461 French St · Fort Oglethorpe, GA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
DOUBLEWIDE 24 x 60 WITH LAND, NO LOT FEES. HANDICAP RAMP, SMALL STORAGE BUILDING, NEW MAIN WATER LINE, 2 LARGE HOT WATER HEATER& apos; S, 2 FULL SIZE BATHROOM& apos; S, 2 LAUNDRY ROOM& apos; S, 2 WALK IN CLOSET& apos; S, 3 PORCHES, SEPTIC TANK AND FIELD LINES, FENCED IN ON 2 LONG SIDES, HUGE LOADED PECAN TREE, 3 CAROLINA PEAR TREE& apos; S, AND OTHER SHRUBS. EPB FIBER, AND XFINITY FIBER IN AREA, NORTH GA. ELECTRIC, TN. AMERICAN WATER, LOW CATOOSA COUNTY PRO[ERTY TAXES. 2 MIN. TO FORT OGLETHORPE, GA. ONLY 15 MIN. TO CHATTANOOGA, TN. , OR 2 INTERSTATE& apos; S.
Key facts
- New main water line
- Laundry rooms
- Full size bathrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $999 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 54.3% vs local median 3.4% in Fort Oglethorpe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#166 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Catoosa County (suburban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #49 of 174 in GA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 848 units permitted in Catoosa County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Catoosa County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 54.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 171.29%
- DSCR
- 8.62
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.48×
- Total profit
- $66,393
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 25.34×
- Total profit
- $170,361
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30741
- Home prices YoY
- -30.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 425
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,456 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$9 /mo · $114/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $999
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 Corey Cir Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 704 Corey Cir Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 14d | 2 | 0.30mi |
| 1945 Barrett Dr Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1847 | $2,025 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1945 Barrett Dr Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1847 | $2,025 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 15 Greenway Dr Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,149 | $1.00 | 43d | 2 | 0.56mi |
| 108 Biltford Ave Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 100 Biltford Ave Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1106 Carline Rd Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1012 | $1,095 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1106 Carline Rd Apt B Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 877 | $1,095 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 10 Mary Ln Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 203 Ga Ln Unit 203 , GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,445 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 403 Barnhardt Cir Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,225 | $1.23 | 14d | 2 | 0.98mi |
| 810 Schmitt Rd Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1147 | $850 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1830 Fant Dr Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,099 | $1.28 | 14d | 2 | 1.19mi |
| 1252 Cloud Springs Ln Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,357 | $1.11 | 43d | 6 | 1.25mi |
| 1252 Cloud Springs Ln Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,336 | $1.09 | 14d | 9 | 1.25mi |
| 10 Morgan Cir Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,800 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 819 Asterwood Dr Unit B Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,445 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 361 Hogan Rd Unit C Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $1,295 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 80 Savannah Way Unit 38 Amelia Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1302 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 76 S Cedar Ln Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 134 S Cedar Ln Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 946 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 132 S Cedar Ln Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 946 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 813 Chickamauga Ave Unit A Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,099 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1591 Park City Rd Apt E15 Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,145 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $25,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $25,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $25,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $25,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$25,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $114 · $9/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $230 · $19/mo
- Expected delta
- +$116/yr (+$10/mo · 101.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,472
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$114
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,398
- − Management
- −$1,398
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $12,310
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,954
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,036/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Catoosa County
- NCES district ID
- 1300930
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,913
- Composite
- 33.13/100
- National rank
- #5558
- State rank
- #49 of 174 in GA
Livability — Fort Oglethorpe
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #10498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Walker County · 48,831 people
- City population
- 7,745
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,041
- Household income
- $58,834
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 834.0
Population outlook (Catoosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 70,112 people
- By 2030
- 71,621 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 73,595 · +5.0%
- By 2050
- 73,921 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 72,135 · +2.9%
- By 2100
- 65,979 · -5.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Catoosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.5) · D 22.0% · R 77.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: -49.8pp · 2024: -55.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.5 2020: R+56.0 2016: R+60.7 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+49.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.05%
- Current HPI
- 267.0047
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.44%
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $25,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $114 · -4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…