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1580 Goshen Rd Unit B
D Composite 40.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

1580 Goshen Rd Unit B · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA 30906
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,966 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1982 6,534 sqft lot $84/sqft · at area comps Est $169k · at est. $325/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

#GoldCourseView This charming condo has 30 year architectural shingle and has been completely updated. Walk into the foyer where you will find ceramic tile leading to the kitchen along with hardwood flooring throughout. The great room features vaulted ceilings and gas fireplace with brick accent leading to the ceiling with a oak wood hearth. The kitchen has travertine back splash, new cabinets, granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances, & bar top seating for 2 that over looks the great room. Walk down the hallway where you'll find the master bedroom that has chair rail and crown molding. The master bathroom has luxury plank vinyl flooring, shower tub combo, shiplap accent wall, cultured marble dual vanity sink, & walk in closet(9x7). Bedrooms 2 & 3 are connected by a jack & jill bathroom. Relax on the screened in back porch that over looks the golf course.

Key facts

  • Welcoming foyer
  • Upgraded kitchen
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

WELCOMING FOYERVAULTED CEILINGSOPEN-CONCEPT GREAT ROOMCOZY FIREPLACEUPGRADED KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Landsdown Villas @ Goshen
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present; Community includes golf course access; HOA fee $3,900 annually (approximately $325/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt parking
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Residential townhouse; Two-story; Entry level information not provided; Facing direction not provided
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1966
  • Exterior features: Screened rear porch; Located on a golf course

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Fireplace heating
  • Interior features: Window coverings; Garbage disposal; Gas water heater; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-9 ($-111/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (1.0% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Goshen Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #878 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 448 students, 98% FRL); Pine Hill Middle School (math 5% / reading 19%, grade F, #417 of 470 statewide, top 90%, 582 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 364 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,799/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 3363% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.24%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$168,662
List price
$165,000
Delta
-2.17%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4404 S Goshen Lake Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,907 (-3%) 14mo $205,000 $107 68
4409 S Goshen Lake Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,758 (-11%) 4mo $222,000 $126 63
4405 S Goshen Lake Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,995 (+2%) 24mo $249,999 $125 60
4417 S Goshen Lake Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,784 (-9%) 10mo $229,000 $128 60
3904 Goshen Ln 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,724 (-12%) 4mo $239,900 $139 58
4036 S Goshen Lake Dr 0.73mi 3/3.0 1,996 (+2%) 4mo $275,000 $138 58
4428 S Goshen Lake Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 2,171 (+10%) 17mo $262,000 $121 58
4015 Goshen Lk S 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,922 (-2%) 6mo $297,000 $155 52
2020 Country Place Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,045 (+4%) 4mo $269,900 $132 50
1708 Goshen Rd 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,704 (-13%) 2mo $279,000 $164 48
1718 Goshen Rd 0.66mi 3/2.0 2,167 (+10%) 9mo $260,000 $120 43
4024 Burning Tree Ln 0.61mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,258 (+15%) 13mo $315,000 $140 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.9%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-32,394
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-26.5%
Equity multiple
-0.05×
Total profit
$-48,508
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30906

Home prices YoY
-21.6%
Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
364
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,799 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,057/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$325
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$-9

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,811
Max offer price $163,364
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4210 Valencia Ln Augusta, GA 4.0 2.5 1900 $1,795 $0.94 14d 1 0.35mi
4376 E Barcelona Way Unit 00 4404 Augusta, GA 4.0 2.5 1696 $1,795 $1.06 23d 1 0.38mi
1015 Country Place Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1615 $1,695 $1.05 43d 1 0.93mi
1015 Country Place Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1615 $1,650 $1.02 23d 1 0.93mi
1233 Paramount Ct Hephzibah, GA 4.0 2.5 2560 $2,300 $0.90 14d 1 1.03mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$325 · $3,900/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $165,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-11
    historical
  16. 2026-05-03
    listed $165,000 Active
  17. 2026-05-03
    listed $165,000 Active 1075-char remark
  18. 2020-12-17
    soldstatus $115,000
  19. 2020-12-03
    soldstatus $115,000
    Show marketing remark (897 chars)

    #GoldCourseView This charming condo has 30 year architectural shingle and has been completely updated. Walk into the foyer where you will find ceramic tile leading to the kitchen along with hardwood flooring throughout. The great room features vaulted ceilings and gas fireplace with brick accent leading to the ceiling with a oak wood hearth. The kitchen has travertine back splash, new cabinets, granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances, & bar top seating for 2 that over looks the great room. Walk down the hallway where you'll find the master bedroom that has chair rail and crown molding. The master bathroom has luxury plank vinyl flooring, shower tub combo, shiplap accent wall, cultured marble dual vanity sink, & walk in closet(9x7). Bedrooms 2 & 3 are connected by a jack & jill bathroom. Relax on the screened in back porch that over looks the golf course.

