2601 Edwards Rd #128 · Denton, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a basketball court, community events, a playground, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Basketball court
- Playground
- Built 2026
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 30.5% vs local median 3.4% in Denton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#2 in TX, #210 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Denton ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #383 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 287 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 86.35%
- DSCR
- 4.84
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 83.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.68×
- Total profit
- $61,783
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 86.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.86×
- Total profit
- $131,876
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76208
- Home prices YoY
- -20.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 287
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,052 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $1,207
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,248 | -5% $1,228 | +0% $1,207 | +5% $1,186 | +10% $1,165 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,045 | -5% $1,126 | +0% $1,207 | +5% $1,288 | +10% $1,369 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,237 | -0.5pp $1,222 | base $1,207 | +0.5pp $1,191 | +1.0pp $1,176 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5201 Par Dr Denton, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,579 | $1.93 | 0d | 33 | 0.43mi |
| 4504 Serverus Way Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1184 | $1,850 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4524 Serverus Way Unit 4524SW Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,249 | $1.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4713 Colosseum Way Unit 4713CW Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,895 | $1.65 | 26d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4729 Colosseum Way Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1148 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4604 Colosseum Way Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,100 | $1.83 | 3d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3500 Quail Creek Dr Denton, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1005 | $1,466 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4900 Claudia Dr Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1148 | $1,950 | $1.70 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4720 Colosseum Way Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1148 | $1,950 | $1.70 | 0d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4529 Pantheon Way Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1148 | $2,050 | $1.79 | 0d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3720 Florentine Dr Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1148 | $2,150 | $1.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4920 Claudia Dr Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1148 | $1,900 | $1.66 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4517 Tiberius Dr Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,150 | $1.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5016 Claudia Dr Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1184 | $2,199 | $1.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5100 Claudia Dr Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,150 | $1.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4729 Tiberius Dr Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1184 | $2,250 | $1.90 | 9d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3817 Hercules Way Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,150 | $1.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3904 Florentine Dr Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,150 | $1.87 | 26d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3828 Ephesus Way Unit 3828EW Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1184 | $2,150 | $1.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3828 Carmel Villas Dr Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1148 | $1,950 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3908 Carmel Villas Dr Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1184 | $1,950 | $1.65 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1735 Northstar Rd Denton, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1195 | $3,288 | $2.75 | 0d | 43 | 0.71mi |
| 3901 Constantine Dr Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1184 | $2,199 | $1.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3920 Carmel Villas Dr Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1148 | $1,975 | $1.72 | 0d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3905 Constantine Dr Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,150 | $1.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3705 Pockrus Page Rd Denton, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1166 | $2,275 | $1.95 | 0d | 28 | 0.72mi |
| 1710 Northstar Rd Denton, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 928 | $1,949 | $2.10 | 0d | 73 | 0.73mi |
| 5409 Dolores Pl Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1475 | $1,750 | $1.19 | 9d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1501 Northstar Rd Denton, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1017 | $2,343 | $2.30 | 0d | 29 | 0.85mi |
| 5404 Dolores Pl Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1475 | $1,995 | $1.35 | 20d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5505 Dolores Pl Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1475 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2801 Spencer Rd Denton, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $2,295 | $2.72 | 4d | 15 | 1.05mi |
| 2801 Spencer Rd Denton, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $2,295 | $2.72 | 45d | 8 | 1.05mi |
| 6287 1/2 Pockrus Page Rd Unit 1/2 Denton, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,995 | $1.66 | 9d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2411 S Interstate 35 E Denton, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 703 | $1,471 | $2.09 | 0d | 21 | 1.17mi |
| 3914 Winston Dr Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,265 | $1.66 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 6303 W Shady Shores Rd Denton, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1028 | $2,271 | $2.21 | 0d | 29 | 1.47mi |
| 6503 W Shady Shores Rd Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $3,220 | $2.41 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 6503 W Shady Shores Rd Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $1,639 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $59,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,400 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-04-02price $59,400 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a basketball court, community events, a playground, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2026-02-01price $66,300 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a basketball court, community events, a playground, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2026-01-05$66,800 Active 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a basketball court, community events, a playground, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,620
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,970
- − Management
- −$1,970
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $14,385
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,452
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,030/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Fresh paint and cleaning gutters can significantly enhance its curb appeal and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
- Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, which is important for rental properties.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance. ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, which is important for rental properties. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Denton ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816740
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,913
- Composite
- 34.91/100
- National rank
- #5075
- State rank
- #383 of 826 in TX
Livability — Denton
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #210
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Denton, TX
- County
- Denton County · 901,654 people
- City population
- 127,990
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,025
- Household income
- $88,967
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1072.0
Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,053,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,192,269 · +13.2%
- By 2040
- 1,472,920 · +39.9%
- By 2050
- 1,746,506 · +65.9%
- By 2075
- 2,358,497 · +124.0%
- By 2100
- 2,779,183 · +163.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 15% Black 12% Asian 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Denton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.64%
- Current HPI
- 244.3487
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.31%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-11.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $59,400 Zillow
- 2026-02-01 Price Changed $66,300 Zillow
- 2026-01-05 Listed $66,800 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…