Fourplex
4225 E Sacramento Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT OPPORTUNITY!!!! THERE IS NO LEAD IN THIS BUILDING.... SELLER HAS CERTIFICATION INDICATING NO LEAD... LOTS OF IMPROVEMENTS, MUST SEE !!!!! This is a very nice building, occupied by three tenants. One tenant is the maintenance of the building; Parking in the rear. THIS PROPERTY WILL NOT LAST LONG. SELLER IS MOTIVATED!!! SET YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY.... One unit is vacant but also needs work. Must have a contract contingent upon viewing to see the remainder of the units. Property is being sold AS-IS- SELLER TO PROVIDE NO INSPECTION OR REPAIRS. Please send all offers on a special sale contract to [email protected].
Key facts
- Four separate units
- Income potential
- 5,401 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($30k/yr) — positive. Per door: $624/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 60.8% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ashland Elem. And Br. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 226 students, 99% FRL); Gateway Middle (math 0% / reading 8%, grade F, #389 of 391 statewide, top 100%, 506 students, 99% FRL); Beaumont Cte High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 236 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 60.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 194.59%
- DSCR
- 9.66
- GRM
- 1.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $64,680
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4278 Lee Ave #4 | 0.31mi | 4/4.0 | 3,332 (+3%) | 15mo | $65,000 | $20 | 68 |
| 3858 Greer Ave | 0.68mi | —/— | 3,156 (-2%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $51 | 64 |
| 4126 W Lee Ave | 0.30mi | 4/4.0 | 3,536 (+9%) | 16mo | $44,900 | $13 | 56 |
| 4027 Palm St | 0.35mi | 12/6.0 | 2,914 (-10%) | 4mo | $72,900 | $25 | 56 |
| 4254 E Saint Louis Ave | 0.53mi | 8/3.0 | 2,850 (-12%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $12 | 48 |
| 4464 Holly Ave | 0.66mi | —/— | 2,874 (-11%) | 4mo | $24,900 | $9 | 47 |
| 4258 East St Louis Ave | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 2,850 (-12%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $19 | 47 |
| 4538 Lexington Ave | 0.59mi | 32/16.0 | 3,264 (+1%) | 10mo | $39,000 | $12 | 42 |
| 4200 College Ave | 0.61mi | 16/16.0 | 3,412 (+6%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $29 | 42 |
| 3939 Greer Ave | 0.57mi | —/— | 2,756 (-15%) | 10mo | $89,900 | $33 | 40 |
| 4448 Ashland Ave | 0.49mi | 1/1.0 | 2,892 (-11%) | 15mo | $75,000 | $26 | 35 |
| 4503 Clarence Ave | 0.74mi | —/— | 2,750 (-15%) | 17mo | $40,900 | $15 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.75×
- Total profit
- $150,183
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 22.80×
- Total profit
- $335,750
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63115
- Home prices YoY
- -2.6%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,614 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $557/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$759
- Net cashflow
- $2,497
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,528 | -5% $2,513 | +0% $2,497 | +5% $2,482 | +10% $2,466 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,212 | -5% $2,355 | +0% $2,497 | +5% $2,640 | +10% $2,783 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,525 | -0.5pp $2,511 | base $2,497 | +0.5pp $2,483 | +1.0pp $2,469 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | — | $3,616 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $904 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $904 |
| #3 | 2 | — | $904 |
| #4 | 2 | — | $904 |
| Total (4 units) | $3,614 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3127 Clay Ave Unit B St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3536 | $950 | $0.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4868 Farlin Ave Unit 2 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2690 | $1,100 | $0.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-03-12$55,000 Active
-
2017-06-13soldstatus $42,000
-
2017-04-26soldstatus $20,500
-
2017-04-24soldstatus Closed 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY!!!! THERE IS NO LEAD IN THIS BUILDING.... SELLER HAS CERTIFICATION INDICATING NO LEAD... LOTS OF IMPROVEMENTS, MUST SEE !!!!! This is a very nice building, occupied by three tenants. One tenant is the maintenance of the building; Parking in the rear. THIS PROPERTY WILL NOT LAST LONG. SELLER IS MOTIVATED!!! SET YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY.... One unit is vacant but also needs work. Must have a contract contingent upon viewing to see the remainder of the units. Property is being sold AS-IS- SELLER TO PROVIDE NO INSPECTION OR REPAIRS. Please send all offers on a special sale contract to [email protected].
-
2017-03-29status Pending 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY!!!! THERE IS NO LEAD IN THIS BUILDING.... SELLER HAS CERTIFICATION INDICATING NO LEAD... LOTS OF IMPROVEMENTS, MUST SEE !!!!! This is a very nice building, occupied by three tenants. One tenant is the maintenance of the building; Parking in the rear. THIS PROPERTY WILL NOT LAST LONG. SELLER IS MOTIVATED!!! SET YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY.... One unit is vacant but also needs work. Must have a contract contingent upon viewing to see the remainder of the units. Property is being sold AS-IS- SELLER TO PROVIDE NO INSPECTION OR REPAIRS. Please send all offers on a special sale contract to [email protected].
-
2017-03-23$24,900 Active 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY!!!! THERE IS NO LEAD IN THIS BUILDING.... SELLER HAS CERTIFICATION INDICATING NO LEAD... LOTS OF IMPROVEMENTS, MUST SEE !!!!! This is a very nice building, occupied by three tenants. One tenant is the maintenance of the building; Parking in the rear. THIS PROPERTY WILL NOT LAST LONG. SELLER IS MOTIVATED!!! SET YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY.... One unit is vacant but also needs work. Must have a contract contingent upon viewing to see the remainder of the units. Property is being sold AS-IS- SELLER TO PROVIDE NO INSPECTION OR REPAIRS. Please send all offers on a special sale contract to [email protected].
-
2017-03-23historical $24,900 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY!!!! THERE IS NO LEAD IN THIS BUILDING.... SELLER HAS CERTIFICATION INDICATING NO LEAD... LOTS OF IMPROVEMENTS, MUST SEE !!!!! This is a very nice building, occupied by three tenants. One tenant is the maintenance of the building; Parking in the rear. THIS PROPERTY WILL NOT LAST LONG. SELLER IS MOTIVATED!!! SET YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY.... One unit is vacant but also needs work. Must have a contract contingent upon viewing to see the remainder of the units. Property is being sold AS-IS- SELLER TO PROVIDE NO INSPECTION OR REPAIRS. Please send all offers on a special sale contract to [email protected].
-
2007-02-01soldstatus
-
2006-01-13soldstatus
-
2003-04-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $557 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $557 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$557
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,469
- − Management
- −$3,469
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $30,916
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,420
- After-tax cash flow
- $22,548/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,488
- Household income
- $30,622
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1655.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% White 2% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.42%
- Current HPI
- 127.3403
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+120.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Listed $55,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 2017-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $20,500 Public Records
- 2017-04-24 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-29 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-23 Listed $24,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-23 Coming Soon $24,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-02-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-01-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-04-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2024): $557 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…