1124 Dogwood Ln · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Buyers are responsible for rekey of property after closing.
Key facts
- Classic elements
- Carport
- Rear deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 6.1% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Huffman High Schoolmagnet (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 1,147 students, 72% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 423 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 53d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.50%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,411
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -33.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508 Camellia Rd | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,048 (+4%) | 8mo | $20,000 | $19 | 74 |
| 913 Meadowbrook Dr | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 992 (-2%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $81 | 66 |
| 936 Parkway Dr | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,062 (+5%) | 4mo | $104,500 | $98 | 60 |
| 421 Wedgeworth Rd | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (+8%) | 4mo | $116,400 | $107 | 59 |
| 1209 Rose Lynn Ln | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+7%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $139 | 56 |
| 516 Lilac Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+11%) | 5mo | $113,900 | $102 | 55 |
| 1317 5th Pl NW | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,086 (+8%) | 3mo | $92,500 | $85 | 53 |
| 808 Meadowbrook Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,112 (+10%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $135 | 49 |
| 424 13th Ct NW | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,118 (+11%) | 3mo | $92,500 | $83 | 46 |
| 940 Meadowbrook Dr | 0.43mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,149 (+14%) | 8mo | $108,000 | $94 | 46 |
| 308 13th Ave NW | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+13%) | 8mo | $87,500 | $76 | 40 |
| 409 13th Ct NW | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,118 (+11%) | 8mo | $98,672 | $88 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $10,232
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $41,060
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 30 active · 10 under contract
- Months of supply
- 12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $118,500 ($102/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 56 d
- This list price
- 10% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +31.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 35215
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 423
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,290 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,463/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $388
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $439 | -5% $414 | +0% $388 | +5% $363 | +10% $337 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $286 | -5% $337 | +0% $388 | +5% $439 | +10% $490 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $433 | -0.5pp $411 | base $388 | +0.5pp $365 | +1.0pp $341 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1112 Violet Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 61d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 433 Orchid Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,255 | $1.08 | 65d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 445 Orchid Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1103 | $1,211 | $1.10 | 26d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 520 Camellia Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 52d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 940 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1149 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 93d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 945 Elizabeth Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1227 | $1,075 | $0.88 | 19d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 932 Five Mile Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,175 | $0.98 | 68d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1141 Linwood St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,000 | $0.82 | 19d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1128 Cardwell Ln Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,425 | $1.16 | 41d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 217 Killough Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,100 | $0.91 | 41d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 120 Shawnee Ln NW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,075 | $0.96 | 93d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 912 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $1,100 | $0.93 | 93d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1153 Linwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,295 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 920 Parkway Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1286 | $1,150 | $0.89 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 208 Sam Pate Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,325 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 337 Mignon Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $1,171 | $0.86 | 35d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1232 Oakwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1301 | $1,123 | $0.86 | 17d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 241 Mamie Ln Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,495 | $1.20 | 52d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1225 Birchwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 19d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 405 13th Ave NW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,175 | $0.94 | 26d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 832 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,225 | $1.00 | 72d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 901 Elizabeth Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1295 | $1,291 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1301 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 52d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 400 13th Ave NW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $890 | $0.81 | 93d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1305 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,200 | $1.10 | 93d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 818 Sunset Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $875 | $0.88 | 46d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1237 Linwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1066 | $995 | $0.93 | 93d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 601 Carson Crest Cir Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,381 | $1.02 | 39d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1320 Glenwood St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,080 | $1.04 | 19d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1328 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,050 | $0.84 | 65d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 405 13th Ct NW Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $1,415 | $1.13 | 70d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 957 Hickory Cir Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,195 | $0.88 | 52d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 833 Old Trail Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 930 | $950 | $1.02 | 19d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1333 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 93d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 848 Old Trail Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 930 | $925 | $0.99 | 72d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1345 Glenwood St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,125 | $0.97 | 41d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 108 13th Ave NW Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,265 | $0.88 | 72d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 324 13th Ter NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $1,290 | $0.91 | 39d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1356 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,105 | $1.04 | 93d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 700 Robison Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,155 | $0.99 | 17d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Lot size approximately 0.27 acres
- Financial info
- Property qualifies for down payment assistance
- HOA & community
- No association fee
Exterior
- Parking
- Driveway parkingOne carport space
- Utilities
- Public waterConnected sewerElectric water heaterInternet availability unknown
- Home design
- Single-story existing home
- Construction
- Wood siding constructionWood exteriorCrawl space foundation
- Exterior features
- Fenced yardOpen deck
Interior
- Kitchen
- Laminate countertopsBuilt-in microwaveBuilt-in dishwasherGas stove
- Bedrooms
- Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Flooring
- Tile flooringVinyl flooring
- Bathrooms
- One full bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral coolingCeiling fans
- Interior features
- Ceilings: Other (see remarks)No additional interior built-ins or special features listed
- Laundry & utility
- No specific laundry appliances listed
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $89,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $89,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $89,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $89,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $89,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $89,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $89,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $89,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $89,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $89,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $89,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $89,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $89,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $89,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $89,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $89,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-19days on market $89,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $89,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $89,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $89,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $89,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $89,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $89,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $89,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $89,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $89,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $89,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $89,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $89,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $89,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $89,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $89,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $89,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $89,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $89,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $89,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $89,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-25pricedays on market $89,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $99,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,463 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,463 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,478
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,463
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,238
- − Management
- −$1,238
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $3,438
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$825
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,833/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, particularly to the exterior siding and landscaping. Painting and updating the exterior can significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and discolored, indicating potential water damage
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown and in need of trimming
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting and updating the exterior siding — Fresh paint and updated siding can significantly enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Landscaping and trimming — Improved landscaping can boost both resale and rental value by making the property more attractive ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 669,185 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,903
- Household income
- $52,793
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.97%
- Current HPI
- 215.0607
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.04%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+53.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $99,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $951,400 Public Records
- 2018-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
- 2015-01-02 Sold (MLS) $34,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2014-11-19 Listed $30,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2010-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,463 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…