3005 Commercial Ave · South Chicago Heights, IL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.6/15.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming ranch-style home in South Chicago Heights featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, a detached garage, and an unfinished basement offering excellent storage or future expansion potential. Enjoy the charm of the inviting sun porch-perfect for relaxing with morning coffee or creating additional living space filled with natural light. Situated on a manageable lot in a quiet residential neighborhood, the home provides convenient access to schools, parks, shopping, dining, and major highways. Schedule your showing today! Sold As Is. Seller does not provide survey. Buyer to take subject to municipal requirements, if any. * Property not for rent - beware of rentals scams. *
Key facts
- Sun porch
- Unfinished basement
- 3,484 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel number 32322060030000
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space, 1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story ranch; Fee simple ownership; Built over 100 years ago; Built before 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Ranch model
- Exterior features: Lot under 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 3100
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (11 x 11)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms; Master bedroom on main level (9 x 11); Second bedroom on main level (9 x 11)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished full basement; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $90 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (2.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#173 in IL, #3,304 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, employment D+.
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #591 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Steger Intermediate Center (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,741 of 2,056 statewide, top 93%, 446 students, 0% FRL); Columbia Central School (math 7% / reading 17%, grade F, #562 of 665 statewide, top 86%, 616 students, 0% FRL); Bloom Trail High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #511 of 693 statewide, top 75%, 1,227 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $160k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.41%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $141,414
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3019 Commercial Ave | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 844 (+9%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $118 | 80 |
| 3003 Commercial Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 800 (+3%) | 22mo | $140,000 | $175 | 72 |
| 3206 Miller Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 758 (-2%) | 14mo | $142,000 | $187 | 68 |
| 2728 Commercial Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 828 (+7%) | 11mo | $144,500 | $175 | 65 |
| 3020 Morgan St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 760 (-2%) | 10mo | $100,000 | $132 | 57 |
| 96 Interocean Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 736 (-5%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $211 | 56 |
| 3108 Sangamon St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 771 (-1%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $182 | 56 |
| 3214 Miller Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (+9%) | 18mo | $185,000 | $218 | 52 |
| 14 W 31st St | 0.62mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 700 (-10%) | 1mo | $57,000 | $81 | 49 |
| 3320 Fairview Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+11%) | 22mo | $180,000 | $208 | 36 |
| 50 W 23rd St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 704 (-9%) | 10mo | $67,500 | $96 | 32 |
| 3125 Sangamon St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 890 (+14%) | 24mo | $188,000 | $211 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-14,487
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $19,873
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60411
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,561 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$238 /mo · $2,857/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $90
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $180 | -5% $135 | +0% $90 | +5% $45 | +10% $-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-33 | -5% $28 | +0% $90 | +5% $151 | +10% $213 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $170 | -0.5pp $130 | base $90 | +0.5pp $48 | +1.0pp $6 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236 Chestnut Ave Unit S South Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $2,000 | $1.94 | 26d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 41 E Main St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 9d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 63 Hickory St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 26d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 22 E 35th St Steger, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,250 | $1.69 | 26d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 316 W 34th St Steger, IL | 3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 720 | $1,493 | $2.07 | 0d | 5 | 1.23mi |
| 53 W 15th St Apt 2 Chicago Heights, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 26d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 83 W 15th St #1 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 5d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $159,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$159,900 Active
-
2025-06-30historical
-
2025-06-26status Active
-
2025-02-27historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2025-02-01Active
-
2005-09-08soldstatus $82,500
-
1986-03-01soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,857 · $238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,243 · $270/mo
- Expected delta
- +$387/yr (+$32/mo · 13.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,729
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,857
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,498
- − Management
- −$1,498
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$1,532
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$368
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,445/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206
- NCES district ID
- 1706420
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,795
- Composite
- 7.4/100
- National rank
- #9952
- State rank
- #591 of 620 in IL
Livability — South Chicago Heights
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #173
- US rank
- #3304
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Chicago Heights, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,175
- Household income
- $62,073
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1714.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.75%
- Current HPI
- 212.4058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.48%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+539.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $159,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-26 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-27 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-01 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
- 1986-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2023): $2,857 · +18.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…