850 Creek Crossing Trl · Sedalia, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Immaculately maintained one-owner end-unit townhome in desirable St. Andrews at Stoney Creek! Rarely found setting gives this home a uniquely private “front yard” feel w expansive grassy area beside the home unlike any other townhome in the neighborhood. Open main living space features family room w eng HWs, vaulted ceiling, & gorgeous double-sided gas log FP shared w dining area. Tile kitchen offers cath ceiling, palladium window, ss appliances (dbl oven), & tile bs. Main-level primary suite includes cath ceiling, 12’ long WIC, double vanity, walk-in shower, & dual bath access. Upstairs offers 2 additional BRs w WICs, including one w cozy sitting area. Incredible oversized stone patio has been transformed into a beautifully landscaped private oasis rarely found in townhome living! SimpliSafe security system w interior/exterior cameras remains. Roof & HVAC only 5 yrs old; water heater 2 yrs old. Community pool in walking distance! Welcome home to low-maintenance living at its finest!
Key facts
- $199 HOA
- Garage
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (monthly fee); HOA covers grounds maintenance and road maintenance; Monthly association fee: $177.45 (plus an additional $21.67 monthly fee)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Townhouse; Two levels; Entry on main level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a townhouse
- Exterior features: Patio; Community in-ground outdoor pool
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total (1 on main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Simulated wood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric and natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Bathtub/shower combination; Cathedral and vaulted ceilings; Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Double vanity; Open floorplan; Primary bedroom on main level; Recessed lighting; Walk-in closets; Walk-in shower; Gas log fireplace (double-sided serving dining room and family room)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-236 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (15.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (24.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $207k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#453 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, schools F.
- Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.67%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $234,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6306 Double Eagle Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,628 (+4%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $160 | 83 |
| 820 Creek Crossing Trl | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,651 (+6%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $136 | 82 |
| 6215 Birdie Ct | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,548 (-1%) | 14mo | $254,900 | $165 | 80 |
| 803 Creek Crossing Trl | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 | 1,581 (+1%) | 10mo | $240,000 | $152 | 80 |
| 854 Creek Crossing Trl | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,664 (+6%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $144 | 80 |
| 866 Creek Crossing Trl | 0.06mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,678 (+7%) | 1mo | $237,500 | $142 | 77 |
| 829 Creek Crossing Trl | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,656 (+6%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $148 | 75 |
| 832 Creek Crossing Trl | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,651 (+6%) | 12mo | $248,000 | $150 | 75 |
| 6209 Birdie Ct | 0.04mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,429 (-9%) | 6mo | $199,000 | $139 | 72 |
| 6415 Bellcross Trl | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,547 (-1%) | 16mo | $245,000 | $158 | 70 |
| 6501 Bellcross Trl | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,596 (+2%) | 16mo | $220,000 | $138 | 70 |
| 802 Creek Crossing Trl | 0.16mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,549 (-1%) | 20mo | $240,500 | $155 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.02% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-7,547
- Equity at exit
- $94,107
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $34,844
- Equity at exit
- $125,235
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27377
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,067 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,360/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$199
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$434
- Net cashflow
- $-236
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 917 Creek Crossing Trl Whitsett, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1243 | $1,995 | $1.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 805 Creek Crossing Trl Whitsett, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1307 | $1,680 | $1.29 | 19d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1010 Fairway Village Way Whitsett, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1122 | $1,857 | $1.66 | 14d | 18 | 0.71mi |
| 6850 Keeneland Dr Whitsett, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2196 | $2,010 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1128 Brooksridge Way Unit 1128 Whitsett, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1582 | $1,795 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1130 Brooksridge Way Unit 1130 Whitsett, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1343 | $1,744 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 6700 Olivia Way Whitsett, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2231 | $1,949 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 676 Affirmed Dr Whitsett, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1951 | $1,955 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 7161 Royal Ascot Dr Whitsett, NC | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1658 | $2,209 | $1.33 | 14d | 80 | 1.34mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $199 · $2,388/yr
- Likely covers
- watergaspoolsecurity
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending Accepting Backup Offers 1032-char remark
Show marketing remark (1032 chars)
Immaculately maintained one-owner end-unit townhome in desirable St. Andrews at Stoney Creek! Rarely found setting gives this home a uniquely private “front yard” feel w expansive grassy area beside the home unlike any other townhome in the neighborhood. Open main living space features family room w eng HWs, vaulted ceiling, & gorgeous double-sided gas log FP shared w dining area. Tile kitchen offers cath ceiling, palladium window, ss appliances (dbl oven), & tile bs. Main-level primary suite includes cath ceiling, 12’ long WIC, double vanity, walk-in shower, & dual bath access. Upstairs offers 2 additional BRs w WICs, including one w cozy sitting area. Incredible oversized stone patio has been transformed into a beautifully landscaped private oasis rarely found in townhome living! SimpliSafe security system w interior/exterior cameras remains. Roof & HVAC only 5 yrs old; water heater 2 yrs old. Community pool in walking distance! Welcome home to low-maintenance living at its finest!
