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19195 Dresden St
B- Composite 67.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,000

19195 Dresden St · Detroit, MI 48205
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 725 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1940 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent opportunity to purchase this single-family home on Detroit's East Side. Property is in good shape, with just a few minor touch-ups needed.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1940

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $578 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
  • Recommended offer: $46k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $46,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.45%
Cap rate
20.44%
Cash-on-cash
50.54%
DSCR
3.25
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$26,825
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20091 Annott St 0.63mi 2/1.0 747 (+3%) 1mo $12,800 $17 65
19392 Pelkey St 0.73mi 2/1.0 731 (+1%) 2mo $30,000 $41 63
19735 Annott St 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 780 (+8%) 4mo $69,500 $89 63
11839 Greiner St 0.60mi 2/1.0 743 (+2%) 12mo $22,000 $30 58
19758 Waltham St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 790 (+9%) 3mo $6,000 $8 56
20083 Bradford St 0.61mi 2/1.0 648 (-11%) 0mo $24,000 $37 54
20061 Westphalia St 0.70mi 2/1.0 712 (-2%) 13mo $75,000 $105 53
19161 Joann St 0.50mi 2/1.0 816 (+13%) 6mo $70,000 $86 50
19960 Bradford St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 786 (+8%) 10mo $10,000 $13 49
19988 Joann St 0.74mi 2/1.0 718 (-1%) 18mo $26,000 $36 49
13225 E State Fair St 0.69mi 2/1.0 750 (+3%) 16mo $25,000 $33 48
19140 Pelkey St 0.72mi 2/1.0 689 (-5%) 16mo $63,000 $91 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.4%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$26,918
Equity at exit
$7,306
10-year hold
IRR
51.4%
Equity multiple
5.60×
Total profit
$63,119
Equity at exit
$4,237

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
373
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,198 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,095/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$578

Break-even live

Break-even rent $467
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 43d 1 0.26mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 17d 1 0.26mi
18667 Algonac St Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 680 $1,999 $2.94 17d 1 0.63mi
20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 747 $1,300 $1.74 11d 1 0.96mi
13503 E McNichols Rd Unit 7 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 17d 1 0.97mi
21412 Waltham Rd Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 696 $1,225 $1.76 43d 1 1.28mi
14103 Rochelle Ave Unit 3 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 43d 1 1.36mi
7533 Quinn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 43d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-04-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to purchase this single-family home on Detroit's East Side. Property is in good shape, with just a few minor touch-ups needed.

  2. 2026-04-21
    status Pending 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to purchase this single-family home on Detroit's East Side. Property is in good shape, with just a few minor touch-ups needed.

  3. 2026-04-14
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to purchase this single-family home on Detroit's East Side. Property is in good shape, with just a few minor touch-ups needed.

  4. 2026-04-14
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to purchase this single-family home on Detroit's East Side. Property is in good shape, with just a few minor touch-ups needed.

  5. 2026-04-06
    price $49,000 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to purchase this single-family home on Detroit's East Side. Property is in good shape, with just a few minor touch-ups needed.

  6. 2026-04-06
    price $49,000
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to purchase this single-family home on Detroit's East Side. Property is in good shape, with just a few minor touch-ups needed.

  7. 2026-02-26
    price $59,000 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to purchase this single-family home on Detroit's East Side. Property is in good shape, with just a few minor touch-ups needed.

  8. 2026-02-26
    price $59,000
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to purchase this single-family home on Detroit's East Side. Property is in good shape, with just a few minor touch-ups needed.

  9. 2026-02-17
    listed $68,000 Active
  10. 2026-02-16
    listed $68,000 Active 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to purchase this single-family home on Detroit's East Side. Property is in good shape, with just a few minor touch-ups needed.

  11. 2023-03-14
    historical
  12. 2023-03-14
    historical
  13. 2023-02-08
    price $43,499
  14. 2023-02-07
    price $43,499
  15. 2023-01-21
    price $48,000
  16. 2023-01-20
    price $48,000
  17. 2022-12-13
    listed $55,000 Active
  18. 2022-12-13
    listed $55,000 Active
  19. 2009-07-31
    historical
  20. 2009-05-21
    listed $3,900
  21. 1999-05-11
    soldstatus $44,000
  22. 1999-04-13
    historical
  23. 1999-01-30
    listed $45,000
  24. 1997-09-05
    soldstatus $35,126
  25. 1996-10-02
    soldstatus $32,000
  26. 1996-05-28
    soldstatus $13,000
  27. 1996-05-28
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,095 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,095 · $91/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,377
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$1,095
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,150
− Management
−$1,150
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$6,566
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,576
After-tax cash flow
$5,358/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+276.9% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-21 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $49,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $49,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $59,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $68,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $68,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-02-08 Price Changed $43,499 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-02-07 Price Changed $43,499 REALCOMP
  • 2023-01-21 Price Changed $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-01-20 Price Changed $48,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-12-13 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-12-13 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2009-07-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2009-05-21 Listed $3,900 REALCOMP
  • 1999-05-11 Sold (MLS) $44,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-04-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-01-30 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $35,126 Public Records
  • 1996-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
  • 1996-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
  • 1996-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,095 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…