CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
255 Aileen Dr
D Composite 40.03
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$289,000

255 Aileen Dr · Columbus, MS 39705
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,840 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1981

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located just minutes north of Columbus, this beautiful, move-in-ready home is nestled in the family-friendly Sherwood Forest neighborhood. At nearly 2,100 square feet, the home boasts an oversized family room with vaulted ceilings, a sunroom overlooking a fenced-in back yard, and a fully renovated master bathroom/walk-in closet. You & acirc; & euro; & trade; ll find ample storage between the finished 2-car garage, utility room, storage loft, and a brand-new 8 & acirc; & euro; & trade; x12 & acirc; & euro; & trade; shed. Columbus Air Force Base is an easy 10-minute commute away, and you are a short drive from Golden Triangle Regional Airport, which offers

Key facts

  • Built 1981

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $289k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (13.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $250k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#219 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Columbus Municipal School District (town): math 9% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #113 of 130 in MS (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 130 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lowndes County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $154k; list at $289k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 48% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $250,000 (13.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.70%
Cash-on-cash
1.47%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-40,558
Equity at exit
$43,091
10-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-27,343
Equity at exit
$24,987

Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39705

Home prices YoY
-14.8%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,516
Tax from tax record
$240 /mo · $2,880/yr
Insurance
$120
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$99

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,375
Max offer price $289,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,250
Closing costs
$8,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
89 Sir Henry Dr Columbus, MS 3.0 2.0 2451 $2,500 $1.02 43d 1 0.36mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-26
    listed $289,000
  2. 2023-05-19
    soldstatus
  3. 2020-02-13
    soldstatus
  4. 2016-08-31
    soldstatus
  5. 2012-09-04
    soldstatus
  6. 2009-03-16
    soldstatus $154,000
  7. 2004-05-14
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,880 · $240/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,880 · $240/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 48% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,000
− Mortgage interest
−$16,188
− Property taxes
−$2,880
− Insurance
−$1,445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,400
− Management
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$8,407
Taxable loss
−$3,721
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$893
After-tax cash flow
$2,082/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbus Municipal School District
NCES district ID
2801200
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$33,376
Composite
10.49/100
National rank
#9782
State rank
#113 of 130 in MS

Livability — Columbus

Score
60/100
State rank
#219
US rank
#18952

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
35,442
Population (ZIP)
12,195

Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,842 people
By 2030
59,312 · -0.9%
By 2040
57,282 · -4.3%
By 2050
54,348 · -9.2%
By 2075
45,423 · -24.1%
By 2100
34,724 · -42.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 26% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.3pp toward R · 2008: -2.9pp · 2024: -8.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.2 2020: R+2.6 2016: R+6.3 2012: R+1.5 2008: R+2.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.83%
Current HPI
176.841
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+87.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $289,000 FSBO.com
  • 2023-05-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-02-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-08-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-09-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $154,000 Public Records
  • 2004-05-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,880 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…