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4020 Katanga Dr N
B- Composite 69.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

4020 Katanga Dr N · Jacksonville, FL 32209
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 876 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1961 7,840 sqft lot Est $99k · 10% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity is knocking in Cleveland Heights! This cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath block home offers 876 sq ft of potential and is ready for your personal touch. Built in 1961, this property is the perfect canvas for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home from the ground up. Solid block construction provides a strong foundation, while city water and sewer add everyday convenience. With a functional layout and great bones, this fixer-upper is brimming with possibilities--update, redesign, and bring your vision to life! Whether you're looking to renovate and resell or customize a cozy residence, this is your chance to unlock value in a desirable neighborhood. Don't miss out

Key facts

  • Block home
  • City water and sewer
  • Functional layout

Tags

BLOCK HOMESOLID BLOCK CONSTRUCTIONCITY WATER AND SEWERFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTDESIRABLE NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport (1 space); Off-street parking; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Block construction; Tar/gravel roof
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; City street frontage with asphalt road

Interior

  • Kitchen: No built-in appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Electric cooling and wall/window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Primary bathroom with tub and shower
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in unit; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,150/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 2921% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,330 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
9.58%
Cash-on-cash
11.76%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$98,988
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4105 Katanga Dr N 0.05mi 3/1.0 (+1) 874 (-0%) 1mo $122,500 $140 91
6151 Ardisia Rd 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 892 (+2%) 2mo $128,000 $143 78
6601 Cleveland Rd 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 896 (+2%) 2mo $82,500 $92 76
6645 Cleveland Rd 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 888 (+1%) 6mo $105,000 $118 72
2736 Lippia Rd 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 856 (-2%) 0mo $62,500 $73 69
2570 Spirea St 0.40mi 2/1.0 824 (-6%) 4mo $90,000 $109 68
4225 Homer Rd 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (+6%) 1mo $104,150 $113 66
2603 Sunny Acres Dr N 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 854 (-2%) 4mo $105,000 $123 61
3332 Japonica Rd N 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 828 (-6%) 2mo $103,500 $125 59
7203 Ken Knight Dr E 0.74mi 2/1.0 950 (+8%) 3mo $38,000 $40 49
7142 Ken Knight Dr E 0.72mi 2/1.0 950 (+8%) 6mo $85,000 $89 47
5638 Vernon Rd 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 963 (+10%) 2mo $99,000 $103 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-185
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$14,602
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32209

Home prices YoY
-22.1%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
394
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,150 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$161 /mo · $1,929/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$244

Break-even live

Break-even rent $841
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4144 Katanga Dr N Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1114 $1,095 $0.98 23d 1 0.09mi
4294 Katanga Dr N Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,450 $1.68 23d 1 0.25mi
6601 Cleveland Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 896 $1,400 $1.56 23d 1 0.32mi
4236 Homer Rd N Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 888 $1,250 $1.41 11d 1 0.43mi
3997 Leonnie Rd Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $950 $1.13 7d 1 0.50mi
4211 Moncrief Rd W Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 23d 1 0.51mi
4253 Moncrief Rd W Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $975 $1.16 23d 1 0.58mi
4177 Lorenzo Ct Unit 4 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $945 $1.12 1d 1 0.62mi
6114 Strawflower Pl Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1030 $1,200 $1.17 23d 1 0.72mi
4543 Moncrief Rd W Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,075 $1.13 7d 1 0.74mi
5531 Agra Ct Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 14d 1 0.74mi
5428 Bunche Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 23d 1 0.75mi
4440 Ken Knight Dr N Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 716 $650 $0.91 14d 1 0.82mi
5326 Mays Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 23d 1 0.83mi
2185 Benedict Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 630 $995 $1.58 23d 1 0.87mi
2185 Benedict Rd Unit 2187 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 630 $995 $1.58 10d 1 0.87mi
5217 Mays Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 7d 1 0.88mi
4655 Ken Knight Dr N Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 646 $600 $0.93 23d 1 0.90mi
2092 Benedict Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 816 $1,095 $1.34 23d 1 1.01mi
2268 W 44th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1077 $1,440 $1.34 4d 1 1.02mi
5035 Campenella Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 875 $1,095 $1.25 23d 1 1.03mi
5355 New Kings Rd Unit 24 Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $700 $1.17 7d 1 1.09mi
5355 New Kings Rd Unit 21 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 4d 1 1.09mi
5306 Paris Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,150 $1.22 23d 1 1.11mi
5355 New Kings Rd Unit 10 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 528 $775 $1.47 23d 1 1.16mi
2221 W 39th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 675 $800 $1.19 23d 1 1.21mi
2171 W 40th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 23d 1 1.22mi
2312 Palmdale St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 972 $1,231 $1.27 23d 1 1.28mi
1959 W 45th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 895 $1,245 $1.39 14d 1 1.32mi
6705 Gaspar Cir E Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1116 $1,254 $1.12 17d 1 1.32mi
2050 W 40th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,350 $1.34 16d 1 1.35mi
6718 Gaspar Cir W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1068 $1,305 $1.22 23d 1 1.42mi
2540 W 25th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 854 $1,295 $1.52 14d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    price $97,500
  2. 2026-05-06
    price $100,000
  3. 2026-05-01
    price $105,000
  4. 2026-04-21
    listed $109,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,929 · $161/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,929 · $161/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,803
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,929
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,104
− Management
−$1,104
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$1,646
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$395
After-tax cash flow
$2,535/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
34,657
Household income
$30,514
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2921.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.92%
Current HPI
189.5977
Rent YoY
▲ 1.81%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $97,500 realMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $100,000 realMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $105,000 realMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $109,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+17.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,929 · +15.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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