1900 University Blvd · Brownsville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +5.1/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity. Nice condo next to the University of Texas at Brownsville. Priced to sell !
Key facts
- Next to university
- Pool
- Built 1980
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $293 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 5.0% in Brownsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#62 in TX, #2,311 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime D-.
- Brownsville ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #710 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 365 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 87% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $626 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 656 days — a 12% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 656 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.89%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,987
- List price
- $90,500
- Delta
- 5.25%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $10,182
- Equity at exit
- $13,494
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.41×
- Total profit
- $60,969
- Equity at exit
- $7,825
Cash invested: $25,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78521
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 365
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,163 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$475
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$113 /mo · $1,358/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $293
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $356 | -5% $325 | +0% $293 | +5% $262 | +10% $231 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $201 | -5% $247 | +0% $293 | +5% $339 | +10% $385 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $339 | -0.5pp $316 | base $293 | +0.5pp $270 | +1.0pp $246 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,625
- Closing costs
- $2,715
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1900 W University Blvd Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1900 W University Blvd #3012 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,000 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 801 International Blvd Ste B Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $950 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1234 E Jackson St Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $800 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 913 E Jefferson St Unit D Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 634 E 6th St Apt 2 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $1,000 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 305 Calle Amistosa Unit L502 Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 753 | $1,300 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 424 E Levee St Unit 1 & 4 Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 424 E Levee St Unit 7 Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 351 E Saint Charles St Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $650 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 221 E 3rd St Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,325 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 219 E 3rd St Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 230 W Jefferson St Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $795 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1800 Palm Blvd Unit 101 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $1,050 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 508 Truman Dr Unit B Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $975 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,500 Active 656 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,500 Active 655 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,500 Active 654 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,500 Active 653 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,500 Active 651 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,500 Active 650 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,500 Active 648 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,500 Active 647 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,500 Active 646 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,500 Active 645 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $90,500 Active 642 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,500 Active 641 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,500 Active 640 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,500 Active 639 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,500 Active 638 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $90,500 Active 637 DOM
-
2024-08-31$90,500 Active 105-char remark
Show marketing remark (105 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Nice condo next to the University of Texas at Brownsville. Priced to sell !
-
1993-08-17soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,956
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,069
- − Property taxes
- −$1,358
- − Insurance
- −$452
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,116
- − Management
- −$1,116
- − Depreciation
- −$2,633
- Taxable income
- $2,211
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$531
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,990/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brownsville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811680
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,490
- Composite
- 21.8/100
- National rank
- #8249
- State rank
- #710 of 826 in TX
Livability — Brownsville
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #2311
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brownsville, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- City population
- 212,132
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 87,380
- Household income
- $44,509
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2682.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 97% Two or more races 45% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 91%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 12% English-only · Spanish 88%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.45%
- Current HPI
- 232.1072
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2024-08-31 Listed $90,500 RGVMLS
- 1993-08-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+26.2%/yrLatest (2025): $10,299 · -9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…