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126 South Point Dr
B+ Composite 75.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

126 South Point Dr · Fairborn, OH 45324
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,492 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1991 6,749 sqft lot $60/sqft · 46% below area Est $167k · 46% under $425/mo HOA · 24% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully maintained home located in a 55+ community! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2 full bath residence offers a thoughtfully designed split-bedroom floor plan, providing privacy with one bedroom and full bath on one side and two bedrooms with an additional full bath on the other. Step inside to discover all-new flooring throughout and a warm, inviting living area featuring a cozy gas fireplace-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home also boasts a large, separate dining room ideal for gatherings and special occasions. Enjoy the convenience of a dedicated laundry area complete with washer and dryer. Outdoor living is just as impressive with a charming covered front porch and a screened-in back patio, perfect for enjoying guiet mornings or evenings. The attached one-car garage provides easy access and leads to the backyard where you'll find an additional storage shed for all your needs. This home has been exceptionally well cared for and is truly move-in ready.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Separate dining room
  • Gas fireplace

Tags

SPLIT-BEDROOM FLOOR PLANALL-NEW FLOORINGGAS FIREPLACESEPARATE DINING ROOMDEDICATED LAUNDRY AREACOVERED FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $258 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.7% in Fairborn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#374 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, employment D+.
  • Fairborn City (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #520 of 656 in OH (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 182 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; HOA is 24% of rent.
Recommended offer $87,203 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
9.74%
Cash-on-cash
12.30%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$167,349
List price
$89,900
Delta
-46.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
34 Greene St 0.08mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,581 (+6%) 2mo $236,900 $150 79
25 Ohio St 0.07mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,434 (-4%) 13mo $140,000 $98 71
104 Frahn Ave 0.28mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,459 (-2%) 5mo $171,000 $117 70
320 E Xenia Dr 0.55mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,524 (+2%) 6mo $252,000 $165 61
215 Mann Ave 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,550 (+4%) 1mo $185,000 $119 59
849 Princeton Ave 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,333 (-11%) 7mo $180,000 $135 57
308 E Xenia Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,410 (-6%) 2mo $234,000 $166 55
101 Powell Ave 0.30mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,342 (-10%) 14mo $155,000 $115 51
25 Westport Dr 0.69mi 4/1.0 1,598 (+7%) 9mo $124,000 $78 44
442 Kirkwood Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,442 (-3%) 10mo $197,800 $137 44
328 Mann Ave 0.61mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,692 (+13%) 10mo $184,900 $109 34
619 Preservation St 0.74mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,348 (-10%) 14mo $319,900 $237 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$7,177
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$50,384
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45324

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
182
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,751 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$191 /mo · $2,295/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$425
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$368
Net cashflow
$258

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,424
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $309 -5% $283 +0% $258 +5% $233 +10% $207
Rent -10% $120 -5% $189 +0% $258 +5% $327 +10% $396
Rate -1.0pp $303 -0.5pp $281 base $258 +0.5pp $235 +1.0pp $211

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
124 E Lindberg Dr Fairborn, OH 4.0 1.0 1075 $1,495 $1.39 45d 1 0.49mi
24 Rowland Dr Fairborn, OH 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,400 $1.22 4d 1 0.51mi
333 Archer Dr Fairborn, OH 4.0 1.0 1368 $1,700 $1.24 15d 1 0.81mi
21 Schneider Dr Unit Na Fairborn, OH 3.0 1.5 1543 $1,850 $1.20 15d 1 0.92mi
408 Margaret Dr Fairborn, OH 4.0 2.0 1615 $1,850 $1.15 4d 1 1.06mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$425 · $5,100/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $89,900 Pending 35 DOM
  2. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 995-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1003 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained home located in a desirable 55=community! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2 full bath residence offers a thoughtfully designed split-bedroom floor plan, providing privacy with one bedroom and full bath on one side and two bedrooms with an additional full bath on the other. Step inside to discover all-new flooring throughout and a warm inviting living area featuring a cozy gas fireplace-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home also boasts a large, separate dining room ideal for gatherings and special occasions. Enjoy the convenience of a dedicated laundry area complete with washer and dryer. Outdoor living is just as impressive with a charming covered front porch and a screened-in back patio, perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or evenings. The attached one-car garage provides easy access and leads to the backyard where you'll find an additional storage shed for all your needs. This home has been exceptionally well cared for and is truly move-in ready.

