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9015 Spring Acres Rd
B- Composite 65.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$359,950

9015 Spring Acres Rd · Clinton, MD 20735
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,075 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1959 0.47 ac lot $335/sqft · 14% below area Est $416k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity ! -This 4 bedroom - 2 bath all brick rambler has hardwood floors on main level -Basement has 4th bedroom and 2nd full bathroom - 7 yr old roof with 50 year transferable warranty - recently replaced oil furnace - 2 car carport - fully fenced front and back yards back yard is huge with plenty of room for a garden and large family gatherings - large storage shed with electric - property is sold "AS IS"

Key facts

  • 2 car carport
  • Fully fenced yards
  • Oil furnace

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORS7 YR OLD ROOFOIL FURNACE2 CAR CARPORTFULLY FENCED YARDSHUGE BACK YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Detached carport with 2 spaces; Two total garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Detached property; Above-grade and below-grade living areas
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab and block foundation
  • Exterior features: Backs to trees; Cleared yard; Front yard; Level lot; Rear yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in range; Wall oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the lower level
  • Flooring: Wood floors
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on lower level)
  • Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Oil-fired heating; Electric hot water; Electric cooling (other type)
  • Interior features: Breakfast area; Wood stove; Wood floors; Entry-level bedroom; Walkout basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $360k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $928 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $360k).
  • Recommended offer: $355k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.3% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#304 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Francis T. Evans Elementary (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #463 of 860 statewide, top 55%, 350 students, 65% FRL); Stephen Decatur Middle (math 3% / reading 24%, grade F, #198 of 225 statewide, top 88%, 781 students, 70% FRL); Dr. Henry A. Wise Jr. High (math 17% / reading 38%, grade F, #158 of 222 statewide, top 71%, 2,257 students, 59% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($126k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($355k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $360k implies a 1574% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $354,550 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.39%
Cash-on-cash
11.05%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$416,182
List price
$359,950
Delta
-13.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9011 Spring Acres Rd 0.03mi 4/2.0 1,075 (0%) 10mo $404,000 $376 86
9202 Surratts Manor Dr 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,100 (+2%) 5mo $352,000 $320 73
9200 Stuart Ln 0.41mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,026 (-5%) 10mo $360,000 $351 60
7504 Clinton Vista Ln 0.13mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,156 (+8%) 13mo $395,000 $342 58
9110 Stuart Ln 0.43mi 5/2.5 (+1) 1,144 (+6%) 8mo $445,000 $389 51
9607 Wagner Trl 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,066 (-1%) 24mo $250,000 $235 43
8702 Craley Ct 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,026 (-5%) 16mo $375,000 $365 42
8718 Deborah St 0.74mi 4/2.0 1,026 (-5%) 22mo $430,777 $420 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$772
Equity at exit
$53,670
10-year hold
IRR
9.8%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$76,695
Equity at exit
$31,122

Cash invested: $100,786 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20735

Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,138 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,888
Tax from tax record
$303 /mo · $3,638/yr
Insurance
$150
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$869
Net cashflow
$928

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,963
Max offer price $359,950
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$89,988
Closing costs
$10,798
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8514 Dangerfield Rd Clinton, MD 5.0 4.0 1220 $4,500 $3.69 43d 1 0.65mi
6007 Bradley Ln Clinton, MD 5.0 2.0 1248 $2,950 $2.36 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $359,950 Pending 15 DOM
  2. 2026-05-15
    listed $379,950 Active 441-char remark
  3. 1960-08-22
    soldstatus $21,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,638 · $303/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,781 · $315/mo
Expected delta
+$143/yr (+$12/mo · 3.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$49,657
− Mortgage interest
−$20,163
− Property taxes
−$3,638
− Insurance
−$1,800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,973
− Management
−$3,973
− Depreciation
−$10,471
Taxable income
$5,640
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,354
After-tax cash flow
$9,787/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Prince George'S County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400510
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$73,967
Composite
16.82/100
National rank
#9151
State rank
#21 of 24 in MD

Livability — Clinton

Score
63/100
State rank
#304
US rank
#15951

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clinton, MD
County
Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
City population
37,464
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
37,464
Household income
$126,196
Rent vs Own
9.3% rent · 90.7% own
Severe rent burden
334.0

Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,005,426 people
By 2030
1,048,416 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,123,425 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,183,220 · +17.7%
By 2075
1,306,202 · +29.9%
By 2100
1,408,179 · +40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% Hispanic / Latino 10% White 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's

2024 margin
Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -299.23%
Current HPI
251.6263
Rent YoY
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1574.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $359,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-23 Price Changed $369,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $379,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1960-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,638 · +110.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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