CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
143 State Route 55
B- Composite 67.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$189,900

143 State Route 55 · Barryville, NY 12719
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 940 sqft · Other public records · 125 Days on market
Built 1900 3.00 ac lot ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the Town of Highland, this approximately 3-acre property offers a unique opportunity for redevelopment or investment. The site includes two bungalow-style homes in need of remediation and carries a multi-family 280 State Use within the R-1 zoning district (buyer to verify all permitted uses). Conveniently situated near public access to the Delaware River, as well as local shopping, restaurants, post office, and car wash. Enjoy the charm of Barryville, including the popular Barryville Farmers Market held Saturday mornings through 1 PM during the summer season. A prime location with strong potential in a desirable river town setting.

Key facts

  • Car wash
  • Post office
  • Local shopping

Tags

TWO BUNGALOW-STYLE HOMESLOCAL SHOPPINGRESTAURANTSPOST OFFICECAR WASHBARRYVILLE FARMERS MARKET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.3% in Barryville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Eldred Central School District (rural): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #495 of 590 in NY (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $167,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
8.64%
Cash-on-cash
8.38%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.4%
Equity multiple
3.39×
Total profit
$127,153
Equity at exit
$171,077
10-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
7.70×
Total profit
$355,996
Equity at exit
$368,934

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12719

Home prices YoY
23.8%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,220 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$307 /mo · $3,686/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$466
Net cashflow
$371

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,750
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,900 Active 125 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,900 Active 124 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,900 Active 123 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,900 Active 122 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,900 Active 120 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $189,900 Active 119 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,900 Active 116 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 115 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 114 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 113 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $189,900 Active 110 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 109 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 108 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 107 DOM
  15. 2026-04-02
    price $224,910 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    Located in the Town of Highland, this approximately 3-acre property offers a unique opportunity for redevelopment or investment. The site includes two bungalow-style homes in need of remediation and carries a multi-family 280 State Use within the R-1 zoning district (buyer to verify all permitted uses). Conveniently situated near public access to the Delaware River, as well as local shopping, restaurants, post office, and car wash. Enjoy the charm of Barryville, including the popular Barryville Farmers Market held Saturday mornings through 1 PM during the summer season. A prime location with strong potential in a desirable river town setting.

  16. 2026-02-13
    listed $249,900 Active 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    Located in the Town of Highland, this approximately 3-acre property offers a unique opportunity for redevelopment or investment. The site includes two bungalow-style homes in need of remediation and carries a multi-family 280 State Use within the R-1 zoning district (buyer to verify all permitted uses). Conveniently situated near public access to the Delaware River, as well as local shopping, restaurants, post office, and car wash. Enjoy the charm of Barryville, including the popular Barryville Farmers Market held Saturday mornings through 1 PM during the summer season. A prime location with strong potential in a desirable river town setting.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,686 · $307/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,686 · $307/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,636
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$3,686
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,131
− Management
−$2,131
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable income
$1,577
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$378
After-tax cash flow
$4,078/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eldred Central School District
NCES district ID
3610410
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 11.00%
Median HH income
$52,775
Composite
35.94/100
National rank
#4800
State rank
#495 of 590 in NY

Livability — Barryville

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
892

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,974 people
By 2030
65,609 · -4.9%
By 2040
58,878 · -14.6%
By 2050
52,500 · -23.9%
By 2075
39,941 · -42.1%
By 2100
28,880 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 77.83%
Current HPI
405.292
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $224,910 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $249,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,686 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…