9015 Spring Acres Rd · Clinton, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$359,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment opportunity ! -This 4 bedroom - 2 bath all brick rambler has hardwood floors on main level -Basement has 4th bedroom and 2nd full bathroom - 7 yr old roof with 50 year transferable warranty - recently replaced oil furnace - 2 car carport - fully fenced front and back yards back yard is huge with plenty of room for a garden and large family gatherings - large storage shed with electric - property is sold "AS IS"
Key facts
- 2 car carport
- Fully fenced yards
- Oil furnace
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Detached carport with 2 spaces; Two total garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Detached property; Above-grade and below-grade living areas
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab and block foundation
- Exterior features: Backs to trees; Cleared yard; Front yard; Level lot; Rear yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in range; Wall oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the lower level
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on lower level)
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Oil-fired heating; Electric hot water; Electric cooling (other type)
- Interior features: Breakfast area; Wood stove; Wood floors; Entry-level bedroom; Walkout basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $360k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $928 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $360k).
- Recommended offer: $355k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.3% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#304 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Francis T. Evans Elementary (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #463 of 860 statewide, top 55%, 350 students, 65% FRL); Stephen Decatur Middle (math 3% / reading 24%, grade F, #198 of 225 statewide, top 88%, 781 students, 70% FRL); Dr. Henry A. Wise Jr. High (math 17% / reading 38%, grade F, #158 of 222 statewide, top 71%, 2,257 students, 59% FRL).
- Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($126k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($355k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $360k implies a 1574% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.05%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $416,182
- List price
- $359,950
- Delta
- -13.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9011 Spring Acres Rd | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 | 1,075 (0%) | 10mo | $404,000 | $376 | 86 |
| 9202 Surratts Manor Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (+2%) | 5mo | $352,000 | $320 | 73 |
| 9200 Stuart Ln | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,026 (-5%) | 10mo | $360,000 | $351 | 60 |
| 7504 Clinton Vista Ln | 0.13mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,156 (+8%) | 13mo | $395,000 | $342 | 58 |
| 9110 Stuart Ln | 0.43mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,144 (+6%) | 8mo | $445,000 | $389 | 51 |
| 9607 Wagner Trl | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,066 (-1%) | 24mo | $250,000 | $235 | 43 |
| 8702 Craley Ct | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,026 (-5%) | 16mo | $375,000 | $365 | 42 |
| 8718 Deborah St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,026 (-5%) | 22mo | $430,777 | $420 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $772
- Equity at exit
- $53,670
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $76,695
- Equity at exit
- $31,122
Cash invested: $100,786 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20735
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,138 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,888
- Tax from tax record
- −$303 /mo · $3,638/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$869
- Net cashflow
- $928
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,988
- Closing costs
- $10,798
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8514 Dangerfield Rd Clinton, MD | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1220 | $4,500 | $3.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 6007 Bradley Ln Clinton, MD | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,950 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-31status $359,950 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$379,950 Active 441-char remark
-
1960-08-22soldstatus $21,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,638 · $303/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,781 · $315/mo
- Expected delta
- +$143/yr (+$12/mo · 3.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,657
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,163
- − Property taxes
- −$3,638
- − Insurance
- −$1,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,973
- − Management
- −$3,973
- − Depreciation
- −$10,471
- Taxable income
- $5,640
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,354
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,787/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prince George'S County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400510
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,967
- Composite
- 16.82/100
- National rank
- #9151
- State rank
- #21 of 24 in MD
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #304
- US rank
- #15951
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clinton, MD
- County
- Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
- City population
- 37,464
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,464
- Household income
- $126,196
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 334.0
Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,005,426 people
- By 2030
- 1,048,416 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,123,425 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,183,220 · +17.7%
- By 2075
- 1,306,202 · +29.9%
- By 2100
- 1,408,179 · +40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% Hispanic / Latino 10% White 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -299.23%
- Current HPI
- 251.6263
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+1574.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $359,950 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $369,950 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $379,950 BRIGHT MLS
- 1960-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2024): $3,638 · +110.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…