10638 Franklin Pike · Meadville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CASH ONLY Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering approximately 1,000 sq ft of living space in a peaceful setting just outside Meadville. This inviting home features a bright enclosed back porch, spacious living area, and plenty of natural light throughout. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space and classic character, while the bedrooms provide comfortable living areas. A full unfinished block basement with concrete floors includes washer hookup and additional storage space. The property also features a private driveway, mature trees, and a newer furnace (less than 5 years old). Conveniently located near local amenities while maintaining a quiet, rural feel.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 1923
- Listed 11 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $331 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.9% in Meadville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#72 in PA, #502 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment F.
- Crawford Central SD (town): math 28% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #367 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 83 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.75%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,918
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -52.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10638 Franklin Pike | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (0%) | 1mo | $67,000 | $67 | 100 |
| 10223 Liberty Ext | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 919 (-8%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $152 | 67 |
| 20114 Stauffer Rd | 0.58mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 882 (-12%) | 14mo | $151,996 | $172 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $8,116
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $34,165
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16335
- Home prices YoY
- -9.0%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,066 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $708/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $331
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $376 | -5% $353 | +0% $331 | +5% $308 | +10% $286 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $247 | -5% $289 | +0% $331 | +5% $373 | +10% $415 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $371 | -0.5pp $351 | base $331 | +0.5pp $310 | +1.0pp $289 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637 Pine St Meadville, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 723 | $1,885 | $2.61 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 667-char remark
Show marketing remark (667 chars)
CASH ONLY Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering approximately 1,000 sq ft of living space in a peaceful setting just outside Meadville. This inviting home features a bright enclosed back porch, spacious living area, and plenty of natural light throughout. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space and classic character, while the bedrooms provide comfortable living areas. A full unfinished block basement with concrete floors includes washer hookup and additional storage space. The property also features a private driveway, mature trees, and a newer furnace (less than 5 years old). Conveniently located near local amenities while maintaining a quiet, rural feel.
-
2026-05-04price $79,900 667-char remark
Show marketing remark (667 chars)
CASH ONLY Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering approximately 1,000 sq ft of living space in a peaceful setting just outside Meadville. This inviting home features a bright enclosed back porch, spacious living area, and plenty of natural light throughout. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space and classic character, while the bedrooms provide comfortable living areas. A full unfinished block basement with concrete floors includes washer hookup and additional storage space. The property also features a private driveway, mature trees, and a newer furnace (less than 5 years old). Conveniently located near local amenities while maintaining a quiet, rural feel.
-
2026-04-28status Active 667-char remark
Show marketing remark (667 chars)
CASH ONLY Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering approximately 1,000 sq ft of living space in a peaceful setting just outside Meadville. This inviting home features a bright enclosed back porch, spacious living area, and plenty of natural light throughout. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space and classic character, while the bedrooms provide comfortable living areas. A full unfinished block basement with concrete floors includes washer hookup and additional storage space. The property also features a private driveway, mature trees, and a newer furnace (less than 5 years old). Conveniently located near local amenities while maintaining a quiet, rural feel.
-
2026-04-17status Pending 667-char remark
Show marketing remark (667 chars)
CASH ONLY Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering approximately 1,000 sq ft of living space in a peaceful setting just outside Meadville. This inviting home features a bright enclosed back porch, spacious living area, and plenty of natural light throughout. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space and classic character, while the bedrooms provide comfortable living areas. A full unfinished block basement with concrete floors includes washer hookup and additional storage space. The property also features a private driveway, mature trees, and a newer furnace (less than 5 years old). Conveniently located near local amenities while maintaining a quiet, rural feel.
-
2026-04-14$85,000 Active 667-char remark
Show marketing remark (667 chars)
CASH ONLY Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering approximately 1,000 sq ft of living space in a peaceful setting just outside Meadville. This inviting home features a bright enclosed back porch, spacious living area, and plenty of natural light throughout. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space and classic character, while the bedrooms provide comfortable living areas. A full unfinished block basement with concrete floors includes washer hookup and additional storage space. The property also features a private driveway, mature trees, and a newer furnace (less than 5 years old). Conveniently located near local amenities while maintaining a quiet, rural feel.
-
2026-04-07historical Expired 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering approximately 1,000 sq ft of living space in a peaceful setting just outside Meadville. This inviting home features a bright enclosed back porch, spacious living area, and plenty of natural light throughout. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space and classic character, while the bedrooms provide comfortable living areas. A full unfinished block basement with concrete floors includes washer hookup and additional storage space. The property also features a private driveway, mature trees, and a newer furnace (less than 5 years old). Conveniently located near local amenities while maintaining a quiet, rural feel.
-
2026-03-23price $85,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering approximately 1,000 sq ft of living space in a peaceful setting just outside Meadville. This inviting home features a bright enclosed back porch, spacious living area, and plenty of natural light throughout. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space and classic character, while the bedrooms provide comfortable living areas. A full unfinished block basement with concrete floors includes washer hookup and additional storage space. The property also features a private driveway, mature trees, and a newer furnace (less than 5 years old). Conveniently located near local amenities while maintaining a quiet, rural feel.
-
2026-03-13$90,000 Active 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering approximately 1,000 sq ft of living space in a peaceful setting just outside Meadville. This inviting home features a bright enclosed back porch, spacious living area, and plenty of natural light throughout. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space and classic character, while the bedrooms provide comfortable living areas. A full unfinished block basement with concrete floors includes washer hookup and additional storage space. The property also features a private driveway, mature trees, and a newer furnace (less than 5 years old). Conveniently located near local amenities while maintaining a quiet, rural feel.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $708 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $985 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$277/yr (+$23/mo · 39.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,792
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$708
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,023
- − Management
- −$1,023
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $2,838
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$681
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,289/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crawford Central SD
- NCES district ID
- 4207080
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,837
- Composite
- 33.21/100
- National rank
- #5530
- State rank
- #367 of 539 in PA
Livability — Meadville
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Crawford County · 27,175 people
- City population
- 27,175
- Metro
- Meadville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,175
- Household income
- $57,591
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 953.0
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,399 people
- By 2030
- 77,977 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 70,659 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 63,841 · -21.6%
- By 2075
- 50,198 · -38.3%
- By 2100
- 37,898 · -53.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.2) · D 30.0% · R 69.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -39.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.2 2020: R+37.2 2016: R+38.5 2012: R+19.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.80%
- Current HPI
- 272.4095
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Meadville, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-11.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — GEBOR
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $79,900 GEBOR
- 2026-04-28 Relisted — GEBOR
- 2026-04-17 Pending — GEBOR
- 2026-04-14 Listed $85,000 GEBOR
- 2026-04-07 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $85,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $90,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
-6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $708 · -3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…