5712 Lagoon Cruise Way · Jacksonville, FL 32234

$310,990

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,797 sqft · SingleFamily · 64 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition 5,500 sqft lot Est $302k · at est. $100/mo HOA · 4% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +8.8/30.0
• ARV discount +6.1/15.0
• Appreciation +5.2/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• 1% rule +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.4/10.0

Listing remarks

* Sample Photos, This charming AVERY home features 4 spacious bedrooms and 2 well-appointed bathrooms, perfect for family living. The inviting kitchen area flows seamlessly into the dining area, creating an open and functional space ideal for both daily living and entertaining. The primary suite is a true retreat, offering a generous walk-in closet and a private bath complete with double vanity sinks, providing ample space and comfort. Additional highlights include a two-car garage and a relaxing lanai, ideal for enjoying the outdoors. Whether hosting gatherings or enjoying quiet moments at home, this property offers a welcoming and versatile layout for all lifestyles.

Key facts

• 5,500 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Unfurnished
• HOA & community: HOA with annual fee; Association fee $1,200 annually; Association amenities include beach access, clubhouse, dog park, gated entry, jogging path, park, playground, water access; Association fee includes internet; CDD fee applies (amount listed separately)

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage
• Security: Smoke detector(s)
• Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Water available; Sewer available
• Home design: Single family residence; One-level (single story); Faces east; Listed with multi-family current use
• Construction: Fiber cement and wood siding exterior; Shingle roof
• Exterior features: Covered rear porch; Smoke detector(s); Cleared lot; Private road frontage (asphalt)

Interior

• Kitchen: Pantry; Disposal; Electric oven; Microwave; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on the first floor
• Flooring: Carpet; Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bathroom includes shower and dual sinks
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (heat pump); Central air (electric)
• Interior features: Breakfast bar; Open floor plan; Pantry; Primary bathroom with shower (no tub); Split bedrooms; Walk-in closet(s)
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in unit; Electric dryer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $311k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-254 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $274k (11.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (18.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $253k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
• Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Mamie Agnes Jones Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 430 students, 61% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); Baldwin Middle-Senior High School (math 37% / reading 39%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 1,384 students, 43% FRL).
• Market conditions: 233 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
• Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($292k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $252,554 (18.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.81% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.31%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.50%
• DSCR: 0.84
• GRM: 10.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $301,896
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
5752 Lagoon Cruise Way	0.07mi	4/2.0	1,797 (0%)	5mo	$383,000	$213	93
15361 Bareback Dr	0.38mi	4/2.0	1,796 (-0%)	1mo	$295,000	$164	82
15306 Hidden Foal Dr	0.30mi	4/2.0	1,740 (-3%)	1mo	$240,000	$138	80
5728 Lagoon Cruise Way	0.05mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,622 (-10%)	4mo	$309,990	$191	73
5717 Lagoon Cruise Way	0.16mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,622 (-10%)	2mo	$309,990	$191	70
15384 Bareback Dr	0.42mi	4/2.0	1,783 (-1%)	12mo	$295,000	$165	69
15373 Hidden Foal Dr	0.44mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,711 (-5%)	1mo	$287,147	$168	66
6119 Black Filly Ln	0.45mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,711 (-5%)	1mo	$290,000	$169	65
15543 Bareback Dr	0.53mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,709 (-5%)	5mo	$285,000	$167	58
15319 Bareback Dr	0.31mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,540 (-14%)	0mo	$250,000	$162	56
15174 Bareback Dr	0.29mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,548 (-14%)	3mo	$244,500	$158	56
15324 Hidden Foal Dr	0.34mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,540 (-14%)	14mo	$260,000	$169	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -4.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.79×
• Total profit: $-18,536
• Equity at exit: $97,366

10-year hold

• IRR: 1.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.14×
• Total profit: $11,880
• Equity at exit: $122,835

Cash invested: $87,077 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32234

• Home prices YoY: 0.2%
• Active inventory: 233
• Price-to-rent: 10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,526 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,631
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$389 /mo · $4,665/yr
• Insurance: −$130
• HOA: −$100
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$530
• Net cashflow: $-254

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,847

Max offer price $274,235

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-39	-5% $-147	+0% $-254	+5% $-361	+10% $-469
Rent	-10% $-454	-5% $-354	+0% $-254	+5% $-154	+10% $-54
Rate	-1.0pp $-97	-0.5pp $-175	base $-254	+0.5pp $-335	+1.0pp $-417

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $77,748
• Closing costs: $9,330
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 7 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
5724 Lagoon Cruise Way Jacksonville, FL	4.0	3.0	2494	$2,800	$1.12	6d	1	0.05mi
15246 Hidden Foal Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1730	$1,900	$1.10	14d	1	0.25mi
15180 Bareback Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1840	$1,999	$1.09	5d	1	0.27mi
6137 Black Stallion Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1862	$1,955	$1.05	0d	1	0.82mi
6092 Bucking Bronco Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1778	$1,995	$1.12	9d	1	1.08mi
15729 Equine Gait Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1650	$1,950	$1.18	0d	1	1.08mi
15647 Woodbury Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0–5.0	2.0–3.5	1863	$2,222	$1.19	0d	27	1.26mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $100 · $1,200/yr

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $310,990 Active 64 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $310,990 Active 61 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $310,990 Active 60 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $310,990 Active 59 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $310,990 Active 58 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $310,990 Active 55 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $310,990 Active 52 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $310,990 Active 51 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $310,990 Active 50 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $310,990 Active 47 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $310,990 Active 46 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $310,990 Active 45 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $310,990 Active 44 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $310,990 Active 43 DOM
15. 2026-04-18
    listed $331,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $30,306
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,420
• − Property taxes: −$4,665
• − Insurance: −$1,555
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,425
• − Management: −$2,425
• − HOA: −$1,200
• − Depreciation: −$9,047
• Taxable loss: −$8,430
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,023
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,025/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready and has a good resale and rental value. The home has a modern kitchen, a well-maintained bathroom, and a clean exterior. The home has a good foundation and structure, and the HVAC system appears to be in good condition. The home has a good landscaping and curb appeal. The home has a good resale and rental value and can be improved with some minor updates such as painting, landscaping, and adding smart home features and appliances.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value, especially for younger buyers/tenants.
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers/tenants.
• Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, making the home more attractive to potential buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value, especially for younger buyers/tenants. ↑
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers/tenants. ↑
• Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, making the home more attractive to potential buyers/tenants. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Duval
• NCES district ID: 1200480
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $48,987
• Composite: 38.97/100
• National rank: #4076
• State rank: #48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #50
• US rank: #911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jacksonville, FL
• County: Duval County · 1,015,274 people
• City population: 979,034
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• Population (ZIP): 9,678
• Household income: $87,331
• Rent vs Own: 13.6% rent · 86.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 62.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,013,010 people
• By 2030: 1,059,228 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,141,439 · +12.7%
• By 2050: 1,205,258 · +19.0%
• By 2075: 1,324,282 · +30.7%
• By 2100: 1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Salvadoran 1%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 0.45%
• Current HPI: 288.4613
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-04-18 Listed $331,990 realMLS