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4 Night Star Ter Lot 036 ALLEGHENY
D Composite 40.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0

$274,990

4 Night Star Ter Lot 036 ALLEGHENY · Ranson, WV 25430
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,530 sqft · Townhouse · 16 Days on market
Built 2026 3,451 sqft lot Est $278k · at est. $25/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

IMMEDIATE DELIVERY! Welcome to the Allegheny at Rocky Ridge! This new two-story townhome begins with an open layout connecting the spacious Great Room, modern kitchen featuring Valle Nevado granite countertops and Barnett Duraform cabinets in Linen connected to the dining area together for seamless living. All three bedrooms are nestled on the top floor to provide maximum privacy and personal space, including the owner’s suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet. Prices, dimensions and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only. Located in a desirable Jefferson County neighborhood, Rocky Ridge, this home is within easy reach of scho

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Open layout
  • Modern kitchen

Tags

OPEN LAYOUTMODERN KITCHENBARNETT DURAFORM CABINETSOWNER'S SUITEWALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: 93 Night Star Terrace, Kearneysville, WV. Use GPS
  • HOA & community: HOA fee of $25 per month

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
  • Home design: End of row townhouse; Fee simple ownership; Property listed in excellent condition
  • Construction: Built by Lennar Homes (construction not completed); Vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: No basement; Above grade other structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level (Master Bedroom, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the upper level; One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump with electric backup; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Great Room; Dining Room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-393 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (20.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (29.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (29.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.8% in Ranson — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#100 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jefferson County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #6 of 55 in WV (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,162 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $193,956 (29.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.58%
Cash-on-cash
-6.13%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$278,460
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12 Night Star Ter Lot 34 ALLEGHENY 0.01mi 3/2.5 1,530 (0%) 1mo $249,990 $163 99
11 Night Star Ter Lot 27 ALLEGHENY 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,530 (0%) 1mo $249,990 $163 99
75 White Violet Lot 5 ALLEGHENY 0.11mi 3/2.5 1,481 (-3%) 4mo $259,990 $176 86
63 White Violet Lot 2 ALLEGHENY 0.11mi 3/2.5 1,481 (-3%) 4mo $259,990 $176 86
67 White Violet Way Lot 3 ALLEGHENY 0.11mi 3/2.5 1,481 (-3%) 7mo $259,990 $176 84
62 White Violet Way Lot 09 BAYLOR 0.10mi 3/3.5 1,657 (+8%) 5mo $265,000 $160 73
130 Night Star Ter 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,440 (-6%) 15mo $262,500 $182 72
134 Night Star Ter 0.12mi 3/2.5 1,440 (-6%) 17mo $262,500 $182 70
156 Night Star Ter 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,440 (-6%) 17mo $262,500 $182 69
126 Night Star Ter 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,440 (-6%) 17mo $262,500 $182 68
138 Night Star Ter 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,440 (-6%) 18mo $263,750 $183 68
122 Night Star Ter 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,440 (-6%) 19mo $267,500 $186 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$124,772
Equity at exit
$247,733
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
6.03×
Total profit
$387,213
Equity at exit
$534,245

Cash invested: $76,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25430

Home prices YoY
15.4%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,940 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax est. 1.5%
$344 /mo · $4,125/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$25
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$407
Net cashflow
$-393

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,437
Max offer price $218,102
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-203 -5% $-298 +0% $-393 +5% $-488 +10% $-583
Rent -10% $-546 -5% $-470 +0% $-393 +5% $-317 +10% $-240
Rate -1.0pp $-255 -0.5pp $-323 base $-393 +0.5pp $-464 +1.0pp $-537

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,748
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11 Night Star Ter Kearneysville, WV 3.0 2.5 1530 $1,800 $1.18 5d 1 0.03mi
8 Night Star Ter Kearneysville, WV 3.0 2.5 1530 $2,150 $1.41 0d 1 0.03mi
60 Night Star Ter Unit 1 Kearneysville, WV 3.0 2.5 1880 $1,895 $1.01 6d 1 0.08mi
11 Aberdeen Dr Kearneysville, WV 3.0 2.5 1820 $1,850 $1.02 4d 3 0.94mi
15 Chloe Dr Kearneysville, WV 3.0 2.5 1800 $1,795 $1.00 14d 1 0.96mi
44 Bravery Way Martinsburg, WV 3.0 2.5 1850 $1,750 $0.95 0d 1 1.13mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$25 · $300/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $274,990 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $274,990 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $274,990 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,990 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $289,990 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,990 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $289,990 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,990 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,990 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,990 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    remarks 693-char remark
  12. 2026-05-31
    listed $289,990 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,275
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$4,125
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,862
− Management
−$1,862
− HOA
−$300
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$9,652
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,317
After-tax cash flow
$-2,401/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County Schools
NCES district ID
5400570
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$67,038
Composite
33.98/100
National rank
#5322
State rank
#6 of 55 in WV

Livability — Ranson

Score
66/100
State rank
#100
US rank
#11255

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
7,330
Population (ZIP)
8,215

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,715 people
By 2030
64,052 · +3.8%
By 2040
67,713 · +9.7%
By 2050
69,843 · +13.2%
By 2075
72,679 · +17.8%
By 2100
71,872 · +16.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
R (+15.8) · D 41.0% · R 56.8% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: -15.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.8 2020: R+10.5 2016: R+15.3 2012: R+4.0 2008: D+4.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 43.13%
Current HPI
322.5052
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $289,990 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…