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133 Lori Dr Duplex
D Composite 40.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

133 Lori Dr · Mineral Wells, TX 76067
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1985 8,712 sqft lot ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

FULL DUPLEX — GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY WITH BOTH UNITS OCCUPIED! One side has been completely redone and updated with high-grade laminate flooring, ceramic tile, granite countertops and backsplash, stainless steel appliances, full-size washer and dryer connections, ceiling fans, and more. Located in the growing community of Mineral Wells, this property offers the perfect blend of small-town charm and investment potential. Enjoy easy access to the historic downtown area, shopping, restaurants, and the city’s ongoing revitalization efforts that continue drawing new residents and businesses to the area. Just minutes from Lake Mineral Wells State Park & Trailway, outdoor r

Key facts

  • Ceiling fans
  • Ceramic tile
  • Granite countertops

Tags

HIGH-GRADE LAMINATE FLOORINGCERAMIC TILEGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCEILING FANSEASY ACCESS TO DOWNTOWN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Month-to-month tenancy; Gross annual income approximately $31,200; Gross annual expenses approximately $5,820; Insurance expense $1,225; Net operating income approximately $24,155; Capitalization rate 9.66%
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces; Carport for 2 vehicles; Circular driveway and additional driveway (4 covered spaces / 4 parking spaces total)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; No municipal utility district
  • Home design: Duplex (residential income); 1 building with 2 units; 2-story; Year built 1985
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition/shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Covered patio/porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 half bathrooms (total 4 bathrooms)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Granite counters; Walk-in closet(s); Two levels; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($565/yr) — positive. Per door: $24/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (17.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $205k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.7% in Mineral Wells — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#278 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, schools F.
  • Mineral Wells ISD (town): math 30% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #636 of 826 in TX (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 277 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Palo Pinto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Palo Pinto County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $205,400 (17.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.81%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-37,574
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-29,110
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76067

Active inventory
277
Price-to-rent
20.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,054 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,924/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$431
Net cashflow
$47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,994
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 93%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,054

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $250,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $250,000 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $250,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $250,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 22 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 21 DOM
  17. 2026-05-09
    listed $250,000 Active 958-char remark
  18. 2026-03-20
    historical
  19. 2025-10-20
    listed $279,000 Active
  20. 2016-05-25
    soldstatus
  21. 1984-07-17
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,924 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,575 · $381/mo
Expected delta
+$2,651/yr (+$221/mo · 137.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,648
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$1,924
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,972
− Management
−$1,972
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$3,747
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$899
After-tax cash flow
$1,464/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mineral Wells ISD
NCES district ID
4830950
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$40,027
Composite
25.26/100
National rank
#7500
State rank
#636 of 826 in TX

Livability — Mineral Wells

Score
72/100
State rank
#278
US rank
#6474

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Palo Pinto County · 21,080 people
City population
21,080
Metro
Mineral Wells, TX
Population (ZIP)
21,080
Household income
$62,190
Rent vs Own
35.5% rent · 64.5% own
Severe rent burden
745.0

Population outlook (Palo Pinto County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,500 people
By 2030
27,079 · -1.5%
By 2040
26,135 · -5.0%
By 2050
25,215 · -8.3%
By 2075
23,416 · -14.9%
By 2100
20,300 · -26.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Palo Pinto

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.1) · D 16.1% · R 83.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.2pp · 2024: -67.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.1 2020: R+64.1 2016: R+64.1 2012: R+59.8 2008: R+48.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.09%
Current HPI
240.3647
Rent YoY
Metro
Mineral Wells, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $250,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-20 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-10-20 Listed $279,000 NTREIS
  • 2016-05-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1984-07-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,924 · -4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…