11720 Chanteloup Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * * Investor/Handyman Special!! Great location!! Easy Access to Medical Center, Downtown Houston, Galleria And Freeport! House is "selling as is" and owner will do no repairs. Tennant occupied but will be moving out end of July early Aug. , serious buyers only. Pictures were taken prior to tenant move in.
Key facts
- Private bath
- New a/c
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot in subdivision; Asphalt road
- HOA & community: City Park HOA/Spectrum HOA; Annual association fee; Association provides grounds maintenance, playground, park, security, trails, and trash service
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Driveway; Additional parking; Alley access; Garage door opener
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Faces south; Built in 2004; Full ownership; Slab foundation
- Construction: Cement siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Private yard; Fenced backyard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Gas oven; Gas cooktop; Free-standing range; Microwave; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Second level); Bedroom (Second level); Bedroom (Second level); Office (First level); Living room (First level); Family room (First level); Dining room (First level); Breakfast room/nook (First level); Utility room (First level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Granite counters; Kitchen/Family room combo; Kitchen/Dining combo; Bath in primary bedroom; Soaking tub; Separate shower; Tub/shower; Ceiling fan(s); Programmable thermostat; Pantry; Gas fireplace with gas log
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($364/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Almeda El (math 20% / reading 26%, grade F, #3,277 of 4,322 statewide, top 77%, 800 students, 94% FRL); Lawson Middle (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,301 of 1,662 statewide, top 79%, 1,274 students, 96% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 71% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 284 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.53%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $247,557
- List price
- $245,000
- Delta
- 0.95%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11914 Longwood Garden Way | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 2,124 (0%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $127 | 89 |
| 1708 Claremont Garden Cir | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 2,132 (+0%) | 0mo | $269,900 | $127 | 81 |
| 11930 Prior Park Dr | 0.34mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,933 (-9%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $132 | 63 |
| 1618 City Nights Way | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,249 (+6%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $140 | 58 |
| 11929 Sanspereil Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,820 (-14%) | 1mo | $244,900 | $135 | 58 |
| 12209 City Skyline Ct | 0.48mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,259 (+6%) | 3mo | $340,000 | $151 | 58 |
| 1926 Lingard Park Ct | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,926 (-9%) | 2mo | $283,797 | $147 | 56 |
| 1406 Lake City Ln | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,292 (+8%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $148 | 55 |
| 11726 Dandy Park Ct | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,860 (-12%) | 1mo | $289,000 | $155 | 55 |
| 2631 Skyview Downs Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,965 (-8%) | 2mo | $299,000 | $152 | 54 |
| 2122 Mateo Park Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,284 (+8%) | 2mo | $302,000 | $132 | 46 |
| 2666 Skyview Knoll Ct | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,810 (-15%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $130 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-45,089
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- -22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-65,018
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77047
- Home prices YoY
- -10.1%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 284
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,576 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$537 /mo · $6,445/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$81
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$541
- Net cashflow
- $30
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $169 | -5% $100 | +0% $30 | +5% $-39 | +10% $-108 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-173 | -5% $-71 | +0% $30 | +5% $132 | +10% $234 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $154 | -0.5pp $93 | base $30 | +0.5pp $-33 | +1.0pp $-98 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11826 Fortune Park Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1913 | $2,100 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1409 Woods Lake Ct Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1719 | $2,191 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2706 Skyview Downs Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2464 | $2,200 | $0.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3002 Crown Gate Dr Unit 1568481P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2195 | $3,345 | $1.52 | 1d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3013 Maughan Heights Trl Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2386 | $5,000 | $2.10 | 0d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 12320 Chesney Downs Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $3,500 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2920 Stamford Hill Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1690 | $2,200 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3020 Gunnersbury Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $1,499 | $0.90 | 16d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 13426 Sombrero Cay Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2108 | $2,300 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 10415 Lancaster Ln Houston, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 1937 | $2,525 | $1.30 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 13802 Greyfield Ln Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2350 | $2,400 | $1.02 | 1d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2937 Amherst Meadow Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $2,450 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2937 Amherst Meadow Ln Unit NA Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $2,400 | $1.32 | 6d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 10514 Wellesley Terrace Trl Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1843 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 19d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $81 · $972/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-13days on market $245,000 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10status $245,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $245,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 690-char remark
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $245,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $249,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $249,900 692-char remark
-
2026-03-26$255,000 Active 692-char remark
-
2018-09-05soldstatus
-
2018-08-31soldstatus Sold 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
* * * Investor/Handyman Special!! Great location!! Easy Access to Medical Center, Downtown Houston, Galleria And Freeport! House is "selling as is" and owner will do no repairs. Tennant occupied but will be moving out end of July early Aug. , serious buyers only. Pictures were taken prior to tenant move in.
-
2018-08-11status Pending 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
* * * Investor/Handyman Special!! Great location!! Easy Access to Medical Center, Downtown Houston, Galleria And Freeport! House is "selling as is" and owner will do no repairs. Tennant occupied but will be moving out end of July early Aug. , serious buyers only. Pictures were taken prior to tenant move in.
-
2018-07-21$165,000 Active 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
* * * Investor/Handyman Special!! Great location!! Easy Access to Medical Center, Downtown Houston, Galleria And Freeport! House is "selling as is" and owner will do no repairs. Tennant occupied but will be moving out end of July early Aug. , serious buyers only. Pictures were taken prior to tenant move in.
-
2015-03-18soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,445 · $537/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,445 · $537/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,916
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$6,445
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,473
- − Management
- −$2,473
- − HOA
- −$972
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$3,524
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$846
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,210/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,987
- Household income
- $78,538
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1109.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 15% White 6% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 23% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.76%
- Current HPI
- 239.2287
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.21%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+48.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-06-09 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-06-04 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-06-04 Listed $245,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $249,900 HARMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $255,000 HARMLS
- 2018-09-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-08-31 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2018-08-11 Pending — HARMLS
- 2018-07-21 Listed $165,000 HARMLS
- 2015-03-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $6,445 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…