3201 Claysburg Dr · Falls, PA 19067

$140,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 952 sqft · SingleFamily · 52 Days on market

Built 2026 6,400 sqft lot $147/sqft · 12% above area Est $125k · 12% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +5.2/10.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +2.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Relax on your front covered porch. Featuring open concept living. The open concept 2-bedroom 2 bath home has everything. With too many cabinets to list you won’t have a problem finding a home for all your dishes and cups. The main bedroom has a large closet and a master bath with a walk-in shower and double vanity. The home sits on a corner lot and will come with an 8 x 8 matching shed.

Key facts

• Double vanity
• Front covered porch
• Open concept living

Tags

• FRONT COVERED PORCH
• OPEN CONCEPT LIVING
• LARGE CLOSET
• MASTER BATH
• WALK-IN SHOWER
• DOUBLE VANITY

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Property manager present
• Financial info: Monthly land lease: $961; Land lease years remaining: 0
• HOA & community: Land lease community

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway parking (2 spaces); Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Manufactured property (single-wide); Construction not completed; Above-grade structure
• Construction: Modular/manufactured construction; Estimated year built
• Exterior features: Community pool; Not in a federal flood zone; Pets allowed with restrictions (breed restrictions, cats OK, dogs OK, number limit)

Interior

• Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Dishwasher; Gas range/oven; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane (leased) heating fuel; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric hot water
• Interior features: Excellent condition; 2+ exit points; No basement
• Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $700 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
• Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Pennsbury SD (suburban): math 46% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #67 of 539 in PA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $135,800 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.51% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.30%
• Cash-on-cash: 21.44%
• DSCR: 1.95
• GRM: 5.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $124,644
• List price: $140,000
• Delta: 12.32%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7503 Harper Dr Unit T 7503	0.18mi	2/2.0	980 (+3%)	5mo	$67,000	$68	83
9812 Lawson Dr	0.26mi	2/2.0	938 (-2%)	11mo	$106,500	$114	76
1119 Anders Dr	0.15mi	2/2.0	1,056 (+11%)	0mo	$125,000	$118	74
3057 Chandler Dr	0.11mi	2/2.0	1,056 (+11%)	4mo	$135,000	$128	74
6319 Fuller Dr	0.30mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,000 (+5%)	0mo	$72,000	$72	72
3051 Chandler Dr	0.10mi	2/2.0	1,056 (+11%)	6mo	$134,000	$127	72
5028 Garner Dr	0.29mi	2/2.0	924 (-3%)	13mo	$144,500	$156	71
7616 Hunter Dr	0.16mi	2/2.0	1,072 (+13%)	8mo	$140,000	$131	65
5130 Gowan Dr	0.34mi	2/2.0	1,056 (+11%)	3mo	$154,000	$146	64
5082 Grace Dr	0.31mi	2/2.0	1,040 (+9%)	14mo	$148,900	$143	59
1445-LOT 1 Old Bristol Pike #1	0.40mi	1/1.0 (-1)	896 (-6%)	6mo	$130,500	$146	57
2027 Beatty Dr	0.39mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,056 (+11%)	3mo	$150,000	$142	56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 14.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.57×
• Total profit: $22,214
• Equity at exit: $20,874

10-year hold

• IRR: 23.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.99×
• Total profit: $77,969
• Equity at exit: $12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 19067

• Rents YoY: 3.1%
• Active inventory: 168
• Price-to-rent: 5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,111 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$734
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$443
• Net cashflow: $700

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225

Max offer price $140,000

Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $35,000
• Closing costs: $4,200
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $140,000 Active 52 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $140,000 Active 51 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $140,000 Active 50 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $140,000 Active 49 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $140,000 Active 47 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $140,000 Active 46 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $140,000 Active 43 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $140,000 Active 42 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $140,000 Active 41 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $140,000 Active 38 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 37 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 36 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 35 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 34 DOM
15. 2026-04-27
    listed $140,000 Active 395-char remark
16. 1999-07-27
    historical
17. 1998-11-27
    listed $11,500
18. 1996-08-01
    listed $13,900
19. 1996-08-01
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,336
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,842
• − Property taxes: −$2,100
• − Insurance: −$700
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,027
• − Management: −$2,027
• − Depreciation: −$4,073
• Taxable income: $6,568
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,576
• After-tax cash flow: $6,829/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pennsbury SD
• NCES district ID: 4218840
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 69% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $85,495
• Composite: 52.3/100
• National rank: #1594
• State rank: #67 of 539 in PA

Livability — Falls

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Bucks County · 506,477 people
• Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
• Population (ZIP): 53,885
• Household income: $133,630
• Rent vs Own: 22.2% rent · 77.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 1036.0

Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 630,973 people
• By 2030: 627,093 · -0.6%
• By 2040: 609,680 · -3.4%
• By 2050: 584,225 · -7.4%
• By 2075: 539,840 · -14.4%
• By 2100: 483,970 · -23.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 80% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 10% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, China, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bucks

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -435.62%
• Current HPI: 281.8167
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.12%
• Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

+907.2% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-27 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 1999-07-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
• 1998-11-27 Listed $11,500 BRIGHT MLS
• 1996-08-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
• 1996-08-01 Listed $13,900 BRIGHT MLS