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2208 Cedar St
C+ Composite 61.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$82,000

2208 Cedar St · Ashland, KY 41101
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market
7,200 sqft lot $105/sqft · 29% above area Est $64k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a practical layout with a comfortable living room and an eat in kitchen. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered front and back porches, along with a storage shed and a level yard for easy maintenance. Located in a convenient area close to local amenities, this property provides everyday comfort with quick access to shopping, dining, and community services.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Level yard
  • Storage shed

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHCOVERED BACK PORCHSTORAGE SHEDLEVEL YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 5.4% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#304 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ashland Independent (urban): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #49 of 165 in KY (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2 units permitted in Boyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Boyd County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $69k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $77,080 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
12.89%
Cash-on-cash
23.55%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$63,556
List price
$82,000
Delta
29.02%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2314 Margarette St 0.44mi 2/1.0 858 (+9%) 4mo $74,500 $87 61
2410 Boone Street St 0.54mi 1/1.0 (-1) 756 (-4%) 6mo $32,000 $42 58
1336 High St 0.69mi 2/1.0 850 (+8%) 1mo $69,900 $82 53
2416 Boone St 0.54mi 2/1.0 700 (-11%) 10mo $68,000 $97 48
617 Long Street St 0.43mi 2/1.0 888 (+13%) 12mo $18,000 $20 48
2715 County Rd. Rd 0.57mi 2/1.0 840 (+7%) 16mo $82,500 $98 48
1336 High St St W 0.69mi 2/1.0 850 (+8%) 24mo $38,600 $45 34
505 Ellington Ct 0.66mi 2/1.0 672 (-14%) 18mo $90,000 $134 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$15,390
Equity at exit
$12,226
10-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$50,266
Equity at exit
$7,090

Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41101

Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,205 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$430
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $446/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$451

Break-even live

Break-even rent $635
Max offer price $82,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,500
Closing costs
$2,460
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
200 Providence Hill Dr Ashland, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1100 $1,205 $1.10 2d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $82,000 Active 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $82,000 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $82,000 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $82,000 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $82,000 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $82,000 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $82,000 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $82,000 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $82,000 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $82,000 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $82,000 Active 52 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $82,000 Active 51 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $82,000 Active 50 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,000 Active 49 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,000 Active 48 DOM
  16. 2026-04-12
    listed $84,000 Active 390-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a practical layout with a comfortable living room and an eat in kitchen. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered front and back porches, along with a storage shed and a level yard for easy maintenance. Located in a convenient area close to local amenities, this property provides everyday comfort with quick access to shopping, dining, and community services.

  17. 2026-04-12
    listed $84,000 Active 390-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a practical layout with a comfortable living room and an eat in kitchen. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered front and back porches, along with a storage shed and a level yard for easy maintenance. Located in a convenient area close to local amenities, this property provides everyday comfort with quick access to shopping, dining, and community services.

  18. 2024-04-18
    soldstatus $69,000
  19. 2024-04-15
    soldstatus $69,000
  20. 2024-02-17
    listed $69,000
  21. 2001-10-31
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$446 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$705 · $59/mo
Expected delta
+$259/yr (+$22/mo · 58.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,460
− Mortgage interest
−$4,593
− Property taxes
−$446
− Insurance
−$410
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,157
− Management
−$1,157
− Depreciation
−$2,385
Taxable income
$4,312
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,035
After-tax cash flow
$4,372/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ashland Independent
NCES district ID
2100150
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$36,579
Composite
31.51/100
National rank
#5971
State rank
#49 of 165 in KY

Livability — Ashland

Score
64/100
State rank
#304
US rank
#14462

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ashland, KY
City population
19,331
Population (ZIP)
19,331

Population outlook (Boyd County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,137 people
By 2030
44,585 · -3.4%
By 2040
41,442 · -10.2%
By 2050
38,313 · -17.0%
By 2075
31,077 · -32.6%
By 2100
23,432 · -49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Boyd

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.5) · D 30.0% · R 68.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -38.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.5 2020: R+33.2 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.83%
Current HPI
148.0076
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+320.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $84,000 AABOR
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $84,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2024-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
  • 2024-04-15 Sold (MLS) $69,000 AABOR
  • 2024-02-17 Listed $69,000 AABOR
  • 2001-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $446 · +135.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…