CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
12158 Coal River Rd
B- Composite 67.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

12158 Coal River Rd · St. Albans, WV 25177
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,264 sqft · SingleFamily · 16 Days on market
Fair condition 10,454 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Endless potential awaits in this 3 bedroom, 1 bath home conveniently located just seconds from Downtown Saint Albans! Filled with natural light, this home offers a functional layout plus a full basement ready to be finished for additional living space or square footage. Enjoy the large, fully fenced backyard with plenty of room to relax, entertain, or garden. Offered at a great price, this home is the perfect opportunity to add your personal touch and make it your own. Must see to appreciate!

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Listed 16 days

Tags

FULL BASEMENTLARGE FULLY FENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential property
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Composition/shingle roof

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.9% in St. Albans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Alban Elementary School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #148 of 377 statewide, top 49%, 253 students, 0% FRL); Hayes Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #52 of 109 statewide, top 49%, 436 students, 0% FRL); Saint Albans High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #11 of 110 statewide, top 11%, 993 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,851 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.45%
Cash-on-cash
22.00%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$151,680
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
422 Lore St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,144 (-10%) 8mo $97,500 $85 63
406 Kanawha St 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (+3%) 12mo $151,000 $116 56
183 Riverview Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,251 (-1%) 10mo $150,000 $120 51
352 W Main St 0.59mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,306 (+3%) 8mo $179,000 $137 49
110 Carte St 0.41mi 2/1.0 1,077 (-15%) 21mo $121,540 $113 39
150 Riverview Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,316 (+4%) 23mo $180,000 $137 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$11,547
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$39,554
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25177

Home prices YoY
-16.6%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,066 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$359

Break-even live

Break-even rent $611
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $69,900 Pending 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,900 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,900 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-05-20
    listed $69,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,789
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,048
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,023
− Management
−$1,023
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$3,396
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$815
After-tax cash flow
$3,492/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen and bathroom, as well as the exterior landscaping.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exposed ceiling in kitchen and bath — Structural damage
  • Major Cluttered and outdated kitchen cabinets — Aesthetic and functional issues
  • Major Cluttered and outdated bathroom fixtures — Aesthetic and functional issues
  • Major Overgrown landscaping — Reduces curb appeal

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Resale Replace flooring — Improves interior aesthetics and functionality
  • Rental Clean and organize interior — Improves living conditions and tenant satisfaction

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exposed ceiling in kitchen and bath · Structural damage Major $15,000–50,000
Cluttered and outdated kitchen cabinets · Aesthetic and functional issues Major $15,000–50,000
Cluttered and outdated bathroom fixtures · Aesthetic and functional issues Major $15,000–50,000
Overgrown landscaping · Reduces curb appeal Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Resale Replace flooring — Improves interior aesthetics and functionality
  • Rental Clean and organize interior — Improves living conditions and tenant satisfaction

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kanawha County Schools
NCES district ID
5400600
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,329
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6540
State rank
#17 of 55 in WV

Livability — St. Albans

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
23,211
Population (ZIP)
23,211

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,946 people
By 2030
172,906 · -3.4%
By 2040
159,874 · -10.7%
By 2050
148,148 · -17.2%
By 2075
123,257 · -31.1%
By 2100
96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

2024 margin
R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.96%
Current HPI
185.502
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $69,900 KVBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…