-
2026-05-14status Pending
Show marketing remark (1032 chars)
Immaculately maintained one-owner end-unit townhome in desirable St. Andrews at Stoney Creek! Rarely found setting gives this home a uniquely private “front yard” feel w expansive grassy area beside the home unlike any other townhome in the neighborhood. Open main living space features family room w eng HWs, vaulted ceiling, & gorgeous double-sided gas log FP shared w dining area. Tile kitchen offers cath ceiling, palladium window, ss appliances (dbl oven), & tile bs. Main-level primary suite includes cath ceiling, 12’ long WIC, double vanity, walk-in shower, & dual bath access. Upstairs offers 2 additional BRs w WICs, including one w cozy sitting area. Incredible oversized stone patio has been transformed into a beautifully landscaped private oasis rarely found in townhome living! SimpliSafe security system w interior/exterior cameras remains. Roof & HVAC only 5 yrs old; water heater 2 yrs old. Community pool in walking distance! Welcome home to low-maintenance living at its finest!
-
2026-05-12$275,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1032 chars)
Immaculately maintained one-owner end-unit townhome in desirable St. Andrews at Stoney Creek! Rarely found setting gives this home a uniquely private “front yard” feel w expansive grassy area beside the home unlike any other townhome in the neighborhood. Open main living space features family room w eng HWs, vaulted ceiling, & gorgeous double-sided gas log FP shared w dining area. Tile kitchen offers cath ceiling, palladium window, ss appliances (dbl oven), & tile bs. Main-level primary suite includes cath ceiling, 12’ long WIC, double vanity, walk-in shower, & dual bath access. Upstairs offers 2 additional BRs w WICs, including one w cozy sitting area. Incredible oversized stone patio has been transformed into a beautifully landscaped private oasis rarely found in townhome living! SimpliSafe security system w interior/exterior cameras remains. Roof & HVAC only 5 yrs old; water heater 2 yrs old. Community pool in walking distance! Welcome home to low-maintenance living at its finest!
-
2026-05-12$275,000 Active 1032-char remark
Show marketing remark (1032 chars)
Immaculately maintained one-owner end-unit townhome in desirable St. Andrews at Stoney Creek! Rarely found setting gives this home a uniquely private “front yard” feel w expansive grassy area beside the home unlike any other townhome in the neighborhood. Open main living space features family room w eng HWs, vaulted ceiling, & gorgeous double-sided gas log FP shared w dining area. Tile kitchen offers cath ceiling, palladium window, ss appliances (dbl oven), & tile bs. Main-level primary suite includes cath ceiling, 12’ long WIC, double vanity, walk-in shower, & dual bath access. Upstairs offers 2 additional BRs w WICs, including one w cozy sitting area. Incredible oversized stone patio has been transformed into a beautifully landscaped private oasis rarely found in townhome living! SimpliSafe security system w interior/exterior cameras remains. Roof & HVAC only 5 yrs old; water heater 2 yrs old. Community pool in walking distance! Welcome home to low-maintenance living at its finest!
-
2026-05-09historical $275,000 1032-char remark
Show marketing remark (1032 chars)
Immaculately maintained one-owner end-unit townhome in desirable St. Andrews at Stoney Creek! Rarely found setting gives this home a uniquely private “front yard” feel w expansive grassy area beside the home unlike any other townhome in the neighborhood. Open main living space features family room w eng HWs, vaulted ceiling, & gorgeous double-sided gas log FP shared w dining area. Tile kitchen offers cath ceiling, palladium window, ss appliances (dbl oven), & tile bs. Main-level primary suite includes cath ceiling, 12’ long WIC, double vanity, walk-in shower, & dual bath access. Upstairs offers 2 additional BRs w WICs, including one w cozy sitting area. Incredible oversized stone patio has been transformed into a beautifully landscaped private oasis rarely found in townhome living! SimpliSafe security system w interior/exterior cameras remains. Roof & HVAC only 5 yrs old; water heater 2 yrs old. Community pool in walking distance! Welcome home to low-maintenance living at its finest!
-
2026-05-09historical $275,000
Show marketing remark (1032 chars)
Immaculately maintained one-owner end-unit townhome in desirable St. Andrews at Stoney Creek! Rarely found setting gives this home a uniquely private “front yard” feel w expansive grassy area beside the home unlike any other townhome in the neighborhood. Open main living space features family room w eng HWs, vaulted ceiling, & gorgeous double-sided gas log FP shared w dining area. Tile kitchen offers cath ceiling, palladium window, ss appliances (dbl oven), & tile bs. Main-level primary suite includes cath ceiling, 12’ long WIC, double vanity, walk-in shower, & dual bath access. Upstairs offers 2 additional BRs w WICs, including one w cozy sitting area. Incredible oversized stone patio has been transformed into a beautifully landscaped private oasis rarely found in townhome living! SimpliSafe security system w interior/exterior cameras remains. Roof & HVAC only 5 yrs old; water heater 2 yrs old. Community pool in walking distance! Welcome home to low-maintenance living at its finest!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,360 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,255 · $188/mo
- Expected delta
- +$895/yr (+$75/mo · 65.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,810
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$1,360
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,985
- − Management
- −$1,985
- − HOA
- −$2,388
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$7,687
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,845
- After-tax cash flow
- $-984/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guilford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701920
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,315
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4842
- State rank
- #99 of 178 in NC
Livability — Sedalia
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #453
- US rank
- #16681
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Guilford County · 487,190 people
- City population
- 13,741
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,885
- Household income
- $90,181
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 356.0
Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 584,596 people
- By 2030
- 616,851 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 678,451 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 734,788 · +25.7%
- By 2075
- 862,985 · +47.6%
- By 2100
- 948,704 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 34% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 6% Italian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Guilford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.02%
- Current HPI
- 232.0638
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.00%
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2026-05-14 Pending — TMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $275,000 TMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $275,000 Triad MLS
- 2026-05-09 Coming Soon $275,000 Triad MLS
- 2026-05-09 Coming Soon $275,000 TMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,360 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…