12532 Harpers Ct NE Unit C · Blaine, MN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
***Ask how you can receive a 5.75% 30 year fixed interest rate and up to $10,000 towards closing costs on this home!*** Welcome to our Beautiful 3- level townhomes. This beautiful home is located in the heart of Blaine at our Harper's Landing community and features all three bedrooms and laundry on same floor for your convenience. The finished lower level bonus room is perfect for guests, home office, or fitness. The main level is sure to impress with the kitchen of your dreams, featuring 42” cabinets, expansive white quartz island for 4-person seating, vented microwave hood and gas range PLUS a huge family room with an expansive deck off of it for relaxation, and separate dining area on the main level is included. Private dog park, close to parks and more all with a professionally managed HOA.
Key facts
- $282 HOA
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2024
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA managed by New Concepts Management Group; Monthly association fee of $282; HOA covers lawn care, grounds maintenance, professional management, shared amenities, and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Attached tuck-under garage with insulated garage and garage door opener; Asphalt driveway; 2-car garage (approximately 21x20)
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
- Home design: Residential attached property; More than 2 stories; Entry level: Main
- Construction: Concrete construction; Roof replaced/age 8 years or less; Foundation: Other
- Exterior features: Deck; Stone accents; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with center island; Stainless steel appliances; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal; Eat-in kitchen / kitchen-dining area
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two upper level bedrooms; one upper level primary bedroom)
- Bathrooms: Primary 3/4 bath (private); Upper level full bath; Upper level 3/4 bath; Main floor half bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Air-to-air exchanger; Water softener (owned); Indoor sprinklers; Walk-in closet; Finished basement with daylight/lookout windows; Drain-tiled basement; Concrete basement
- Laundry & utility: Upper level laundry; Washer/dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $339k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-154 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $312k (8.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $295k (12.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $295k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.0% in Blaine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#315 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Johnsville Elementary (math 52% / reading 58%, grade C, #310 of 857 statewide, top 37%, 674 students, 44% FRL); Roosevelt Middle (math 46% / reading 61%, grade C+, #51 of 258 statewide, top 20%, 809 students, 30% FRL); Blaine High School (math 46% / reading 67%, grade C, #77 of 471 statewide, top 17%, 2,969 students, 37% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 245 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($319k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.94%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-60,304
- Equity at exit
- $50,546
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-46,486
- Equity at exit
- $29,311
Cash invested: $94,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55449
- Home prices YoY
- -23.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 245
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,955 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,778
- Tax from tax record
- −$287 /mo · $3,441/yr
- Insurance
- −$141
- HOA
- −$282
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$620
- Net cashflow
- $-154
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $38 | -5% $-58 | +0% $-154 | +5% $-250 | +10% $-346 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-387 | -5% $-270 | +0% $-154 | +5% $-37 | +10% $80 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $17 | -0.5pp $-67 | base $-154 | +0.5pp $-241 | +1.0pp $-331 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,750
- Closing costs
- $10,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12335 Midway Cir NE Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2150 | $2,800 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2445 120th Cir NE Blaine, MN | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1894 | $3,314 | $1.75 | 0d | 18 | 0.76mi |
| 2444 120th Ln NE Blaine, MN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1858 | $3,345 | $1.80 | 0d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 12210 Urbank St NE Unit B Blaine, MN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1632 | $2,295 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $282 · $3,384/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 11 events
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2026-05-07status Pending
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2026-04-17historical Contingent - Inspection
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2026-03-23price $339,000
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2026-03-08price $344,900
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2026-02-26$355,000 Active
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2026-02-25historical $355,000
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2024-05-10soldstatus $344,990 Sold 811-char remark
Show marketing remark (811 chars)
***Ask how you can receive a 5.75% 30 year fixed interest rate and up to $10,000 towards closing costs on this home!*** Welcome to our Beautiful 3- level townhomes. This beautiful home is located in the heart of Blaine at our Harper's Landing community and features all three bedrooms and laundry on same floor for your convenience. The finished lower level bonus room is perfect for guests, home office, or fitness. The main level is sure to impress with the kitchen of your dreams, featuring 42” cabinets, expansive white quartz island for 4-person seating, vented microwave hood and gas range PLUS a huge family room with an expansive deck off of it for relaxation, and separate dining area on the main level is included. Private dog park, close to parks and more all with a professionally managed HOA.
