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5050 Grayton St
B- Composite 67.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

5050 Grayton St · Detroit, MI 48224
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,515 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1931 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

OVER 1500 SQFT IN THIS ALL BRICK TUDUR HOME WITH FULL BASEMENT AND 2 CAR GARAGE. LOCATED CLOSE TO SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, AND MAJOR FREEWAYS. BUYER TO PAY $995 PROCESSING/TRANSACTION FEE TO LISTNG BROKERAGE AT CLOSING.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1931

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two-level home; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 40 x 150 (0.14 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 2 half bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air
  • Interior features: Finished basement; Total of 6 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $460 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 484 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $75k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
13.66%
Cash-on-cash
26.31%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$175,740
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5085 Grayton St 0.05mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,381 (-9%) 1mo $240,500 $174 73
5753 Three Mile Dr 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,521 (+0%) 2mo $75,000 $49 69
5236 Bedford St 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,670 (+10%) 0mo $159,900 $96 58
5541 Grayton St 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,730 (+14%) 0mo $200,000 $116 57
4121 Harvard St 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,373 (-9%) 1mo $189,000 $138 57
5960 Bishop St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,351 (-11%) 2mo $155,000 $115 54
5574 Buckingham Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,430 (-6%) 2mo $105,000 $73 53
5200 Bedford St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,718 (+13%) 1mo $159,900 $93 53
5791 Bedford St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-11%) 1mo $178,000 $132 49
5291 Devonshire Rd 0.61mi 3/3.0 1,650 (+9%) 2mo $245,000 $148 49
4605 Devonshire Rd 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,357 (-10%) 1mo $139,000 $102 49
3930 Yorkshire Rd 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,704 (+12%) 2mo $275,000 $161 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$14,122
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$38,123
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48224

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
484
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,411 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$230 /mo · $2,757/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$460

Break-even live

Break-even rent $828
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5050 Three Mile Dr Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 2127 $1,150 $0.54 43d 1 0.46mi
5786 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,225 $1.11 16d 1 0.58mi
4627 Bedford St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $945 $0.90 20d 1 0.61mi
5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1458 $1,300 $0.89 16d 1 0.67mi
5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1458 $1,300 $0.89 17d 1 0.67mi
6154 Woodhall St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1136 $1,000 $0.88 43d 1 0.72mi
6225 Oldtown St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1330 $1,199 $0.90 17d 1 0.72mi
5574 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1430 $1,450 $1.01 4d 1 0.74mi
6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 43d 1 0.75mi
6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,299 $1.18 18d 1 0.76mi
5944 Marseilles St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1910 $1,300 $0.68 17d 1 0.79mi
9171 Bishop St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1508 $1,300 $0.86 43d 1 0.83mi
3626 Courville St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,300 $1.03 43d 1 0.87mi
6175 Marseilles St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.88mi
9635 Everts St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1450 $1,650 $1.14 43d 1 0.90mi
9241 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,350 $1.00 43d 1 0.91mi
890 Neff Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 24d 1 0.92mi
6301 Lodewyck St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,300 $1.20 12d 1 0.96mi
15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,250 $1.01 5d 1 0.96mi
9313 Harvard Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1329 $1,200 $0.90 17d 1 0.98mi
3651 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,300 $0.98 17d 1 1.03mi
5791 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1660 $1,400 $0.84 17d 1 1.03mi
5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 15d 1 1.07mi
9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1195 $1,200 $1.00 43d 1 1.08mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 1.09mi
3625 Chatsworth St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1182 $1,295 $1.10 24d 1 1.12mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 3d 1 1.13mi
19000 Chandler Park Dr Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 1374 $2,300 $1.67 1d 1 1.19mi
19000 Chandler Park Dr Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 1374 $2,300 $1.67 4d 1 1.19mi
9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,575 $1.29 43d 1 1.20mi
5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,473 $1.12 43d 1 1.21mi
20926 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 43d 1 1.24mi
19168 Berden St Grosse Pointe, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 1d 1 1.28mi
10803 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $900 $0.78 20d 1 1.33mi
4251 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1326 $1,650 $1.24 43d 1 1.34mi
10870 Marne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1156 $1,100 $0.95 17d 1 1.34mi
9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,150 $0.88 5d 1 1.34mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 43d 1 1.35mi
19203 Edgefield St Harper Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 24d 1 1.37mi
9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,300 $1.02 20d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $75,000 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    remarks 213-char remark
  4. 2026-06-07
    listed $75,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,757 · $230/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,757 · $230/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,932
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$2,757
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,355
− Management
−$1,355
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$4,708
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,130
After-tax cash flow
$4,395/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,668
Household income
$44,856
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
2515.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.38%
Current HPI
161.886
Rent YoY
▲ 0.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+343.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-10-07 Sold (MLS) $26,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-10-07 Sold (MLS) $26,500 REALCOMP
  • 2015-07-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-07-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-06-21 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2015-06-15 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-06-19 Sold (MLS) $11,900 REALCOMP
  • 2008-05-06 Listed $16,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,757 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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