  20. 2020-12-03
    soldstatus $115,000
    Show marketing remark (897 chars)

    #GoldCourseView This charming condo has 30 year architectural shingle and has been completely updated. Walk into the foyer where you will find ceramic tile leading to the kitchen along with hardwood flooring throughout. The great room features vaulted ceilings and gas fireplace with brick accent leading to the ceiling with a oak wood hearth. The kitchen has travertine back splash, new cabinets, granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances, & bar top seating for 2 that over looks the great room. Walk down the hallway where you'll find the master bedroom that has chair rail and crown molding. The master bathroom has luxury plank vinyl flooring, shower tub combo, shiplap accent wall, cultured marble dual vanity sink, & walk in closet(9x7). Bedrooms 2 & 3 are connected by a jack & jill bathroom. Relax on the screened in back porch that over looks the golf course.

  21. 2020-06-12
    listed $124,900
    Show marketing remark (897 chars)

    #GoldCourseView This charming condo has 30 year architectural shingle and has been completely updated. Walk into the foyer where you will find ceramic tile leading to the kitchen along with hardwood flooring throughout. The great room features vaulted ceilings and gas fireplace with brick accent leading to the ceiling with a oak wood hearth. The kitchen has travertine back splash, new cabinets, granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances, & bar top seating for 2 that over looks the great room. Walk down the hallway where you'll find the master bedroom that has chair rail and crown molding. The master bathroom has luxury plank vinyl flooring, shower tub combo, shiplap accent wall, cultured marble dual vanity sink, & walk in closet(9x7). Bedrooms 2 & 3 are connected by a jack & jill bathroom. Relax on the screened in back porch that over looks the golf course.

  22. 2020-06-12
    listed $124,900
    Show marketing remark (897 chars)

    #GoldCourseView This charming condo has 30 year architectural shingle and has been completely updated. Walk into the foyer where you will find ceramic tile leading to the kitchen along with hardwood flooring throughout. The great room features vaulted ceilings and gas fireplace with brick accent leading to the ceiling with a oak wood hearth. The kitchen has travertine back splash, new cabinets, granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances, & bar top seating for 2 that over looks the great room. Walk down the hallway where you'll find the master bedroom that has chair rail and crown molding. The master bathroom has luxury plank vinyl flooring, shower tub combo, shiplap accent wall, cultured marble dual vanity sink, & walk in closet(9x7). Bedrooms 2 & 3 are connected by a jack & jill bathroom. Relax on the screened in back porch that over looks the golf course.

  23. 2015-12-16
    soldstatus $73,000
  24. 2015-12-11
    soldstatus $72,818
  25. 2015-12-11
    soldstatus $72,818
  26. 2015-03-13
    listed $76,000
  27. 2015-03-13
    listed $76,000
  28. 2011-04-25
    soldstatus $40,000
  29. 1993-07-08
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,057 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,057 · $171/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,588
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,057
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,727
− Management
−$1,727
− HOA
−$3,900
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$2,691
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$646
After-tax cash flow
$535/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond County
NCES district ID
1304380
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,069
Composite
13.43/100
National rank
#9524
State rank
#154 of 174 in GA

Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
County
Richmond County · 190,917 people
City population
154,035
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
60,423
Household income
$45,999
Rent vs Own
46.5% rent · 53.5% own
Severe rent burden
3363.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
200,753 people
By 2030
200,232 · -0.3%
By 2040
196,813 · -2.0%
By 2050
190,347 · -5.2%
By 2075
172,496 · -14.1%
By 2100
146,284 · -27.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.99%
Current HPI
213.5733
Rent YoY
▼ -0.25%
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-03 Listed $165,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-03 Listed $165,000 Hive MLS
  • 2020-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2020-12-03 Sold (MLS) $115,000 Hive MLS
  • 2020-12-03 Sold (MLS) $115,000 Hive MLS
  • 2020-06-12 Listed $124,900 Hive MLS
  • 2020-06-12 Listed $124,900 Hive MLS
  • 2015-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
  • 2015-12-11 Sold (MLS) $72,818 Hive MLS
  • 2015-12-11 Sold (MLS) $72,818 Hive MLS
  • 2015-03-13 Listed $76,000 Hive MLS
  • 2015-03-13 Listed $76,000 Hive MLS
  • 2011-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 1993-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,057 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…