336 Jute Rd · Laurel Lake, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the market this 2-bedroom home located in Commercial Township! As you walk through the front door, you’ll step into a spacious living room featuring large windows that bring in an abundance of natural light. Just off the living room, you’ll step up into an eat-in kitchen and dining area that offers plenty of room for a large table. Off the kitchen, you’ll find the first-floor bedroom and full bathroom. A side door off the kitchen leads to a large side deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Steps from the kitchen lead to the lower level, where the second bedroom is located, along with a laundry area and two additional bonus rooms. This property also includes a driveway and an open backyard, ideal for gatherings. This property is being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Large windows
- Bonus rooms
- Side deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#521 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Commercial Township School District (rural): math 5% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #449 of 472 in NJ (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 296 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $77k; list at $145k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.51%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,451
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -22.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 328 Jute Rd | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 753 (-3%) | 7mo | $184,500 | $245 | 88 |
| 1857 Lakeshore Dr | 0.31mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 736 (-5%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $82 | 65 |
| 107 Pine Rd | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 776 (0%) | 4mo | $184,900 | $238 | 63 |
| 118 Canary Rd | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (-15%) | 2mo | $187,000 | $283 | 56 |
| 432 Mistle Rd | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-10%) | 4mo | $129,900 | $186 | 56 |
| 400 Satinwood Rd | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+11%) | 22mo | $155,000 | $179 | 54 |
| 110 Daffodil Rd | 0.36mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 858 (+11%) | 5mo | $187,500 | $219 | 53 |
| 214 SE Lakeshore Dr | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 828 (+7%) | 18mo | $240,000 | $290 | 41 |
| 246 Poplar Rd | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 864 (+11%) | 19mo | $123,000 | $142 | 40 |
| 439 Mistle Rd | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (+11%) | 23mo | $25,000 | $29 | 39 |
| 215 Nymph Rd | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 880 (+13%) | 20mo | $195,000 | $222 | 37 |
| 209 Dandelion Rd | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (+14%) | 24mo | $215,000 | $242 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-17,488
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-11,705
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08332
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 296
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,544 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$281 /mo · $3,366/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $119
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7357 William Ave Millville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $1,550 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $145,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-15price $145,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $155,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $155,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-03-30price $165,000 789-char remark
Show marketing remark (789 chars)
Welcome to the market this 2-bedroom home located in Commercial Township! As you walk through the front door, you’ll step into a spacious living room featuring large windows that bring in an abundance of natural light. Just off the living room, you’ll step up into an eat-in kitchen and dining area that offers plenty of room for a large table. Off the kitchen, you’ll find the first-floor bedroom and full bathroom. A side door off the kitchen leads to a large side deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Steps from the kitchen lead to the lower level, where the second bedroom is located, along with a laundry area and two additional bonus rooms. This property also includes a driveway and an open backyard, ideal for gatherings. This property is being sold as-is.
-
2026-02-19price $175,000 789-char remark
Show marketing remark (789 chars)
Welcome to the market this 2-bedroom home located in Commercial Township! As you walk through the front door, you’ll step into a spacious living room featuring large windows that bring in an abundance of natural light. Just off the living room, you’ll step up into an eat-in kitchen and dining area that offers plenty of room for a large table. Off the kitchen, you’ll find the first-floor bedroom and full bathroom. A side door off the kitchen leads to a large side deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Steps from the kitchen lead to the lower level, where the second bedroom is located, along with a laundry area and two additional bonus rooms. This property also includes a driveway and an open backyard, ideal for gatherings. This property is being sold as-is.
-
2026-01-20$190,000 Active 789-char remark
Show marketing remark (789 chars)
Welcome to the market this 2-bedroom home located in Commercial Township! As you walk through the front door, you’ll step into a spacious living room featuring large windows that bring in an abundance of natural light. Just off the living room, you’ll step up into an eat-in kitchen and dining area that offers plenty of room for a large table. Off the kitchen, you’ll find the first-floor bedroom and full bathroom. A side door off the kitchen leads to a large side deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Steps from the kitchen lead to the lower level, where the second bedroom is located, along with a laundry area and two additional bonus rooms. This property also includes a driveway and an open backyard, ideal for gatherings. This property is being sold as-is.
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2022-11-11historical
-
2022-10-20price $145,000
-
2022-09-24historical
-
2022-09-24$170,000 Active
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2022-09-06status Pending
-
2022-08-15historical
-
2022-08-15$173,900 Active
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2022-07-27$175,000 Active
-
2022-07-27historical
-
2022-06-14historical
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2022-06-14$175,000 Active
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2022-05-11$179,900 Active
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2018-12-04soldstatus $76,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,366 · $281/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,488 · $291/mo
- Expected delta
- +$122/yr (+$10/mo · 3.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,531
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$3,366
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,482
- − Management
- −$1,482
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$866
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$208
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,631/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Commercial Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3403480
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,143
- Composite
- 14.86/100
- National rank
- #9378
- State rank
- #449 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Laurel Lake
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #22397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Laurel Lake, NJ
- County
- Cumberland County · 80,266 people
- City population
- 35,228
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,228
- Household income
- $67,496
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1761.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,743 people
- By 2030
- 150,373 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 146,881 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 142,653 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 129,468 · -15.2%
- By 2100
- 107,456 · -29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 15% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.45%
- Current HPI
- 274.8011
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.94%
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+114.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-20 Listed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-11-11 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-10-20 Price Changed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-24 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-24 Listed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-15 Listed $173,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-27 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-06-14 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-06-14 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-11 Listed $179,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $76,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,366 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…