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9535 Walstroms Rd 🌊 Lakefront
D Composite 40.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.7/10.0

$199,000

9535 Walstroms Rd · Republic, MI 49879
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 195 Days on market
Built 1992 36 ac lot $164/sqft · 16% below area Est $248k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wildlife Sanctuary Meets Self-Sufficient Homestead – A Rare Opportunity Discover a truly one-of-a-kind 40 acre property where nature and sustainability thrive in harmony. This extraordinary land is alive with wildlife—owls, chickadees, sandhill cranes, beaver, deer, moose, coyotes, bear, and even wolves make regular appearances, creating a serene and vibrant natural setting. 300 Brook Trout and 300 Rainbow Trout were planted in 2024. The property is thoughtfully cultivated with over 100 medicinal herbs, a rich variety of grapes and berries, and wild blueberries throughout. —your own personal food forest. Two pristine water sources define the landscape: a private lake stocked with brook trout, rainbow trout, and bass, and the picturesque Trout Falls Creek, where brown trout flourish. This land is designed for off-grid potential and self-reliant living, featuring solar components yet to be energized and a gravel pit. Enjoy the security and comfort of year-round access, just 20 minutes from town, yet far enough to enjoy total peace and privacy. Multiple perc-tested sites offer the potential building sites.

Key facts

  • Private lake
  • Trout creek falls
  • Wildlife sanctuary

Tags

40 ACRE PROPERTYWILDLIFE SANCTUARYOVER 100 MEDICINAL HERBSTHRIVING ORCHARDPRIVATE LAKETROUT CREEK FALLS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-359 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $136k (31.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (42.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (42.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#667 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, health & safety C-, schools D-.
  • Republic-Michigamme Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #607 of 760 in MI (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Marquette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
  • Marquette County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $66k; list at $199k implies a 204% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,931 (42.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  10. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  11. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  12. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  13. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  14. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.57%
Cap rate
4.47%
Cash-on-cash
-6.53%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
14.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$248,105
List price
$199,000
Delta
-19.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$6,432
Equity at exit
$95,173
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$48,369
Equity at exit
$151,263

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49879

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
14.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,139 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $919/yr
Insurance
$83
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$-359

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,593
Max offer price $135,654
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $199,000 Pending 195 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Accepting Backup Offers 192 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Accepting Backup Offers 191 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Accepting Backup Offers 190 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,000 Accepting Backup Offers 188 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,000 Accepting Backup Offers 186 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Accepting Backup Offers 185 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Accepting Backup Offers 184 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Accepting Backup Offers 183 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Accepting Backup Offers 182 DOM
  11. 2026-05-14
    status Active 1140-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1140 chars)

    Wildlife Sanctuary Meets Self-Sufficient Homestead – A Rare Opportunity Discover a truly one-of-a-kind 40 acre property where nature and sustainability thrive in harmony. This extraordinary land is alive with wildlife—owls, chickadees, sandhill cranes, beaver, deer, moose, coyotes, bear, and even wolves make regular appearances, creating a serene and vibrant natural setting. 300 Brook Trout and 300 Rainbow Trout were planted in 2024. The property is thoughtfully cultivated with over 100 medicinal herbs, a rich variety of grapes and berries, and wild blueberries throughout. —your own personal food forest. Two pristine water sources define the landscape: a private lake stocked with brook trout, rainbow trout, and bass, and the picturesque Trout Falls Creek, where brown trout flourish. This land is designed for off-grid potential and self-reliant living, featuring solar components yet to be energized and a gravel pit. Enjoy the security and comfort of year-round access, just 20 minutes from town, yet far enough to enjoy total peace and privacy. Multiple perc-tested sites offer the potential building sites.

  12. 2026-05-14
    status Back on Market 1140-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1140 chars)

    Wildlife Sanctuary Meets Self-Sufficient Homestead – A Rare Opportunity Discover a truly one-of-a-kind 40 acre property where nature and sustainability thrive in harmony. This extraordinary land is alive with wildlife—owls, chickadees, sandhill cranes, beaver, deer, moose, coyotes, bear, and even wolves make regular appearances, creating a serene and vibrant natural setting. 300 Brook Trout and 300 Rainbow Trout were planted in 2024. The property is thoughtfully cultivated with over 100 medicinal herbs, a rich variety of grapes and berries, and wild blueberries throughout. —your own personal food forest. Two pristine water sources define the landscape: a private lake stocked with brook trout, rainbow trout, and bass, and the picturesque Trout Falls Creek, where brown trout flourish. This land is designed for off-grid potential and self-reliant living, featuring solar components yet to be energized and a gravel pit. Enjoy the security and comfort of year-round access, just 20 minutes from town, yet far enough to enjoy total peace and privacy. Multiple perc-tested sites offer the potential building sites.

