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46 Edstrom Rd Lot B
B Composite 70.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

46 Edstrom Rd Lot B · Marlborough, CT 06447
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 952 sqft · Manufactured public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1980 $750/mo HOA · 37% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tucked away in a peaceful setting in Marlborough, this spacious mobile home offers large, comfortable rooms and a warm, inviting layout. Enjoy cozy evenings by the pellet stove, along with the added convenience of a generator for peace of mind. The home is in move-in condition with newer windows and a brand-new water heater installed on 3/23/26, while still offering an opportunity to add your own updates and personal touches. Outside, you'll find three sheds-including one perfect for a charming she-shed/workshop/studio-and a unique bridge leading over a small stream to a private, wooded area behind the home, creating a truly special retreat-like setting.

Key facts

  • Water heater
  • Pellet stove
  • Newer windows

Tags

PELLET STOVEGENERATORNEWER WINDOWSWATER HEATERTHREE SHEDSPRIVATE WOODED AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Nearby amenities include a lake and medical facilities
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA fee $750 monthly; HOA covers trash pickup, snow removal, property management, and road maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Shared well water; Septic sewage system; Power: propane-fueled systems with above-ground fuel tank
  • Home design: Single-family home for sale; On leased land; Prefabricated construction; Mustard exterior color
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Aluminum siding; No foundation specified (None listed); Prefab construction
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Open porch; Covered deck; Yard shed; Open lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Microwave; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot air heat via propane; Window cooling unit(s); Propane hot water (domestic)
  • Interior features: Cable available; Total of 4 rooms; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located outside bedroom in hallway on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Regional School District 08 (rural): math 54% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #34 of 153 in CT (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $50k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 37% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.01%
Cap rate
17.85%
Cash-on-cash
41.29%
DSCR
2.84
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.9%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$18,879
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
39.2%
Equity multiple
4.76×
Total profit
$52,673
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06447

Home prices YoY
-24.0%
Active inventory
24
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,006 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $845/yr
Insurance
$21
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$750
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$421
Net cashflow
$415

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,481
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$750 · $9,000/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $50,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $50,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    status Active
  17. 2026-03-27
    historical
  18. 2026-03-21
    listed $50,000 Active
  19. 1988-04-28
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$845 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$958 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$112/yr (+$9/mo · 13.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,078
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$845
− Insurance
−$1,048
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,926
− Management
−$1,926
− HOA
−$9,000
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$5,077
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,219
After-tax cash flow
$3,764/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Regional School District 08
NCES district ID
0903750
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$106,389
Composite
56.01/100
National rank
#1190
State rank
#34 of 153 in CT

Livability — Marlborough

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,106

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 5% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.58%
Current HPI
230.0302
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+56.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-21 Listed $50,000 Smart MLS
  • 1988-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $845 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…