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4225 Greaves Rd
B- Composite 69.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

4225 Greaves Rd · Prichard, AL 36613
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,839 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1985 4.42 ac lot $71/sqft · 40% below area Est $217k · 40% under ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Opportunity or Equity Builder on 4.4 Acres! Discover the potential in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,839 sq ft of living space on a sprawling 4.4-acre lot. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property is ready for someone with vision to bring it back to life. The home needs some TLC and rehab, but the upside is undeniable. Whether you’re an investor looking for your next value-add project or a homeowner ready to build instant equity, this property offers space, privacy, and long-term potential. With over four acres of land, there’s room to expand, add outbuildings, create outdoor living areas, or simply enjoy the peace and privacy of country-style living. The generous square footage provides a great foundation for modern updates and improvements. Opportunities like this — acreage plus square footage at a value price — don’t come around often. Bring your ideas, your contractor, and unlock the full potential of this property.

Key facts

  • Outdoor living areas
  • Country-style living
  • Peace and privacy

Tags

4.4 ACRESSPACIOUS HOMEFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTOUTDOOR LIVING AREASPEACE AND PRIVACYCOUNTRY-STYLE LIVING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#472 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.82%
Cash-on-cash
12.60%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$216,741
List price
$129,900
Delta
-40.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4225 Greaves Rd 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,839 (0%) 1mo $129,900 $71 100
4130 Fox Creek Dr W 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,823 (-1%) 1mo $254,900 $140 80
5027 Breckenridge Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,794 (-2%) 9mo $245,000 $137 78
4131 Greaves Rd 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,600 (-13%) 14mo $244,000 $153 60
4050 Fox Creek Dr W 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,891 (+3%) 22mo $235,000 $124 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$3,292
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$34,278
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36613

Home prices YoY
-23.9%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,620 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$340
Net cashflow
$382

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,136
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $472 -5% $427 +0% $382 +5% $337 +10% $292
Rent -10% $254 -5% $318 +0% $382 +5% $446 +10% $510
Rate -1.0pp $447 -0.5pp $415 base $382 +0.5pp $348 +1.0pp $314

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 1016-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1016 chars)

    Investor Opportunity or Equity Builder on 4.4 Acres! Discover the potential in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,839 sq ft of living space on a sprawling 4.4-acre lot. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property is ready for someone with vision to bring it back to life. The home needs some TLC and rehab, but the upside is undeniable. Whether you’re an investor looking for your next value-add project or a homeowner ready to build instant equity, this property offers space, privacy, and long-term potential. With over four acres of land, there’s room to expand, add outbuildings, create outdoor living areas, or simply enjoy the peace and privacy of country-style living. The generous square footage provides a great foundation for modern updates and improvements. Opportunities like this — acreage plus square footage at a value price — don’t come around often. Bring your ideas, your contractor, and unlock the full potential of this property.

  2. 2026-04-17
    price $129,900 1016-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1016 chars)

    Investor Opportunity or Equity Builder on 4.4 Acres! Discover the potential in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,839 sq ft of living space on a sprawling 4.4-acre lot. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property is ready for someone with vision to bring it back to life. The home needs some TLC and rehab, but the upside is undeniable. Whether you’re an investor looking for your next value-add project or a homeowner ready to build instant equity, this property offers space, privacy, and long-term potential. With over four acres of land, there’s room to expand, add outbuildings, create outdoor living areas, or simply enjoy the peace and privacy of country-style living. The generous square footage provides a great foundation for modern updates and improvements. Opportunities like this — acreage plus square footage at a value price — don’t come around often. Bring your ideas, your contractor, and unlock the full potential of this property.

  3. 2026-04-17
    status Active 1016-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1016 chars)

    Investor Opportunity or Equity Builder on 4.4 Acres! Discover the potential in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,839 sq ft of living space on a sprawling 4.4-acre lot. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property is ready for someone with vision to bring it back to life. The home needs some TLC and rehab, but the upside is undeniable. Whether you’re an investor looking for your next value-add project or a homeowner ready to build instant equity, this property offers space, privacy, and long-term potential. With over four acres of land, there’s room to expand, add outbuildings, create outdoor living areas, or simply enjoy the peace and privacy of country-style living. The generous square footage provides a great foundation for modern updates and improvements. Opportunities like this — acreage plus square footage at a value price — don’t come around often. Bring your ideas, your contractor, and unlock the full potential of this property.