  13. 2025-12-02
    historical 1140-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1140 chars)

    Wildlife Sanctuary Meets Self-Sufficient Homestead – A Rare Opportunity Discover a truly one-of-a-kind 40 acre property where nature and sustainability thrive in harmony. This extraordinary land is alive with wildlife—owls, chickadees, sandhill cranes, beaver, deer, moose, coyotes, bear, and even wolves make regular appearances, creating a serene and vibrant natural setting. 300 Brook Trout and 300 Rainbow Trout were planted in 2024. The property is thoughtfully cultivated with over 100 medicinal herbs, a rich variety of grapes and berries, and wild blueberries throughout. —your own personal food forest. Two pristine water sources define the landscape: a private lake stocked with brook trout, rainbow trout, and bass, and the picturesque Trout Falls Creek, where brown trout flourish. This land is designed for off-grid potential and self-reliant living, featuring solar components yet to be energized and a gravel pit. Enjoy the security and comfort of year-round access, just 20 minutes from town, yet far enough to enjoy total peace and privacy. Multiple perc-tested sites offer the potential building sites.

  14. 2025-12-02
    historical 1140-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1140 chars)

    Wildlife Sanctuary Meets Self-Sufficient Homestead – A Rare Opportunity Discover a truly one-of-a-kind 40 acre property where nature and sustainability thrive in harmony. This extraordinary land is alive with wildlife—owls, chickadees, sandhill cranes, beaver, deer, moose, coyotes, bear, and even wolves make regular appearances, creating a serene and vibrant natural setting. 300 Brook Trout and 300 Rainbow Trout were planted in 2024. The property is thoughtfully cultivated with over 100 medicinal herbs, a rich variety of grapes and berries, and wild blueberries throughout. —your own personal food forest. Two pristine water sources define the landscape: a private lake stocked with brook trout, rainbow trout, and bass, and the picturesque Trout Falls Creek, where brown trout flourish. This land is designed for off-grid potential and self-reliant living, featuring solar components yet to be energized and a gravel pit. Enjoy the security and comfort of year-round access, just 20 minutes from town, yet far enough to enjoy total peace and privacy. Multiple perc-tested sites offer the potential building sites.

  15. 2025-09-18
    price $199,000 1140-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1140 chars)

    Wildlife Sanctuary Meets Self-Sufficient Homestead – A Rare Opportunity Discover a truly one-of-a-kind 40 acre property where nature and sustainability thrive in harmony. This extraordinary land is alive with wildlife—owls, chickadees, sandhill cranes, beaver, deer, moose, coyotes, bear, and even wolves make regular appearances, creating a serene and vibrant natural setting. 300 Brook Trout and 300 Rainbow Trout were planted in 2024. The property is thoughtfully cultivated with over 100 medicinal herbs, a rich variety of grapes and berries, and wild blueberries throughout. —your own personal food forest. Two pristine water sources define the landscape: a private lake stocked with brook trout, rainbow trout, and bass, and the picturesque Trout Falls Creek, where brown trout flourish. This land is designed for off-grid potential and self-reliant living, featuring solar components yet to be energized and a gravel pit. Enjoy the security and comfort of year-round access, just 20 minutes from town, yet far enough to enjoy total peace and privacy. Multiple perc-tested sites offer the potential building sites.

  16. 2025-09-18
    price $199,000 1140-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1140 chars)

    Wildlife Sanctuary Meets Self-Sufficient Homestead – A Rare Opportunity Discover a truly one-of-a-kind 40 acre property where nature and sustainability thrive in harmony. This extraordinary land is alive with wildlife—owls, chickadees, sandhill cranes, beaver, deer, moose, coyotes, bear, and even wolves make regular appearances, creating a serene and vibrant natural setting. 300 Brook Trout and 300 Rainbow Trout were planted in 2024. The property is thoughtfully cultivated with over 100 medicinal herbs, a rich variety of grapes and berries, and wild blueberries throughout. —your own personal food forest. Two pristine water sources define the landscape: a private lake stocked with brook trout, rainbow trout, and bass, and the picturesque Trout Falls Creek, where brown trout flourish. This land is designed for off-grid potential and self-reliant living, featuring solar components yet to be energized and a gravel pit. Enjoy the security and comfort of year-round access, just 20 minutes from town, yet far enough to enjoy total peace and privacy. Multiple perc-tested sites offer the potential building sites.

