15019 Evers St · Dolton, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
See the potential in this brick raised ranch home in Dolton. This home has 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathrooms, a large living room and an eat-in kitchen. The home has full sized basement and sits on nicely sized lot with a long driveway back to a 2 car detached garage, which makes for plenty of off street parking. This home is very close to schools, shopping, interstate transportation and a short drive to the Metra station. This home is being sold as is and room sizes are estimated. Make this one yours!
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Brick exterior
- Flexible layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel number: 29104020090000
- HOA & community: No master association fee required; Community features include curbs, sidewalks, street lights, and paved streets
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (garage owned) with approximately 2.5 garage spaces; Side driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story design; Fee simple ownership; Rehab completed in 2025; Built 61–70 years ago; School bus and commuter bus access with interstate access nearby
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Curbs, sidewalks, street lights, and paved streets; Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 5,280
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (16 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Main-level master bedroom (14 x 12); Main-level bedroom (12 x 12); Main-level bedroom (12 x 10); Basement bedroom (16 x 14) — possible 4th bedroom configuration
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living room, dining room, and kitchen
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Basement bathroom available
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished full basement; 8 total rooms; One fireplace in the family room; Soaking tub
- Laundry & utility: Basement laundry room (10 x 12)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,552/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 372 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $98k; list at $200k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 372 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.84%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $169,510
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14819 Evers St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,304 (+3%) | 0mo | $227,000 | $174 | 74 |
| 619 E 152nd St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,146 (-9%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $134 | 71 |
| 14914 Edbrooke Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,287 (+2%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $78 | 61 |
| 14619 Martin Luther King Jr Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,153 (-9%) | 2mo | $163,000 | $141 | 59 |
| 14927 Cottage Grove Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,095 (-13%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $228 | 55 |
| 15265 Drexel Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+6%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $115 | 55 |
| 717 E 154th St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-12%) | 2mo | $177,000 | $158 | 54 |
| 15518 Maple St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,345 (+6%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $89 | 52 |
| 15061 Wabash Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,116 (-12%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $134 | 51 |
| 686 E 155th St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (+11%) | 2mo | $157,000 | $112 | 48 |
| 15509 Rose Dr | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-13%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $123 | 42 |
| 14509 Park Ave | 0.71mi | 3/3.0 | 1,454 (+15%) | 3mo | $223,000 | $153 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-10,125
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $64,840
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60419
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,552 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$752 /mo · $9,027/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$536
- Net cashflow
- $132
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,430 | $2.48 | 22d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 8d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1277 | $2,320 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1487 | $2,146 | $1.44 | 8d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 19d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 19d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 14124 Manor Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,390 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 10d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1429 Kasten Dr Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 6d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 15707 Dante Dr South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,950 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 13841 Forest Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,895 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 372 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 371 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 370 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 369 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 366 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 363 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 361 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $199,900 Active 358 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 357 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 356 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 355 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 354 DOM
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2026-04-14price $214,900
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2026-01-15price $224,900
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2025-12-10price $249,900
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2025-06-27price $259,900
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2025-06-11$264,900 Active
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2024-02-28soldstatus $98,000 Closed 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
See the potential in this brick raised ranch home in Dolton. This home has 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathrooms, a large living room and an eat-in kitchen. The home has full sized basement and sits on nicely sized lot with a long driveway back to a 2 car detached garage, which makes for plenty of off street parking. This home is very close to schools, shopping, interstate transportation and a short drive to the Metra station. This home is being sold as is and room sizes are estimated. Make this one yours!
-
2024-01-12status Pending 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
See the potential in this brick raised ranch home in Dolton. This home has 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathrooms, a large living room and an eat-in kitchen. The home has full sized basement and sits on nicely sized lot with a long driveway back to a 2 car detached garage, which makes for plenty of off street parking. This home is very close to schools, shopping, interstate transportation and a short drive to the Metra station. This home is being sold as is and room sizes are estimated. Make this one yours!
-
2023-12-14historical Contingent - Continue to Show 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
See the potential in this brick raised ranch home in Dolton. This home has 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathrooms, a large living room and an eat-in kitchen. The home has full sized basement and sits on nicely sized lot with a long driveway back to a 2 car detached garage, which makes for plenty of off street parking. This home is very close to schools, shopping, interstate transportation and a short drive to the Metra station. This home is being sold as is and room sizes are estimated. Make this one yours!
-
2023-11-22price $99,200 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
See the potential in this brick raised ranch home in Dolton. This home has 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathrooms, a large living room and an eat-in kitchen. The home has full sized basement and sits on nicely sized lot with a long driveway back to a 2 car detached garage, which makes for plenty of off street parking. This home is very close to schools, shopping, interstate transportation and a short drive to the Metra station. This home is being sold as is and room sizes are estimated. Make this one yours!
-
2023-10-18$109,200 Active 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
See the potential in this brick raised ranch home in Dolton. This home has 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathrooms, a large living room and an eat-in kitchen. The home has full sized basement and sits on nicely sized lot with a long driveway back to a 2 car detached garage, which makes for plenty of off street parking. This home is very close to schools, shopping, interstate transportation and a short drive to the Metra station. This home is being sold as is and room sizes are estimated. Make this one yours!
-
1995-08-10soldstatus $87,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,027 · $752/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,027 · $752/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,627
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$9,027
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,450
- − Management
- −$2,450
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$1,313
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$315
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,904/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Dolton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #4883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dolton, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 20,825
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,825
- Household income
- $57,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.88%
- Current HPI
- 193.2346
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.65%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+145.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $214,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $224,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $249,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-27 Price Changed $259,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-11 Listed $264,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-28 Sold (MLS) $98,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-12 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-14 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-22 Price Changed $99,200 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-18 Listed $109,200 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.1%/yrLatest (2023): $9,027 · +22.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…