  3. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 1003-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1003 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained home located in a desirable 55=community! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2 full bath residence offers a thoughtfully designed split-bedroom floor plan, providing privacy with one bedroom and full bath on one side and two bedrooms with an additional full bath on the other. Step inside to discover all-new flooring throughout and a warm inviting living area featuring a cozy gas fireplace-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home also boasts a large, separate dining room ideal for gatherings and special occasions. Enjoy the convenience of a dedicated laundry area complete with washer and dryer. Outdoor living is just as impressive with a charming covered front porch and a screened-in back patio, perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or evenings. The attached one-car garage provides easy access and leads to the backyard where you'll find an additional storage shed for all your needs. This home has been exceptionally well cared for and is truly move-in ready.

  4. 2026-05-11
    price $89,900 1003-char remark
    Show marketing remark (995 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained home located in a 55+ community! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2 full bath residence offers a thoughtfully designed split-bedroom floor plan, providing privacy with one bedroom and full bath on one side and two bedrooms with an additional full bath on the other. Step inside to discover all-new flooring throughout and a warm, inviting living area featuring a cozy gas fireplace-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home also boasts a large, separate dining room ideal for gatherings and special occasions. Enjoy the convenience of a dedicated laundry area complete with washer and dryer. Outdoor living is just as impressive with a charming covered front porch and a screened-in back patio, perfect for enjoying guiet mornings or evenings. The attached one-car garage provides easy access and leads to the backyard where you'll find an additional storage shed for all your needs. This home has been exceptionally well cared for and is truly move-in ready.

  5. 2026-05-11
    price $89,900 995-char remark
    Show marketing remark (995 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained home located in a 55+ community! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2 full bath residence offers a thoughtfully designed split-bedroom floor plan, providing privacy with one bedroom and full bath on one side and two bedrooms with an additional full bath on the other. Step inside to discover all-new flooring throughout and a warm, inviting living area featuring a cozy gas fireplace-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home also boasts a large, separate dining room ideal for gatherings and special occasions. Enjoy the convenience of a dedicated laundry area complete with washer and dryer. Outdoor living is just as impressive with a charming covered front porch and a screened-in back patio, perfect for enjoying guiet mornings or evenings. The attached one-car garage provides easy access and leads to the backyard where you'll find an additional storage shed for all your needs. This home has been exceptionally well cared for and is truly move-in ready.

  6. 2026-04-13
    listed $93,900 Active 995-char remark
    Show marketing remark (995 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained home located in a 55+ community! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2 full bath residence offers a thoughtfully designed split-bedroom floor plan, providing privacy with one bedroom and full bath on one side and two bedrooms with an additional full bath on the other. Step inside to discover all-new flooring throughout and a warm, inviting living area featuring a cozy gas fireplace-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home also boasts a large, separate dining room ideal for gatherings and special occasions. Enjoy the convenience of a dedicated laundry area complete with washer and dryer. Outdoor living is just as impressive with a charming covered front porch and a screened-in back patio, perfect for enjoying guiet mornings or evenings. The attached one-car garage provides easy access and leads to the backyard where you'll find an additional storage shed for all your needs. This home has been exceptionally well cared for and is truly move-in ready.

  7. 2026-04-12
    listed $93,900 Active 1003-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1003 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained home located in a desirable 55=community! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2 full bath residence offers a thoughtfully designed split-bedroom floor plan, providing privacy with one bedroom and full bath on one side and two bedrooms with an additional full bath on the other. Step inside to discover all-new flooring throughout and a warm inviting living area featuring a cozy gas fireplace-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home also boasts a large, separate dining room ideal for gatherings and special occasions. Enjoy the convenience of a dedicated laundry area complete with washer and dryer. Outdoor living is just as impressive with a charming covered front porch and a screened-in back patio, perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or evenings. The attached one-car garage provides easy access and leads to the backyard where you'll find an additional storage shed for all your needs. This home has been exceptionally well cared for and is truly move-in ready.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,295 · $191/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,295 · $191/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,010
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$2,295
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,681
− Management
−$1,681
− HOA
−$5,100
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$2,153
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$517
After-tax cash flow
$2,579/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairborn City
NCES district ID
3904396
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$45,091
Composite
36.05/100
National rank
#4772
State rank
#520 of 656 in OH

Livability — Fairborn

Score
72/100
State rank
#374
US rank
#6101

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairborn, OH
County
Greene County · 132,120 people
City population
41,194
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
41,194
Household income
$64,979
Rent vs Own
47.2% rent · 52.8% own
Severe rent burden
1472.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
170,301 people
By 2030
171,840 · +0.9%
By 2040
171,408 · +0.7%
By 2050
167,806 · -1.5%
By 2075
154,430 · -9.3%
By 2100
138,669 · -18.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -19.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.8 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -157.48%
Current HPI
228.0801
Rent YoY
▲ 5.75%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending WRIST
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $89,900 WRIST
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $89,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $93,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $93,900 WRIST

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,295 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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