306 N Douglass St · Malden, MO 63863

$69,500

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,180 sqft · Other public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1940

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.6/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Downstairs: 2 bed, 1 bath, living room, kitchen, dining room, office or can be a bedroom and has been The bedrooms are very large and plenty of space. Closets are very good size as well. Bathroom has a walk in shower, storage closet, and newer tall toilet. Living room has room for a fullsize couch, 3 recliners, entertainment center, and end tables. Dining big enough for 6 person table Upstairs apartment: 1 bed, 1bath, kitchen area. Has access from outside along with inside. Has a basement where the water heater, heating system and sump pump are located. Roof had a leak which caused ceiling and wall damage that has not repaired. Roof has been replaced and does not leak currently. Sewer had

Key facts

• Living room
• Storage closet
• Dining room

Tags

• LIVING ROOM
• DINING ROOM
• OFFICE OR CAN BE A BEDROOM
• WALK IN SHOWER
• STORAGE CLOSET
• NEWER TALL TOILET

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $70k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
• Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 6.6% in Malden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#572 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
• Malden R-I (town): math 19% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #294 of 324 in MO (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Dunklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($481 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
• Dunklin County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $69,500

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.60% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.12%
• Cash-on-cash: 27.97%
• DSCR: 2.24
• GRM: 5.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 34.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.96×
• Total profit: $38,197
• Equity at exit: $32,266

10-year hold

• IRR: 34.3%
• Equity multiple: 5.85×
• Total profit: $94,307
• Equity at exit: $50,530

Cash invested: $19,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 63863

• Home prices YoY: 2.9%
• Active inventory: 36
• Price-to-rent: 5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,111 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$364
• Tax from tax record: −$31 /mo · $368/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$233
• Net cashflow: $454

Break-even live

Break-even rent $537

Max offer price $69,500

Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $493	-5% $473	+0% $454	+5% $434	+10% $414
Rent	-10% $366	-5% $410	+0% $454	+5% $497	+10% $541
Rate	-1.0pp $489	-0.5pp $471	base $454	+0.5pp $436	+1.0pp $417

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,375
• Closing costs: $2,085
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-13
   status Under Contract
2. 2026-05-12
   listed $69,500 Active
3. 1993-04-22
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $368 · $31/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $674 · $56/mo
• Expected delta: +$306/yr (+$26/mo · 83.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,332
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,893
• − Property taxes: −$368
• − Insurance: −$348
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,067
• − Management: −$1,067
• − Depreciation: −$2,022
• Taxable income: $4,568
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,096
• After-tax cash flow: $4,346/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Malden R-I
• NCES district ID: 2919890
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 31% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $29,537
• Composite: 20.06/100
• National rank: #8656
• State rank: #294 of 324 in MO

Livability — Malden

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #572
• US rank: #20610

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Malden, MO
• City population: 5,348
• Population (ZIP): 5,348

Population outlook (Dunklin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 28,599 people
• By 2030: 27,230 · -4.8%
• By 2040: 24,696 · -13.6%
• By 2050: 22,402 · -21.7%
• By 2075: 17,776 · -37.8%
• By 2100: 13,890 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dunklin

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.8% · R 80.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -40.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.3pp · 2024: -61.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+61.8 2020: R+57.0 2016: R+53.6 2012: R+30.2 2008: R+21.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.26%
• Current HPI: 116.067
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-13 Pending — FSBO.com
• 2026-05-12 Listed $69,500 FSBO.com
• 1993-04-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $368 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.