  4. 2026-04-08
    historical 1016-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1016 chars)

    Investor Opportunity or Equity Builder on 4.4 Acres! Discover the potential in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,839 sq ft of living space on a sprawling 4.4-acre lot. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property is ready for someone with vision to bring it back to life. The home needs some TLC and rehab, but the upside is undeniable. Whether you’re an investor looking for your next value-add project or a homeowner ready to build instant equity, this property offers space, privacy, and long-term potential. With over four acres of land, there’s room to expand, add outbuildings, create outdoor living areas, or simply enjoy the peace and privacy of country-style living. The generous square footage provides a great foundation for modern updates and improvements. Opportunities like this — acreage plus square footage at a value price — don’t come around often. Bring your ideas, your contractor, and unlock the full potential of this property.

  5. 2026-03-30
    price $139,900 1016-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1016 chars)

    Investor Opportunity or Equity Builder on 4.4 Acres! Discover the potential in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,839 sq ft of living space on a sprawling 4.4-acre lot. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property is ready for someone with vision to bring it back to life. The home needs some TLC and rehab, but the upside is undeniable. Whether you’re an investor looking for your next value-add project or a homeowner ready to build instant equity, this property offers space, privacy, and long-term potential. With over four acres of land, there’s room to expand, add outbuildings, create outdoor living areas, or simply enjoy the peace and privacy of country-style living. The generous square footage provides a great foundation for modern updates and improvements. Opportunities like this — acreage plus square footage at a value price — don’t come around often. Bring your ideas, your contractor, and unlock the full potential of this property.

  6. 2026-03-23
    price $144,900 1016-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1016 chars)

    Investor Opportunity or Equity Builder on 4.4 Acres! Discover the potential in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,839 sq ft of living space on a sprawling 4.4-acre lot. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property is ready for someone with vision to bring it back to life. The home needs some TLC and rehab, but the upside is undeniable. Whether you’re an investor looking for your next value-add project or a homeowner ready to build instant equity, this property offers space, privacy, and long-term potential. With over four acres of land, there’s room to expand, add outbuildings, create outdoor living areas, or simply enjoy the peace and privacy of country-style living. The generous square footage provides a great foundation for modern updates and improvements. Opportunities like this — acreage plus square footage at a value price — don’t come around often. Bring your ideas, your contractor, and unlock the full potential of this property.

  7. 2026-03-12
    price $149,900 1016-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1016 chars)

    Investor Opportunity or Equity Builder on 4.4 Acres! Discover the potential in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,839 sq ft of living space on a sprawling 4.4-acre lot. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property is ready for someone with vision to bring it back to life. The home needs some TLC and rehab, but the upside is undeniable. Whether you’re an investor looking for your next value-add project or a homeowner ready to build instant equity, this property offers space, privacy, and long-term potential. With over four acres of land, there’s room to expand, add outbuildings, create outdoor living areas, or simply enjoy the peace and privacy of country-style living. The generous square footage provides a great foundation for modern updates and improvements. Opportunities like this — acreage plus square footage at a value price — don’t come around often. Bring your ideas, your contractor, and unlock the full potential of this property.

  8. 2026-02-24
    listed $159,900 Active 1016-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1016 chars)

    Investor Opportunity or Equity Builder on 4.4 Acres! Discover the potential in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,839 sq ft of living space on a sprawling 4.4-acre lot. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property is ready for someone with vision to bring it back to life. The home needs some TLC and rehab, but the upside is undeniable. Whether you’re an investor looking for your next value-add project or a homeowner ready to build instant equity, this property offers space, privacy, and long-term potential. With over four acres of land, there’s room to expand, add outbuildings, create outdoor living areas, or simply enjoy the peace and privacy of country-style living. The generous square footage provides a great foundation for modern updates and improvements. Opportunities like this — acreage plus square footage at a value price — don’t come around often. Bring your ideas, your contractor, and unlock the full potential of this property.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,436
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,948
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,555
− Management
−$1,555
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$2,673
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$641
After-tax cash flow
$3,940/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Prichard

Score
54/100
State rank
#472
US rank
#24080

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
13,402
Population (ZIP)
12,082

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (52%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% White 44% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.49%
Current HPI
208.8677
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending GCMLS AL
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $129,900 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-04-17 Relisted GCMLS AL
  • 2026-04-08 Delisted GCMLS AL
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $139,900 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $144,900 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $149,900 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $159,900 GCMLS AL

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…