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128 Williams St
C- Composite 50.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.8/10.0

$165,000

128 Williams St · Trenton, GA 30752
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,321 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1971 0.34 ac lot Est $254k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Opportunity in Trenton, GA! This 3 bedroom, 2 bath brick rancher offering 1,321 square feet presents a solid value-add opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to renovate and build equity. Located just minutes from downtown Trenton with convenient access to I-59, the property offers an ideal location for commuters traveling to Chattanooga or Northwest Georgia. The home features a fenced backyard, detached outbuilding for storage or workshop space, and a durable brick exterior. Key improvements include a roof and gutter guards installed in 2020 and septic system pumped and serviced in 2021. Property is being sold AS-IS with no repairs or concessions. Sale is subjec

Key facts

  • Brick exterior
  • Detached outbuilding
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

FENCED BACKYARDDETACHED OUTBUILDINGBRICK EXTERIORROOF AND GUTTER GUARDSSEPTIC SYSTEM SERVICED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($537/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (9.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.5% in Trenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#273 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Dade County (town): math 40% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #52 of 174 in GA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Dade Elementary School (math 49% / reading 39%, grade F, #356 of 1,228 statewide, top 30%, 771 students, 46% FRL); Dade Middle School (math 33% / reading 39%, grade F, #178 of 470 statewide, top 39%, 421 students, 45% FRL); Dade County High School (math 22% / reading 12%, grade F, #277 of 424 statewide, top 67%, 622 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9 units permitted in Dade County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dade County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $165k implies a 965% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000 (9.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.16%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$253,632
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
91 Blackstock Ln 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,409 (+7%) 4mo $247,800 $176 62
102 Sunset Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,250 (-5%) 4mo $245,000 $196 52
90 Sunset Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-2%) 14mo $255,000 $196 50
70 Sunset Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,250 (-5%) 14mo $239,900 $192 46
81 Glenwood Dr 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,420 (+8%) 19mo $230,000 $162 41
80 Sunset Dr 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,180 (-11%) 14mo $225,000 $191 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-23,866
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-17,022
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30752

Home prices YoY
-3.1%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax est. 1.5%
$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$45

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $159 -5% $102 +0% $45 +5% $-12 +10% $-69
Rent -10% $-74 -5% $-15 +0% $45 +5% $104 +10% $163
Rate -1.0pp $128 -0.5pp $87 base $45 +0.5pp $2 +1.0pp $-42

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
67 5th St Trenton, GA 2.0 2.0 950 $1,500 $1.58 45d 1 1.09mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-27
    price $165,000
  3. 2026-03-13
    listed $175,000 Active
  4. 1971-07-06
    soldstatus $15,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 8 d/yr ≥102°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,000
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,475
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$2,223
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$533
After-tax cash flow
$1,070/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dade County
NCES district ID
1301590
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$42,150
Composite
32.52/100
National rank
#5699
State rank
#52 of 174 in GA

Livability — Trenton

Score
64/100
State rank
#273
US rank
#14759

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,529

Population outlook (Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,415 people
By 2030
14,800 · -4.0%
By 2040
13,288 · -13.8%
By 2050
11,892 · -22.9%
By 2075
9,228 · -40.1%
By 2100
7,330 · -52.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dade

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.6) · D 16.4% · R 83.0%
2008→2024 swing
-18.4pp toward R · 2008: -48.2pp · 2024: -66.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.6 2020: R+64.6 2016: R+65.4 2012: R+50.9 2008: R+48.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -8.45%
Current HPI
262.1386
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+964.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Pending GCAR
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $165,000 GCAR
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $175,000 GCAR
  • 1971-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $15,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $37 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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