swim Camp, this legal two-family property presents an opportunity for redevelopment or significant renovation. The existing structure requires extensive work and is being sold strictly as-is. With a generous lot size, this property is ideally suited for builders, investors, or end-users looking to create a custom residence. Buyers to perform their own due diligence regarding zoning, use, and redevelopment potential. The main unit consists of a living room, dining room, den, eat-in kitchen, full bathroom on the first floor and two bedrooms on the 2nd floor. The lower level accessed from a separate entrance in the rear of the home and consists of a living room, eat-in kitchen, a bedroom, den and one bath with access to a deck.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1923
- Listed 82 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $899k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $254/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $780k (13.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $780k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.1% in Mamaroneck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#491 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living F.
- Mamaroneck Union Free School District (suburban): math 74% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #47 of 590 in NY (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($845k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.74%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,907,385
- List price
- $899,000
- Delta
- -52.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 Fenimore Rd | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,156 (-7%) | 4mo | $840,000 | $390 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-113,537
- Equity at exit
- $134,044
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-58,111
- Equity at exit
- $77,729
Cash invested: $251,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10538
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 19.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,798 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,714
- Tax from tax record
- −$497 /mo · $5,961/yr
- Insurance
- −$375
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,638
- Net cashflow
- $508
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,017 | -5% $763 | +0% $508 | +5% $254 | +10% $-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-108 | -5% $200 | +0% $508 | +5% $816 | +10% $1,124 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $961 | -0.5pp $737 | base $508 | +0.5pp $275 | +1.0pp $38 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $7,798 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $3,899 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $3,899 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,798 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $224,750
- Closing costs
- $26,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Bonnie Way Larchmont, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2700 | $14,000 | $5.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 79 Edgewood Ave Larchmont, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1786 | $7,800 | $4.37 | 0d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 49 N Chatsworth Ave Larchmont, NY | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2402 | $9,950 | $4.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 52 Wendt Ave Larchmont, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1656 | $8,950 | $5.40 | 0d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 101 Sheldrake Pl Unit 101-4 Mamaroneck, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2472 | $4,295 | $1.74 | 0d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $899,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $899,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $899,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $899,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $899,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $899,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $899,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $899,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $899,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $899,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $899,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $899,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $899,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $899,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-03-31$899,000 Active 819-char remark
Show marketing remark (819 chars)
Set on approximately 0.20 acres in a desirable Larchmont location adjacent to Badger Swim Camp, this legal two-family property presents an opportunity for redevelopment or significant renovation. The existing structure requires extensive work and is being sold strictly as-is. With a generous lot size, this property is ideally suited for builders, investors, or end-users looking to create a custom residence. Buyers to perform their own due diligence regarding zoning, use, and redevelopment potential. The main unit consists of a living room, dining room, den, eat-in kitchen, full bathroom on the first floor and two bedrooms on the 2nd floor. The lower level accessed from a separate entrance in the rear of the home and consists of a living room, eat-in kitchen, a bedroom, den and one bath with access to a deck.
-
2026-03-29historical $899,000 819-char remark
Show marketing remark (819 chars)
Set on approximately 0.20 acres in a desirable Larchmont location adjacent to Badger Swim Camp, this legal two-family property presents an opportunity for redevelopment or significant renovation. The existing structure requires extensive work and is being sold strictly as-is. With a generous lot size, this property is ideally suited for builders, investors, or end-users looking to create a custom residence. Buyers to perform their own due diligence regarding zoning, use, and redevelopment potential. The main unit consists of a living room, dining room, den, eat-in kitchen, full bathroom on the first floor and two bedrooms on the 2nd floor. The lower level accessed from a separate entrance in the rear of the home and consists of a living room, eat-in kitchen, a bedroom, den and one bath with access to a deck.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,961 · $497/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,577 · $881/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,616/yr (+$385/mo · 77.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $93,576
- − Mortgage interest
- −$50,358
- − Property taxes
- −$5,961
- − Insurance
- −$5,292
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,486
- − Management
- −$7,486
- − Depreciation
- −$26,153
- Taxable loss
- −$9,160
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,198
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,297/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mamaroneck Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618240
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 81% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $111,011
- Composite
- 71.4/100
- National rank
- #228
- State rank
- #47 of 590 in NY
Livability — Mamaroneck
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #491
- US rank
- #8656
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 20,989
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,709
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 4% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -535.56%
- Current HPI
- 325.1393
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listed $899,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-29 Coming Soon $899,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,961 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…