-
2024-03-30status Pending 811-char remark
Show marketing remark (811 chars)
***Ask how you can receive a 5.75% 30 year fixed interest rate and up to $10,000 towards closing costs on this home!*** Welcome to our Beautiful 3- level townhomes. This beautiful home is located in the heart of Blaine at our Harper's Landing community and features all three bedrooms and laundry on same floor for your convenience. The finished lower level bonus room is perfect for guests, home office, or fitness. The main level is sure to impress with the kitchen of your dreams, featuring 42” cabinets, expansive white quartz island for 4-person seating, vented microwave hood and gas range PLUS a huge family room with an expansive deck off of it for relaxation, and separate dining area on the main level is included. Private dog park, close to parks and more all with a professionally managed HOA.
-
2024-03-17historical Contingent - Sale of Another Property 811-char remark
Show marketing remark (811 chars)
***Ask how you can receive a 5.75% 30 year fixed interest rate and up to $10,000 towards closing costs on this home!*** Welcome to our Beautiful 3- level townhomes. This beautiful home is located in the heart of Blaine at our Harper's Landing community and features all three bedrooms and laundry on same floor for your convenience. The finished lower level bonus room is perfect for guests, home office, or fitness. The main level is sure to impress with the kitchen of your dreams, featuring 42” cabinets, expansive white quartz island for 4-person seating, vented microwave hood and gas range PLUS a huge family room with an expansive deck off of it for relaxation, and separate dining area on the main level is included. Private dog park, close to parks and more all with a professionally managed HOA.
-
2024-02-15price $344,990 811-char remark
Show marketing remark (811 chars)
***Ask how you can receive a 5.75% 30 year fixed interest rate and up to $10,000 towards closing costs on this home!*** Welcome to our Beautiful 3- level townhomes. This beautiful home is located in the heart of Blaine at our Harper's Landing community and features all three bedrooms and laundry on same floor for your convenience. The finished lower level bonus room is perfect for guests, home office, or fitness. The main level is sure to impress with the kitchen of your dreams, featuring 42” cabinets, expansive white quartz island for 4-person seating, vented microwave hood and gas range PLUS a huge family room with an expansive deck off of it for relaxation, and separate dining area on the main level is included. Private dog park, close to parks and more all with a professionally managed HOA.
-
2024-01-18$354,990 Active 811-char remark
Show marketing remark (811 chars)
***Ask how you can receive a 5.75% 30 year fixed interest rate and up to $10,000 towards closing costs on this home!*** Welcome to our Beautiful 3- level townhomes. This beautiful home is located in the heart of Blaine at our Harper's Landing community and features all three bedrooms and laundry on same floor for your convenience. The finished lower level bonus room is perfect for guests, home office, or fitness. The main level is sure to impress with the kitchen of your dreams, featuring 42” cabinets, expansive white quartz island for 4-person seating, vented microwave hood and gas range PLUS a huge family room with an expansive deck off of it for relaxation, and separate dining area on the main level is included. Private dog park, close to parks and more all with a professionally managed HOA.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,441 · $287/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,619 · $302/mo
- Expected delta
- +$178/yr (+$15/mo · 5.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,455
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,989
- − Property taxes
- −$3,441
- − Insurance
- −$1,695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,836
- − Management
- −$2,836
- − HOA
- −$3,384
- − Depreciation
- −$9,862
- Taxable loss
- −$7,589
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,821
- After-tax cash flow
- $-22/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anoka-Hennepin Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2703180
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,837
- Composite
- 46.7/100
- National rank
- #2400
- State rank
- #71 of 301 in MN
Livability — Blaine
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #315
- US rank
- #7073
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blaine, MN
- County
- Anoka County · 277,116 people
- City population
- 67,472
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,443
- Household income
- $131,832
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 275.0
Population outlook (Anoka County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 375,223 people
- By 2030
- 387,850 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 407,239 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 417,541 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 448,447 · +19.5%
- By 2100
- 464,954 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Asian 10% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Arabic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Anoka
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.0% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: -4.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+9.7 2012: R+2.6 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.24%
- Current HPI
- 225.2348
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.42%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
-4.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $339,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-08 Price Changed $344,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Listed $355,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Coming Soon $355,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-10 Sold (MLS) $344,990 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-30 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-17 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-15 Price Changed $344,990 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-18 Listed $354,990 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+121.3%/yrLatest (2026): $3,441 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…