4727 Little Neck Pkwy Unit 4G · New York, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Cash flow +2.7/30.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A Lovely , sunny. well maintained 1 bedroom , 1 bathroom , galley kitchen, co-op in a charming boutique style building with only 37 apartments. * * * * * AMENITIES ARE. Super in the building, * Laundry facilities on the lobby floor. * in-ground pool and beautiful park -like grounds * * Heat. * * Parking $65 a month. * *
Key facts
- Laundry facilities
- In-ground pool
- Galley kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No carport; Other parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Natural gas available and connected; Sewer available and connected; Water available and connected
- Home design: Stock cooperative
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 rooms total (one or more rooms on entry level 4)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall/window air conditioning units; Other heating
- Interior features: Elevator; Galley-style kitchen; Common basement
- Laundry & utility: No pets allowed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $249k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-845 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (0.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -14.54%
- DSCR
- 0.35
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -43.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.34×
- Total profit
- $-93,438
- Equity at exit
- $37,127
- IRR
- -72.1%
- Equity multiple
- -1.12×
- Total profit
- $-147,782
- Equity at exit
- $21,529
Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11362
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,475 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$311 /mo · $3,735/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$1,079
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$520
- Net cashflow
- $-845
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,250
- Closing costs
- $7,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4212 Marathon Pkwy Little Neck, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,375 | $4.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 24120 Northern Blvd Unit 3K Little Neck, NY | — | 1.0 | 500 | $2,800 | $5.60 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4230 Douglaston Pkwy Little Neck, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,800 | $2.57 | 18d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 11 Schenck Ave Unit 2D Great Neck Plaza, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,200 | $2.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 17 Schenck Ave Unit 3B Great Neck Plaza, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,295 | $3.28 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7 Bond St Unit 3J Great Neck, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,800 | $4.31 | 19d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 30 Barstow Rd Unit LL4 Great Neck, NY | — | 1.0 | 415 | $1,825 | $4.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 16 Stoner Ave Unit 2G Great Neck, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,800 | $4.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $249,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $249,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30$249,000 Active
-
2026-02-06historical
-
2025-10-05price $275,000
-
2025-08-09$288,000 Active
-
2025-08-08historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,948
- − Property taxes
- −$3,735
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,376
- − Management
- −$2,376
- − HOA
- −$12,948
- − Depreciation
- −$7,244
- Taxable loss
- −$14,172
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,401
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,733/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,492
- Household income
- $122,090
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 250.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 48% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Hispanic 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 47% English-only · Chinese 21% Korean 12% Other Indo-European 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -117.12%
- Current HPI
- 259.773
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-13.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed $249,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-05 Price Changed $275,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-09 Listed $288,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-08 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…