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14200 Whitcomb St
B Composite 70.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

14200 Whitcomb St · Detroit, MI 48227
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1925 4,792 sqft lot $48/sqft · 19% below area Est $71k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick colonial with hardwood floors throughout. Spacious living room with fireplace and a dining room. Kitchen needs some updating - great opportunity for customization. Home features an unfinished basement ready for your finishing touches. Located in a quiet neighborhood near shopping, dining, and major conveniences. Schedule your showing today. Purchaser to pay $495 processing fee to the listing broker at closing.

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • Quiet neighborhood
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSFIREPLACEUNFINISHED BASEMENTQUIET NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $586 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $60k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $66,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93%
Cap rate
16.48%
Cash-on-cash
36.37%
DSCR
2.62
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$70,927
List price
$69,000
Delta
-2.72%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14100 Winthrop St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,411 (-2%) 4mo $90,000 $64 84
13995 Montrose St 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,468 (+2%) 4mo $116,600 $79 78
14124 Sussex St 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,646 (+14%) 3mo $70,000 $43 69
14400 Hubbell St 0.44mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,444 (+0%) 4mo $108,000 $75 68
14018 Prevost St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,532 (+6%) 5mo $75,000 $49 65
14232 Lauder St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,272 (-12%) 2mo $60,000 $47 64
14736 Mansfield St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,318 (-8%) 0mo $62,000 $47 56
14572 Terry St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-13%) 4mo $103,000 $83 55
14689 Forrer St 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,627 (+13%) 3mo $65,000 $40 52
14644 Hubbell St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-13%) 2mo $45,000 $36 50
14500 Ardmore St 0.68mi 3/2.5 1,596 (+11%) 5mo $120,000 $75 40
14574 Mark Twain St 0.61mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,650 (+15%) 2mo $50,000 $30 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.0%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$29,694
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
43.2%
Equity multiple
5.63×
Total profit
$89,359
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48227

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
385
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,333 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $920/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$586

Break-even live

Break-even rent $591
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1327 $1,350 $1.02 5d 1 0.15mi
14264 Coyle St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 0.16mi
14375 Terry St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,425 $1.10 44d 1 0.27mi
14615 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1217 $1,300 $1.07 17d 1 0.35mi
14580 Forrer St Unit Unit Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1300 $900 $0.69 20d 1 0.38mi
13279 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,373 $0.95 44d 1 0.42mi
14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 44d 1 0.43mi
14893 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 15d 1 0.50mi
14559 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1033 $1,150 $1.11 20d 1 0.53mi
14504 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1362 $1,473 $1.08 44d 1 0.55mi
13331 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,100 $1.01 17d 1 0.55mi
14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 44d 1 0.57mi
14836 Rutherford St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1104 $950 $0.86 44d 1 0.58mi
14535 Mettetal St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 965 $1,000 $1.04 44d 1 0.64mi
14510 Asbury Park Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1771 $1,250 $0.71 44d 1 0.65mi
16014 Hackett St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1142 $1,500 $1.31 44d 1 0.67mi
14753 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 13d 1 0.68mi
14753 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 5d 1 0.68mi
14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1121 $1,150 $1.03 17d 1 0.69mi
12754 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,400 $1.39 17d 1 0.70mi
14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 3d 1 0.70mi
12778 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1597 $1,150 $0.72 5d 1 0.74mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,425 $1.43 13d 1 0.79mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,375 $1.38 24d 1 0.79mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 24d 1 0.79mi
15328 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 18d 1 0.79mi
15341 Lauder St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1080 $1,475 $1.37 17d 1 0.83mi
14800 Woodmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1612 $1,525 $0.95 15d 1 0.83mi
12840 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 44d 1 0.90mi
15375 Prevost St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 907 $1,300 $1.43 17d 1 0.91mi
15332 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 17d 1 0.92mi
15468 Sussex St #2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 44d 1 0.93mi
14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1004 $1,100 $1.10 17d 1 0.97mi
12711 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 18d 1 0.98mi
14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 1.05mi
15065 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 44d 1 1.06mi
12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 24d 1 1.11mi
15752 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1174 $1,386 $1.18 5d 1 1.11mi
12014 Terry St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1361 $1,200 $0.88 44d 1 1.12mi
14716 Archdale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 44d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $69,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,000 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-04-22
    listed $79,000 Active 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (450 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick colonial with hardwood floors throughout. Spacious living room with fireplace and a dining room. Kitchen needs some updating—great opportunity for customization. Home features an unfinished basement ready for your finishing touches. Located in a quiet neighborhood near shopping, dining, and major conveniences. Schedule your showing today. Purchaser to pay $495 processing fee to the listing broker at closing.

  15. 2026-04-22
    listed $79,000 Active 450-char remark
    Show marketing remark (450 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick colonial with hardwood floors throughout. Spacious living room with fireplace and a dining room. Kitchen needs some updating—great opportunity for customization. Home features an unfinished basement ready for your finishing touches. Located in a quiet neighborhood near shopping, dining, and major conveniences. Schedule your showing today. Purchaser to pay $495 processing fee to the listing broker at closing.

  16. 2026-04-22
    historical
    Show marketing remark (450 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick colonial with hardwood floors throughout. Spacious living room with fireplace and a dining room. Kitchen needs some updating—great opportunity for customization. Home features an unfinished basement ready for your finishing touches. Located in a quiet neighborhood near shopping, dining, and major conveniences. Schedule your showing today. Purchaser to pay $495 processing fee to the listing broker at closing.

  17. 2026-04-16
    status Active
  18. 2026-04-16
    status Active
  19. 2026-03-25
    status Pending
  20. 2026-03-25
    status Pending
  21. 2026-03-25
    historical
  22. 2026-02-10
    listed $79,000 Active
  23. 2026-02-10
    listed $79,000 Active
  24. 2026-02-07
    historical
  25. 2026-02-07
    historical
  26. 2025-08-29
    price $79,000
  27. 2025-08-28
    price $79,000
  28. 2025-08-19
    price $89,000
  29. 2025-08-19
    price $89,000
  30. 2025-06-25
    price $99,000
  31. 2025-06-25
    price $99,000
  32. 2025-06-16
    listed $89,000 Active
  33. 2025-06-16
    listed $89,000 Active
  34. 2021-04-08
    soldstatus $59,900
  35. 1998-01-05
    soldstatus $48,400
  36. 1997-10-29
    soldstatus $48,400
  37. 1997-07-18
    listed $46,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$920 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$991 · $83/mo
Expected delta
+$71/yr (+$6/mo · 7.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,993
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$920
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,279
− Management
−$1,279
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$6,297
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,511
After-tax cash flow
$5,516/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
40,302
Household income
$36,527
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.00%
Current HPI
186.4158
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+68.4% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $79,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-25 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $79,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Price Changed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Price Changed $79,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-19 Price Changed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-19 Price Changed $89,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-25 Price Changed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-25 Price Changed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $89,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
  • 1998-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $48,400 Public Records
  • 1997-10-29 Sold (MLS) $48,400 REALCOMP
  • 1997-07-18 Listed $46,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $920 · -53.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…