44 Hampden Rd · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Absolute gem in North Winton Village! Location is everything! Walk or bike anywhere from here! Updates everywhere you look!! 2007 Kitchen make over w/ huge dining area & bay window overlooking fully fenced backyard with mature hedgerow & rolling yard! Enjoy entertaining on the covered/open patio. Refinished original hardwoods thru out 1st & 2nd fl. Modern light fixtures & newer windows thru out. 1st fl master bedroom. 2 bdrms & full bath up w/ NEW bathtub surround lining (2018) pairs perfectly with the charming pink ceramic floor, in great vintage condition! . High efficiency furnace & Rinnai TANKLESS HOT WATER HEATER (2009). Garage Door w/ remote (2011); Central Air (2013); Vinyl siding & total tear off roof(2015). Ever Dry waterproofing system professionally installed in the basement w/ battery back up sump pump & EZ BREATHE AIR FILTRATIONSYSTEM (2018). Glass block windows. 1 car garage and driveway. Greenlight available! Front retaining walls rebuilt in 2020, brand new railing. Delayed showings 3/4/21, delayed neg. 3/8
Key facts
- Covered patio
- Updated kitchen
- Replacement windows
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with one garage space; Underground parking elements; Garage door opener; Electric vehicle charging capability; Electricity to parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available; Cable available
- Home design: Two-story home; Existing (previously built)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation; Resale condition
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Fully fenced yard; Patio; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Tile; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Programmable thermostat
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in basement; Tankless water heater; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (2.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (2.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.88%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $219,650
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Hampden Rd | 0.02mi | 3/1.5 | 1,176 (+2%) | 6mo | $270,000 | $230 | 89 |
| 34 Van Bergh Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-0%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $175 | 84 |
| 176 Middlesex Rd | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,236 (+8%) | 6mo | $145,500 | $118 | 72 |
| 36 Allandale Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,221 (+6%) | 6mo | $198,000 | $162 | 66 |
| 115 Allandale Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 1mo | $248,000 | $199 | 65 |
| 139 Carling Rd | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,283 (+12%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $214 | 63 |
| 94 Delray Rd | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,222 (+6%) | 0mo | $300,000 | $245 | 63 |
| 970 Atlantic Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,249 (+9%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $168 | 62 |
| 101 Kansas St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,182 (+3%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $157 | 62 |
| 198 Illinois St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,103 (-4%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $181 | 57 |
| 200 Wisconsin St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-3%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $192 | 49 |
| 182 Arbordale Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,048 (-9%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $191 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-15,514
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $6,604
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14610
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,959 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,692/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$411
- Net cashflow
- $274
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,450 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1600 East Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 944 | $2,875 | $3.04 | 2d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1650 East Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 563 | $1,425 | $2.53 | 2d | 22 | 0.21mi |
| 241 Norris Dr Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 2d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 241 Norris Dr Unit D Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $1,500 | $1.82 | 10d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 27 Hoyt Pl Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $2,995 | $2.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 108 Bowman St Unit 1 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 36 Morningside Park Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1446 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 322 Wisconsin St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1079 Garson Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1273 | $2,100 | $1.65 | 10d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 933 University Ave Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1295 | $3,815 | $2.94 | 2d | 12 | 1.00mi |
| 593 Park Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,450 | $1.71 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 30 Edgerton St Unit 6 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,425 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 30 Edgerton St Unit 30-06 Edgerton Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,425 | $1.68 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 30 Edgerton St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,425 | $1.68 | 10d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 254 Anderson Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $975 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 250 Anderson Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,675 | $2.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 459-461 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1159 Culver Rd Unit A2 UP Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1313 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 500 Garson Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,050 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 14 Beechwood St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 94 Avondale Park Apt 2 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 294 Barrington St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1131 | $1,750 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 733 University Ave #3 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 420 Rosewood Ter Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1246 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1132 Monroe Ave Unit Upper Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 195 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1413 | $1,265 | $0.90 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2500 East Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1171 | $2,520 | $2.15 | 2d | 17 | 1.31mi |
| 1107-1109 Monroe Ave Unit 1107 Monroe Ave, Upper Unit Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1346 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 21 Rundel Park Unit 2 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,099 | $1.68 | 19d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 948 Monroe Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 10d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 948 Monroe Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 2d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 965 Monroe Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1335 | $1,800 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 636 University Ave Apt 2 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $200,000 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $200,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-03$200,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,692 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,536 · $211/mo
- Expected delta
- +$844/yr (+$70/mo · 49.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,508
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$1,692
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,881
- − Management
- −$1,881
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $34
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,286/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,311
- Household income
- $85,961
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 923.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Iranian 4% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.64%
- Current HPI
- 280.8593
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.72%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+233.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $200,000 UNYREIS
- 2021-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $162,500 Public Records
- 2021-05-17 Sold (MLS) $165,000 UNYREIS
- 2021-03-09 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2021-03-03 Listed $147,000 UNYREIS
- 2007-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $87,900 Public Records
- 2004-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,692 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…