  17. 2025-06-18
    listed $208,000 Active 1140-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1140 chars)

    Wildlife Sanctuary Meets Self-Sufficient Homestead – A Rare Opportunity Discover a truly one-of-a-kind 40 acre property where nature and sustainability thrive in harmony. This extraordinary land is alive with wildlife—owls, chickadees, sandhill cranes, beaver, deer, moose, coyotes, bear, and even wolves make regular appearances, creating a serene and vibrant natural setting. 300 Brook Trout and 300 Rainbow Trout were planted in 2024. The property is thoughtfully cultivated with over 100 medicinal herbs, a rich variety of grapes and berries, and wild blueberries throughout. —your own personal food forest. Two pristine water sources define the landscape: a private lake stocked with brook trout, rainbow trout, and bass, and the picturesque Trout Falls Creek, where brown trout flourish. This land is designed for off-grid potential and self-reliant living, featuring solar components yet to be energized and a gravel pit. Enjoy the security and comfort of year-round access, just 20 minutes from town, yet far enough to enjoy total peace and privacy. Multiple perc-tested sites offer the potential building sites.

  18. 2025-06-18
    listed $208,000 Active 1140-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1140 chars)

    Wildlife Sanctuary Meets Self-Sufficient Homestead – A Rare Opportunity Discover a truly one-of-a-kind 40 acre property where nature and sustainability thrive in harmony. This extraordinary land is alive with wildlife—owls, chickadees, sandhill cranes, beaver, deer, moose, coyotes, bear, and even wolves make regular appearances, creating a serene and vibrant natural setting. 300 Brook Trout and 300 Rainbow Trout were planted in 2024. The property is thoughtfully cultivated with over 100 medicinal herbs, a rich variety of grapes and berries, and wild blueberries throughout. —your own personal food forest. Two pristine water sources define the landscape: a private lake stocked with brook trout, rainbow trout, and bass, and the picturesque Trout Falls Creek, where brown trout flourish. This land is designed for off-grid potential and self-reliant living, featuring solar components yet to be energized and a gravel pit. Enjoy the security and comfort of year-round access, just 20 minutes from town, yet far enough to enjoy total peace and privacy. Multiple perc-tested sites offer the potential building sites.

  19. 2021-09-29
    soldstatus $65,500
  20. 2021-09-27
    soldstatus $68,000 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    What an opportunity for a developer, or some one who wants to enjoy the entire setting for themselves! Includes a 1/4 mile of minimally used, year round road frontage and several waterfront building sites with a good trail system already in place.

  21. 2020-06-10
    soldstatus $16,000
  22. 2020-01-08
    listed $69,900 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    What an opportunity for a developer, or some one who wants to enjoy the entire setting for themselves! Includes a 1/4 mile of minimally used, year round road frontage and several waterfront building sites with a good trail system already in place.

  23. 2002-09-17
    soldstatus $9,376

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$919 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,992 · $166/mo
Expected delta
+$1,073/yr (+$89/mo · 116.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,672
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$919
− Insurance
−$1,662
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,094
− Management
−$1,094
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$8,033
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,928
After-tax cash flow
$-2,375/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Republic-Michigamme Schools
NCES district ID
2629580
Math proficiency
20% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$37,326
Composite
23.87/100
National rank
#13209
State rank
#607 of 760 in MI

Livability — Republic

Score
55/100
State rank
#667
US rank
#23566

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,105

Population outlook (Marquette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
67,278 people
By 2030
67,249 · +-0.0%
By 2040
66,297 · -1.5%
By 2050
65,241 · -3.0%
By 2075
64,365 · -4.3%
By 2100
60,707 · -9.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Marquette

2024 margin
Lean D (+8.7) · D 53.5% · R 44.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 8.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+8.7 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+14.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.50%
Current HPI
170.8914
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2022.4% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Relisted UPAR
  • 2026-05-14 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Delisted UPAR
  • 2025-12-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-18 Price Changed $199,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-18 Price Changed $199,000 UPAR
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $208,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $208,000 UPAR
  • 2021-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $65,500 Public Records
  • 2021-09-27 Sold (MLS) $68,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
  • 2020-01-08 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $9,376 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $919 · -67.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…